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Auburn

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SEC · 32-6 · AdjEM +36.8, 3 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+36.83 of 364
AdjO
125.72 of 364
AdjD
88.95 of 364
AdjT
69.8175 of 364

Auburn went from +27.3 (#9) on 2024-11-03 to +36.8 (#3) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +39.7 (#1) on 2024-12-23.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 38 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.0%36
TOV%
12.9%10
OREB%
33.1%35
FTA/FGA
33.9%152
Opp eFG%
46.1%12
Opp TOV%
15.8%188
DREB%
73.2%134
Opp FTA/FGA
38.7%310

Résumé32-6 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+19.22 of 364
Non-conference
+14.010 of 364
Luck
+3.3%110 of 364
Wins above bubble
+14.52 of 364
Quad 1
18-6
Quad 2
7-0
Quad 3
2-0
Quad 4
5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Johni BroomeF3630.318.610.82.953.4%54.7%30.5%27.8%58.7%
Miles KellyG3828.311.33.71.153.3%56.8%19.0%37.8%90.9%
Denver JonesG3728.210.92.02.656.0%61.9%18.0%41.1%89.6%
Chad Baker-MazaraG3825.612.33.02.753.9%60.4%22.5%38.1%88.8%
Chaney JohnsonF3823.49.14.91.359.7%61.4%17.9%29.4%70.4%
Tahaad PettifordG3822.911.62.23.052.2%56.0%26.0%36.6%80.4%
Dylan CardwellC3820.35.05.11.670.4%62.7%11.2%50.0%32.4%
Chris MooreF3710.01.11.50.448.5%50.9%6.8%18.8%66.7%
Jahki HowardF219.14.21.10.161.6%63.3%20.1%40.9%66.7%
Ja'Heim HudsonF275.91.41.00.446.2%47.7%13.5%15.4%75.0%
JP PeguesG159.41.41.20.930.4%34.6%11.8%21.7%80.0%
Blake MuschalekG132.20.70.20.2100.0%91.8%12.3%—75.0%
Presley PattersonG111.50.60.30.170.0%70.0%18.6%50.0%—
CJ WilliamsG81.40.30.00.050.0%50.0%9.0%——
Reed TrappG11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games32-6

“Ours” is our projected margin for Auburn, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsVermontQ4#199W 94-43+14.8
11-09nHoustonQ1#2W 74-69-8.1
11-13vsKent StateQ3#131W 79-56+27.1
11-18vsNorth AlabamaQ3#132W 102-69+30.0
11-25nIowa StateQ1#10W 83-81+8.7
11-26nNorth CarolinaQ1#32W 85-72+7.0
11-27nMemphisQ2#55W 90-76+9.6
12-04@DukeQ1#1L 78-84-1.1
12-08vsRichmondQ4#211W 98-54+28.3
12-14nOhio StateQ1#37W 91-53+9.1
12-17vsGeorgia StateQ4#244W 100-59+36.8
12-21nPurdueQ1#14W 87-69+11.0
12-30vsMonmouthQ4#253W 87-58+38.4
01-04vsMissouriQ1#28W 84-68+19.6
01-07@TexasQ1#35W 87-82+7.9
01-11@South CarolinaQ2#87W 66-63+17.2
01-14vsMississippi StateQ2#36W 88-66+12.7
01-18@GeorgiaQ1#45W 70-68+10.3
01-25vsTennesseeQ1#5W 53-51+6.1
01-29@LSUQ2#82W 87-74+13.6
02-01@Ole MissQ1#30W 92-82+8.7
02-04vsOklahomaQ2#43W 98-70+16.8
02-08vsFloridaQ1#4L 81-90+9.0
02-11@VanderbiltQ1#57W 80-68+12.8
02-15@AlabamaQ1#6W 94-85+1.8
02-19vsArkansasQ2#40W 67-60+17.7
02-22vsGeorgiaQ2#45W 82-70+17.6
02-26vsOle MissQ1#30W 106-76+14.5
03-01@KentuckyQ1#13W 94-78+4.3
03-04@Texas A&MQ1#29L 72-83+8.9
03-08vsAlabamaQ1#6L 91-93+8.1
03-14nOle MissQ1#30W 62-57+12.3
03-15nTennesseeQ1#5L 65-70+3.2
03-20nAlabama StateQ4#290W 83-63+34.4
03-22nCreightonQ1#26W 82-70+10.3
03-28nMichiganQ1#27W 78-65+10.0
03-30nMichigan StateQ1#12W 70-64+6.9
04-05nFloridaQ1#4L 73-79+1.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.