Morgan State

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MEAC · 11-17 · AdjEM -17.1, 335 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -17.1335 of 364
AdjO: 98.1291 of 364
AdjD: 115.2348 of 364
AdjT: 73.223 of 364

Morgan State went from -14.9 (#326) on 2024-11-03 to -17.1 (#335) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -14.9 (#326) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 49.1%266
TOV%: 17.4%282
OREB%: 32.2%59
FTA/FGA: 35.7%96
Opp eFG%: 52.3%252
Opp TOV%: 16.0%174
DREB%: 64.0%360
Opp FTA/FGA: 39.3%321

Résumé11-17 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -9.7353 of 364
Non-conference: -4.1312 of 364
Luck: +3.8%100 of 364
Wins above bubble: -14.1266 of 364

Quad 1: 0-2
Quad 2: 0-1
Quad 3: 0-4
Quad 4: 11-10

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Kameron HobbsG	32	31.7	16.5	3.6	2.4	51.8%	56.4%	24.0%	35.8%	84.9%
Will ThomasF	32	27.1	14.1	3.8	2.1	49.2%	53.7%	25.9%	37.9%	81.1%
Rob LawsonG	31	26.6	7.4	2.3	2.4	40.0%	45.7%	17.9%	37.5%	74.7%
Daniel AkitobyF	32	23.9	9.4	7.3	0.8	59.3%	61.9%	18.1%	0.0%	69.5%
Amahrie SimpkinsG	26	27.3	12.2	4.5	2.2	57.7%	58.0%	22.1%	37.5%	56.6%
Kiran OliverG	31	17.1	5.9	3.3	0.7	55.8%	58.3%	16.1%	31.5%	75.0%
Jaden MartinF	24	15.5	3.8	3.1	1.2	40.5%	46.6%	15.8%	20.0%	70.3%
Trent EdwardsF	26	13.1	3.8	2.3	0.2	58.0%	59.8%	13.4%	0.0%	65.5%
Wynston TabbsG	13	26.0	15.1	3.2	2.3	49.7%	55.9%	27.8%	25.9%	90.2%
Marland HarrisF	14	14.0	4.4	3.5	0.1	57.1%	57.1%	16.1%	—	54.2%
Matar WadeF	24	7.7	1.5	1.8	0.4	51.6%	51.0%	11.7%	0.0%	44.4%
Demajion ToppsG	17	9.9	2.1	1.1	0.9	45.2%	47.1%	14.0%	40.0%	53.8%
Tytan NewtonG	13	8.6	1.4	1.0	0.3	45.8%	49.5%	11.0%	33.3%	53.8%
Walter Peggs Jr.G	1	31.0	30.0	3.0	1.0	62.5%	67.0%	35.4%	46.7%	100.0%
Logan SchayesF	3	10.3	2.7	0.3	0.0	41.7%	50.6%	16.5%	50.0%	75.0%
Pierce ShirkG	12	2.3	0.8	0.3	0.0	90.0%	65.2%	13.7%	50.0%	0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games11-17

“Ours” is our projected margin for Morgan State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-06	vsMercyhurst	Q4#330	L 73-78	-0.3	71	11-04
11-09	@Longwood	Q3#215	L 66-84	-13.0	71	11-04
11-16	vsNJIT	Q4#349	W 81-69	+5.0	71	11-11
11-20	@North Carolina A&T	Q4#334	L 83-86	-7.2	73	11-18
11-22	@Buffalo	Q4#350	L 73-82	-3.3	73	11-18
11-24	vsTowson	Q3#152	L 60-64	-9.7	71	11-18
11-27	@UMBC	Q4#284	L 69-92	-6.9	73	11-25
12-07	@Bowling Green	Q4#283	L 81-102	-11.3	72	12-02
12-10	@Xavier	Q1#46	L 58-119	-24.8	73	12-09
12-15	vsCampbell	Q4#231	W 86-76	-2.4	72	12-09
12-22	@Iowa State	Q1#10	L 72-99	-42.0	73	12-16
12-29	@Minnesota	Q2#89	L 68-90	-20.9	71	12-23
01-04	vsSouth Carolina State	Q4#212	L 72-86	-5.9	72	12-30
01-07	vsNorth Carolina Central	Q4#321	W 102-98	-1.7	71	01-06
01-11	@Howard	Q4#303	L 95-100	-10.9	72	01-06
01-13	vsNorfolk State	Q4#205	W 78-74	-10.9	71	01-06
01-25	vsCoppin State	Q4#362	W 80-64	+9.2	73	01-20
02-01	vsMaryland Eastern Shore	Q4#360	W 76-63	+8.1	72	01-27
02-03	@Delaware State	Q4#311	L 82-84	-7.6	73	01-27
02-15	@South Carolina State	Q3#212	L 62-90	-10.8	73	02-10
02-17	@North Carolina Central	Q4#321	W 92-78	-7.5	72	02-10
02-22	vsHoward	Q4#303	W 81-71	-1.4	72	02-17
02-24	@Norfolk State	Q3#205	L 60-69	-13.8	72	02-17
03-01	@Maryland Eastern Shore	Q4#360	W 75-72	+4.3	71	02-24
03-03	vsDelaware State	Q4#311	W 87-81	-0.6	73	02-24
03-06	@Coppin State	Q4#362	L 75-82	+4.9	71	03-03
03-13	nHoward	Q4#303	W 91-90	-3.5	72	03-10
03-14	nNorfolk State	Q4#205	L 55-58	-10.0	71	03-10

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.