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Iowa State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big 12 · 25-10 · AdjEM +29.1, 10 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+29.110 of 364
AdjO
118.220 of 364
AdjD
89.16 of 364
AdjT
70.6118 of 364

Iowa State went from +29.6 (#3) on 2024-11-03 to +29.1 (#10) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +31.6 (#6) on 2025-01-13.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.9%37
TOV%
16.3%205
OREB%
30.7%97
FTA/FGA
37.9%43
Opp eFG%
48.9%83
Opp TOV%
20.2%12
DREB%
74.4%80
Opp FTA/FGA
29.0%78

Résumé25-10 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+13.138 of 364
Non-conference
+1.7135 of 364
Luck
-5.7%297 of 364
Wins above bubble
+4.920 of 364
Quad 1
10-8
Quad 2
8-2
Quad 3
1-0
Quad 4
6-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tamin LipseyG3430.910.62.63.156.1%59.7%17.3%33.1%75.8%
Curtis JonesG3430.517.44.22.352.6%56.9%27.7%37.4%84.5%
Joshua JeffersonF3529.613.07.43.154.9%59.7%22.6%31.0%75.6%
Keshon GilbertG2931.613.43.54.153.0%56.9%24.0%33.3%72.9%
Milan MomcilovicF2827.511.53.30.955.0%57.4%20.0%39.6%83.7%
Nate HeiseG3521.75.13.21.063.5%63.5%11.3%40.9%60.9%
Dishon JacksonC3518.78.55.10.658.0%62.7%21.1%0.0%72.0%
Brandton ChatfieldF3514.43.83.10.361.8%63.7%12.2%0.0%70.6%
Demarion WatsonG188.81.82.30.242.0%51.4%11.9%27.3%80.0%
Nojus IndrusaitisG155.82.10.40.336.7%40.7%25.6%14.3%52.9%
Cade KeldermanG155.50.70.30.745.5%43.6%10.2%33.3%0.0%
JT RockC92.40.70.70.060.0%60.0%13.8%——
Kayden FishF92.20.70.30.040.0%46.7%23.9%—66.7%
Conrad HawleyF22.50.00.00.00.0%0.0%10.1%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games25-10

“Ours” is our projected margin for Iowa State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04vsMississippi Valley StateQ4#364W 83-44+45.1
11-11vsKansas CityQ4#217W 82-56+25.2
11-18vsIU IndianapolisQ4#339W 87-52+41.5
11-25nAuburnQ1#3L 81-83-8.7
11-26nDaytonQ2#69W 89-84+6.0
11-27nColoradoQ2#74W 99-71+9.1
12-04vsMarquetteQ1#24W 81-70+4.4
12-08vsJackson StateQ4#273W 100-58+37.4
12-12@IowaQ1#63W 89-80+7.9
12-15vsOmahaQ4#181W 83-51+31.5
12-22vsMorgan StateQ4#335W 99-72+42.0
12-30@ColoradoQ1#74W 79-69+7.9
01-04vsBaylorQ1#25W 74-55+6.3
01-07vsUtahQ2#66W 82-59+16.0
01-11@Texas TechQ1#9W 85-84-1.0
01-15vsKansasQ1#16W 74-57+4.3
01-18@West VirginiaQ1#51L 57-64+6.6
01-21vsUCFQ2#65W 108-83+17.2
01-25@Arizona StateQ2#78W 76-61+10.5
01-27@ArizonaQ1#8L 75-86-1.3
02-01vsKansas StateQ2#71L 61-80+18.6
02-03@KansasQ1#16L 52-69-1.9
02-08vsTCUQ3#80W 82-52+14.3
02-11@UCFQ1#65W 77-65+8.8
02-15vsCincinnatiQ2#39W 81-70+9.3
02-18vsColoradoQ2#74W 79-65+16.8
02-22@HoustonQ1#2L 59-68-9.0
02-25@Oklahoma StateQ2#94L 68-74+13.1
03-01vsArizonaQ1#8W 84-67+3.4
03-04vsBYUQ1#21L 85-88+6.6
03-08@Kansas StateQ1#71W 73-57+8.4
03-12nCincinnatiQ1#39W 76-56+6.2
03-13nBYUQ1#21L 92-96+3.3
03-21nLipscombQ2#98W 82-55+14.9
03-23nOle MissQ1#30L 78-91+6.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.