Arizona State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Pac-12 · 23-13 · AdjEM +11.6, 70 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →

AdjEM: +11.670 of 363
AdjO: 104.2124 of 363
AdjD: 92.729 of 363
AdjT: 71.383 of 363

Arizona State went from +6.2 (#99) on 2022-11-06 to +11.6 (#71) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +14.0 (#42) on 2022-12-19.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 36 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 48.4%288
TOV%: 15.9%86
OREB%: 26.9%171
FTA/FGA: 31.2%188
Opp eFG%: 46.5%21
Opp TOV%: 18.8%72
DREB%: 70.8%292
Opp FTA/FGA: 33.5%242

Résumé23-13 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength: +8.156 of 363
Non-conference: +3.785 of 363
Luck: +6.7%46 of 363
Wins above bubble: +0.445 of 363

Quad 1: 5-7
Quad 2: 5-5
Quad 3: 5-0
Quad 4: 8-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players18 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
DJ HorneG	35	29.6	12.5	3.4	2.4	46.0%	49.7%	23.6%	35.5%	81.6%
Frankie CollinsG	35	27.9	9.7	4.1	4.3	44.3%	48.0%	21.9%	33.8%	62.2%
Desmond Cambridge Jr.G	34	28.7	13.6	3.5	2.3	48.9%	51.6%	25.7%	32.3%	83.1%
Devan CambridgeF	36	26.8	9.8	5.4	0.8	55.8%	57.8%	18.6%	33.3%	65.0%
Warren WashingtonF	34	26.9	9.2	6.9	1.6	56.3%	59.0%	17.4%	—	66.7%
Alonzo GaffneyF	36	16.8	3.2	2.9	0.6	41.2%	43.5%	13.4%	23.3%	60.7%
Jamiya NealG	31	16.2	4.9	2.8	1.5	48.9%	50.8%	18.1%	29.2%	62.9%
Austin NunezG	28	16.3	4.5	1.1	0.9	50.9%	54.1%	16.5%	37.7%	81.8%
Luther MuhammadG	36	9.9	3.7	1.0	0.4	40.9%	45.4%	22.5%	21.3%	85.7%
Duke BrennanF	36	9.1	2.4	2.3	0.1	51.9%	56.0%	14.0%	—	63.0%
Enoch BoakyeF	19	3.3	0.7	0.7	0.1	50.0%	45.5%	14.6%	—	33.3%
Marcus BagleyF	2	28.5	12.5	4.0	1.5	38.6%	44.4%	29.3%	33.3%	61.5%
John OlmstedF	10	1.7	0.1	0.3	0.0	—	52.6%	2.8%	—	50.0%
Micah BurnoG	7	1.6	0.1	0.3	0.1	—	52.6%	18.1%	—	50.0%
Bobby HurleyG	6	1.3	0.5	0.3	0.0	25.0%	23.2%	47.0%	50.0%	0.0%
Jordan WilliamsG	2	2.5	0.0	0.0	0.5	—	—	0.0%	—	—
Austin RonzoneG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	50.3%	—	—
Cade RonzoneG	2	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	—	52.6%	47.8%	—	50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games23-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Arizona State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-07	vsTarleton State	Q4#177	W 62-59	+8.1	68	11-06
11-10	vsNorthern Arizona	Q4#253	W 84-68	+14.9	70	11-07
11-13	@Texas Southern	Q4#299	L 66-67	+0.3	71	11-07
11-16	nVCU	Q2#57	W 63-59	-2.2	70	11-14
11-17	nMichigan	Q1#48	W 87-62	-4.2	70	11-14
11-22	vsGrambling	Q4#211	W 80-49	+17.4	72	11-21
11-27	vsAlcorn State	Q4#272	W 76-54	+8.7	71	11-21
12-01	@Colorado	Q1#75	W 60-59	-4.3	72	11-28
12-04	vsStanford	Q3#86	W 68-64	+10.4	70	11-28
12-07	@SMU	Q3#189	W 75-57	+4.1	71	12-05
12-12	nCreighton	Q1#12	W 73-71	-3.8	71	12-05
12-18	vsSan Diego	Q4#222	W 91-67	+16.4	71	12-12
12-21	@San Francisco	Q2#92	L 60-97	-0.0	71	12-19
12-31	vsArizona	Q1#11	L 60-69	-3.6	73	12-26
01-05	vsWashington State	Q2#66	W 77-71	+3.9	69	01-02
01-08	vsWashington	Q3#125	W 73-65	+11.4	71	01-02
01-12	@Oregon	Q1#45	W 90-73	-4.5	70	01-09
01-14	@Oregon State	Q3#237	W 74-69	+7.6	69	01-09
01-19	vsUCLA	Q1#5	L 62-74	-5.6	70	01-16
01-21	vsUSC	Q2#52	L 69-77	+4.2	70	01-16
01-26	@Washington	Q2#125	L 66-69	+1.7	71	01-23
01-28	@Washington State	Q1#66	L 58-75	-4.0	69	01-23
02-02	vsOregon State	Q4#237	W 68-57	+13.4	69	01-30
02-04	vsOregon	Q2#45	L 70-75	+1.9	70	01-30
02-09	@Stanford	Q2#86	W 69-65	-1.8	69	02-06
02-11	@California	Q4#293	W 70-62	+8.7	69	02-06
02-16	vsColorado	Q2#75	L 59-67	+3.3	72	02-13
02-18	vsUtah	Q3#81	W 67-59	+2.3	71	02-13
02-25	@Arizona	Q1#11	W 89-88	-12.1	73	02-20
03-02	@UCLA	Q1#5	L 61-79	-14.2	70	02-27
03-04	@USC	Q1#52	L 65-68	-6.4	71	02-27
03-08	nOregon State	Q4#237	W 63-57	+11.7	69	03-06
03-09	nUSC	Q2#52	W 77-72	-2.3	71	03-06
03-10	nArizona	Q1#11	L 59-78	-7.8	73	03-06
03-15	nNevada	Q2#74	W 98-73	-1.0	71	03-13
03-17	nTCU	Q1#22	L 70-72	-4.7	71	03-13

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.