Arizona State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Pac-12 · 14-18 · AdjEM +4.6, 125 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →

AdjEM: +4.6125 of 362
AdjO: 102.0216 of 362
AdjD: 97.364 of 362
AdjT: 70.7132 of 362

Arizona State went from +10.6 (#75) on 2023-11-05 to +4.6 (#125) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +10.6 (#75) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 47.3%298
TOV%: 14.0%46
OREB%: 19.3%353
FTA/FGA: 33.1%162
Opp eFG%: 51.7%249
Opp TOV%: 18.2%47
DREB%: 72.2%216
Opp FTA/FGA: 31.2%137

Résumé14-18 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength: +11.330 of 362
Non-conference: +8.127 of 362
Luck: +7.5%34 of 362
Wins above bubble: -6.0117 of 362

Quad 1: 2-11
Quad 2: 6-2
Quad 3: 4-4
Quad 4: 2-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Jamiya NealG	32	32.8	11.0	5.4	1.8	47.5%	49.5%	19.5%	27.5%	66.7%
Frankie CollinsG	32	32.3	13.8	4.4	3.2	48.2%	49.5%	26.7%	31.0%	57.6%
Jose PerezG	30	30.9	13.5	3.8	2.7	46.0%	53.6%	23.9%	40.5%	73.8%
Alonzo GaffneyF	32	25.7	6.3	3.5	1.4	43.7%	44.3%	16.2%	25.2%	52.2%
Adam MillerG	23	31.4	12.0	3.2	1.6	47.5%	53.0%	21.3%	30.3%	81.8%
Kamari LandsG	32	18.8	4.5	2.5	0.8	35.8%	39.6%	17.5%	27.9%	66.7%
Bryant SelebangueF	32	15.9	4.8	4.1	0.4	57.1%	54.6%	15.8%	—	44.4%
Shawn Phillips Jr.C	24	14.3	5.5	3.3	0.4	55.3%	54.8%	22.5%	—	48.6%
Austin NunezG	30	6.7	0.7	0.6	0.6	42.5%	46.0%	6.9%	41.7%	66.7%
Braelon GreenG	25	5.4	0.9	0.8	0.4	38.5%	38.8%	13.1%	44.4%	40.0%
Akil WatsonF	21	6.2	1.8	0.7	0.1	50.0%	58.4%	16.2%	20.0%	91.7%
Brycen LongG	6	8.7	4.0	0.5	0.3	116.7%	115.1%	11.4%	77.8%	100.0%
Zane MeeksF	5	8.0	3.6	1.2	0.2	69.2%	64.5%	19.4%	46.2%	0.0%
Malachi DavisG	7	4.6	0.6	0.3	0.0	16.7%	28.8%	21.1%	0.0%	100.0%
Bobby HurleyG	9	2.2	0.0	0.6	0.1	—	—	2.6%	—	—
Jordan WilliamsG	6	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—
Andrew MayockG	3	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for Arizona State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-08	nMississippi State	Q1#34	L 56-71	-4.1	69	11-06
11-11	vsTexas Southern	Q4#279	W 63-52	+19.6	71	11-06
11-16	vsUMass Lowell	Q3#147	W 71-69	+2.5	71	11-13
11-23	nBYU	Q1#16	L 49-77	-11.9	71	11-20
11-24	nVanderbilt	Q3#175	W 82-67	+4.5	69	11-20
11-29	vsSam Houston	Q3#143	W 78-61	+5.7	70	11-27
12-03	vsSan Francisco	Q2#53	W 72-61	-0.1	70	11-27
12-06	vsSMU	Q3#76	W 76-74	+5.9	71	12-04
12-09	@San Diego	Q4#245	L 84-89	+4.8	71	12-04
12-16	nTCU	Q1#35	L 59-79	-5.5	73	12-11
12-20	nNorthwestern	Q1#39	L 46-65	-4.7	70	12-18
12-29	@Stanford	Q2#98	W 76-73	-5.3	71	12-25
12-31	@California	Q2#132	W 71-69	+1.2	71	12-25
01-04	vsUtah	Q2#44	W 82-70	-5.4	72	01-01
01-06	vsColorado	Q1#25	W 76-73	-4.6	72	01-01
01-11	@Washington	Q1#65	L 67-82	-7.6	73	01-08
01-17	vsUCLA	Q3#85	L 66-68	+4.3	69	01-15
01-20	vsUSC	Q2#70	W 82-67	+0.4	72	01-15
01-25	@Oregon	Q1#54	L 61-80	-8.8	71	01-22
01-27	@Oregon State	Q3#164	L 71-84	+3.5	70	01-22
02-01	vsStanford	Q3#98	L 62-71	+1.7	72	01-29
02-03	vsCalifornia	Q3#132	L 66-81	+6.0	71	01-29
02-08	@Colorado	Q1#25	L 70-82	-12.8	71	02-05
02-10	@Utah	Q1#44	W 85-77	-12.7	71	02-05
02-14	vsOregon State	Q4#164	W 79-61	+8.2	70	02-12
02-17	@Arizona	Q1#4	L 60-105	-21.9	73	02-12
02-22	vsWashington	Q2#65	L 82-84	-1.9	73	02-19
02-24	vsWashington State	Q2#37	W 73-61	-5.6	69	02-19
02-28	vsArizona	Q1#4	L 67-85	-14.8	73	02-26
03-07	@USC	Q1#70	L 73-81	-7.3	71	03-04
03-09	@UCLA	Q2#85	L 47-59	-5.9	68	03-04
03-13	nUtah	Q1#44	L 57-90	-7.5	71	03-11

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.