Mississippi Valley State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SWAC · 1-28 · AdjEM -44.0, 364 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -44.0364 of 364
AdjO: 79.3364 of 364
AdjD: 123.3364 of 364
AdjT: 65.8352 of 364

Mississippi Valley State went from -32.0 (#364) on 2024-11-03 to -44.0 (#364) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -29.9 (#363) on 2024-11-04.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 42.1%364
TOV%: 22.5%363
OREB%: 19.9%347
FTA/FGA: 30.3%268
Opp eFG%: 57.9%363
Opp TOV%: 14.4%294
DREB%: 62.9%362
Opp FTA/FGA: 38.4%305

Résumé1-28 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -5.0271 of 364
Non-conference: +14.19 of 364
Luck: -0.5%200 of 364
Wins above bubble: -21.8355 of 364

Quad 1: 0-8
Quad 2: 0-1
Quad 3: 0-2
Quad 4: 1-17

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Donovan SandersG	29	32.7	9.0	3.0	2.8	38.7%	41.0%	23.5%	21.3%	60.3%
Alvin StredicF	28	30.9	9.4	5.2	1.2	41.0%	46.0%	23.2%	0.0%	62.1%
Antonio SiskG	28	25.8	6.0	1.8	1.9	48.7%	50.1%	18.3%	39.6%	59.5%
Arthur TateG	30	24.0	9.4	2.7	0.5	47.3%	51.0%	24.5%	33.0%	93.0%
Jair HortonF	29	19.5	5.1	2.7	0.8	39.7%	43.9%	19.8%	27.3%	66.0%
George Ivory IIIG	25	14.4	1.5	1.1	0.2	52.9%	52.2%	8.0%	47.1%	40.0%
Greg Moore Jr.G	29	11.4	5.0	1.2	0.7	50.4%	54.8%	26.4%	30.9%	75.6%
Daniel UmohC	26	10.5	2.3	2.4	0.2	60.9%	57.6%	14.8%	—	27.3%
Raeshun McGregoryG	17	16.0	2.9	1.8	0.2	45.3%	46.8%	12.6%	33.3%	50.0%
Markell PetroG	26	10.1	1.1	1.0	0.3	27.9%	30.2%	12.4%	19.0%	57.1%
Moses HorneG	17	13.1	3.8	2.1	0.3	36.2%	40.0%	24.3%	31.3%	57.7%
Walter HamiltonF	11	18.5	5.0	3.4	0.5	47.5%	56.1%	16.5%	0.0%	89.5%
Kendal ParkerG	16	11.3	3.9	1.5	0.3	41.4%	44.9%	24.7%	27.3%	76.9%
Darrion SaleryC	17	9.4	1.4	1.1	0.1	28.8%	33.5%	15.3%	14.3%	83.3%
Jonathan PaceF	20	5.7	1.6	1.1	0.0	55.0%	59.0%	14.9%	—	66.7%
Jadarius TownesG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games1-28

“Ours” is our projected margin for Mississippi Valley State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	@Iowa State	Q1#10	L 44-83	-45.1	68	11-03
11-14	@Missouri	Q1#28	L 39-111	-30.4	69	11-11
11-16	@Texas	Q1#35	L 43-89	-39.5	69	11-11
11-19	@Kansas State	Q1#71	L 56-74	-36.2	70	11-18
11-23	@BYU	Q1#21	L 43-87	-45.8	70	11-18
11-26	@Utah	Q1#66	L 48-94	-42.1	70	11-25
11-29	@UC Santa Barbara	Q3#137	L 48-81	-30.3	68	11-25
12-07	@Liberty	Q1#73	L 52-89	-36.2	66	12-02
12-18	@North Texas	Q1#64	L 42-83	-36.3	66	12-16
12-21	@Tulsa	Q3#232	L 48-93	-22.3	69	12-16
12-29	@LSU	Q2#82	L 45-110	-40.5	69	12-23
01-04	@Alabama State	Q4#290	L 55-84	-23.9	70	12-30
01-06	@Alabama A&M	Q4#361	L 67-79	-13.5	70	12-30
01-11	vsPrairie View A&M	Q4#356	L 65-74	-14.9	70	01-06
01-13	vsTexas Southern	Q4#274	L 53-82	-16.7	70	01-06
01-18	@Bethune-Cookman	Q4#292	L 58-83	-26.0	69	01-13
01-20	@Florida A&M	Q4#329	L 53-83	-17.2	68	01-13
01-25	vsGrambling	Q4#322	L 54-65	-15.8	67	01-20
01-27	vsSouthern	Q4#238	L 42-63	-21.8	69	01-20
02-01	@Arkansas-Pine Bluff	Q4#363	W 79-76	-13.6	70	01-27
02-08	@Jackson State	Q4#273	L 44-92	-21.9	69	02-03
02-10	@Alcorn State	Q4#332	L 39-86	-18.6	66	02-03
02-15	vsAlabama A&M	Q4#361	L 70-82	-9.9	70	02-10
02-17	vsAlabama State	Q4#290	L 56-79	-17.3	68	02-10
02-22	@Texas Southern	Q4#274	L 38-79	-25.6	69	02-17
02-24	@Prairie View A&M	Q4#356	L 56-64	-19.7	69	02-17
03-01	vsArkansas-Pine Bluff	Q4#363	L 58-83	-7.7	70	02-24
03-06	vsAlcorn State	Q4#332	L 64-72	-16.1	66	03-03
03-08	vsJackson State	Q4#273	L 62-66	-20.4	68	03-03

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.