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TCU

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big 12 · 16-16 · AdjEM +11.1, 80 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+11.180 of 364
AdjO
106.2140 of 364
AdjD
95.138 of 364
AdjT
69.0218 of 364

TCU went from +15.6 (#52) on 2024-11-03 to +11.1 (#80) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +18.1 (#38) on 2024-11-04.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.8%330
TOV%
15.8%176
OREB%
30.9%91
FTA/FGA
33.5%166
Opp eFG%
50.9%175
Opp TOV%
17.9%64
DREB%
72.0%204
Opp FTA/FGA
28.3%62

Résumé16-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+14.620 of 364
Non-conference
+4.970 of 364
Luck
+6.8%48 of 364
Wins above bubble
-2.363 of 364
Quad 1
3-12
Quad 2
6-4
Quad 3
2-0
Quad 4
5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Noah ReynoldsG3131.512.52.23.049.4%53.2%21.9%34.1%74.5%
Vasean AllettePG3229.211.44.13.539.9%43.3%28.1%22.2%71.3%
Trazarien WhiteF3225.59.22.90.946.4%48.8%20.3%32.0%62.8%
Ernest Udeh Jr.C3026.66.67.51.263.4%63.3%12.1%—59.8%
David PunchF3220.46.54.40.650.0%50.9%19.0%27.6%52.9%
Brendan WenzelG2921.76.42.40.845.5%47.9%17.0%32.0%70.6%
Micah RobinsonF3214.05.31.80.547.5%52.4%20.8%31.9%76.5%
Jace PoseyG3112.84.32.30.446.5%48.1%20.2%27.8%53.1%
Malick DialloC2910.92.22.70.249.0%50.9%14.1%—55.6%
Frankie CollinsG930.911.24.44.445.6%48.0%23.1%26.1%59.4%
Isaiah ManningF247.32.00.80.337.7%39.8%18.3%20.9%71.4%
Trey StuartG21.00.00.50.00.0%0.0%25.5%——
Adam StewartC21.01.00.00.0100.0%100.0%25.5%——
Drew McElroyG21.01.50.50.0150.0%150.0%25.5%100.0%—
Cole DespieG11.03.00.00.0150.0%150.0%50.9%100.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games16-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for TCU, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04vsFlorida A&MQ4#329W 105-59+28.1
11-08vsFlorida Gulf CoastQ4#183W 67-51+18.5
11-12vsTexas StateQ4#197W 76-71+16.1
11-15@MichiganQ1#27L 64-76-1.5
11-19vsAlcorn StateQ4#332W 71-48+29.2
11-28nSanta ClaraQ2#59L 52-69+6.2
11-29nColorado StateQ1#44L 72-76+5.8
12-05vsXavierQ2#46W 76-72+5.6
12-08nVanderbiltQ2#57L 74-83+0.1
12-16vsSouth AlabamaQ3#136W 58-49+15.3
12-22vsMontana StateQ4#178W 82-48+9.5
12-30@ArizonaQ1#8L 81-90-13.1
01-04vsKansas StateQ2#71W 63-62+7.7
01-06@HoustonQ1#2L 46-65-18.6
01-11vsBYUQ1#21W 71-67-0.7
01-15vsUtahQ2#66L 65-73+3.2
01-19@BaylorQ1#25W 74-71-12.4
01-22vsKansasQ1#16L 61-74-7.1
01-25@UCFQ1#65L 58-85-1.4
01-29@Texas TechQ1#9L 57-71-13.1
02-02vsColoradoQ2#74W 68-57+5.2
02-05vsWest VirginiaQ2#51W 65-60-0.0
02-08@Iowa StateQ1#10L 52-82-14.3
02-12vsOklahoma StateQ3#94W 73-72+6.4
02-15@Arizona StateQ2#78W 74-70-3.3
02-18vsTexas TechQ1#9W 69-66-9.1
02-22@CincinnatiQ1#39L 63-75-8.7
02-25@West VirginiaQ1#51L 55-73-6.4
03-01vsUCFQ2#65W 89-78+3.3
03-04vsBaylorQ1#25L 58-61-4.8
03-08@ColoradoQ1#74L 56-76-2.3
03-11nColoradoQ2#74L 67-69-0.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.