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Gonzaga

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

WCC · 26-9 · AdjEM +30.0, 7 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+30.07 of 364
AdjO
122.87 of 364
AdjD
92.820 of 364
AdjT
72.638 of 364

Gonzaga went from +27.4 (#8) on 2024-11-03 to +30.0 (#7) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +36.5 (#2) on 2024-11-25.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
56.0%18
TOV%
12.8%7
OREB%
30.3%106
FTA/FGA
30.7%250
Opp eFG%
47.5%34
Opp TOV%
16.2%157
DREB%
76.4%24
Opp FTA/FGA
29.3%84

Résumé26-9 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+9.071 of 364
Non-conference
+13.111 of 364
Luck
-10.9%350 of 364
Wins above bubble
+2.334 of 364
Quad 1
5-6
Quad 2
5-3
Quad 3
7-0
Quad 4
9-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Ryan NembhardG3535.110.53.09.851.0%54.7%17.1%40.4%77.0%
Nolan HickmanG3529.710.92.42.361.0%62.7%16.1%44.5%93.1%
Khalif BattleG3526.813.63.71.552.7%59.9%23.6%34.7%93.2%
Graham IkeF3523.017.37.31.461.5%65.6%31.8%39.4%80.5%
Ben GreggF3519.99.14.91.361.8%65.4%18.9%27.1%79.1%
Michael AjayiF3418.96.55.40.846.9%51.6%18.3%18.2%69.5%
Dusty StromerG3417.54.32.10.750.8%53.5%13.1%34.2%79.2%
Braden HuffF3516.611.03.41.159.2%60.3%28.7%28.1%70.2%
Emmanuel InnocentiG3112.11.71.91.043.1%43.4%8.7%29.4%50.0%
Ismaila DiagneC106.63.41.80.080.0%82.1%20.8%—83.3%
Junseok YeoF144.11.60.60.155.3%53.8%20.3%27.3%40.0%
Joe FewG142.60.50.30.230.0%33.4%18.5%0.0%100.0%
Joaquim ArauzMooreG42.51.31.00.041.7%41.7%29.7%33.3%—
Noah HaalandF33.30.01.00.00.0%0.0%4.9%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games26-9

“Ours” is our projected margin for Gonzaga, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04vsBaylorQ1#25W 101-63+5.9
11-10vsArizona StateQ3#78W 88-80+24.5
11-15vsUMass LowellQ4#218W 113-54+24.0
11-18@San Diego StateQ1#56W 80-67+7.5
11-20vsLong Beach StateQ4#305W 84-41+34.5
11-27nWest VirginiaQ2#51L 78-86+18.4
11-28nIndianaQ2#54W 89-73+11.8
11-29nDavidsonQ3#141W 90-65+24.3
12-07nKentuckyQ1#13L 89-90+2.3
12-14nUConnQ1#11L 71-77+2.5
12-18vsNichollsQ4#191W 102-72+33.1
12-21vsBucknellQ4#201W 86-65+32.9
12-28nUCLAQ1#20L 62-65+6.8
12-30@PepperdineQ3#225W 89-82+23.1
01-02vsPortlandQ4#286W 81-50+35.5
01-04@Loyola MarymountQ3#149W 96-68+17.8
01-08vsSan DiegoQ4#301W 93-80+34.5
01-11vsWashington StateQ3#103W 88-75+16.2
01-16@Oregon StateQ2#95L 89-97+8.6
01-18vsSanta ClaraQ2#59L 99-103+15.5
01-25@PortlandQ4#286W 105-62+26.3
01-28vsOregon StateQ3#95W 98-60+13.6
02-01@Saint Mary'sQ1#22L 58-62+0.5
02-06vsLoyola MarymountQ3#149W 73-53+21.8
02-08@PacificQ4#307W 78-61+27.9
02-13vsSan FranciscoQ2#62W 88-77+12.2
02-15vsPepperdineQ4#225W 107-55+27.2
02-19@Washington StateQ2#103W 84-63+11.4
02-22vsSaint Mary'sQ1#22L 67-74+5.3
02-25@Santa ClaraQ1#59W 95-76+5.9
03-01nSan FranciscoQ2#62W 95-75+9.7
03-10nSan FranciscoQ2#62W 85-76+10.6
03-11nSaint Mary'sQ1#22W 58-51+3.4
03-20nGeorgiaQ1#45W 89-68+7.2
03-22nHoustonQ1#2L 76-81-6.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.