Dayton

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

A-10 · 22-11 · AdjEM +12.7, 69 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: +12.769 of 364
AdjO: 114.844 of 364
AdjD: 102.1110 of 364
AdjT: 68.3254 of 364

Dayton went from +20.9 (#25) on 2024-11-03 to +12.7 (#69) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +22.4 (#25) on 2024-12-16.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 53.0%79
TOV%: 14.6%74
OREB%: 27.1%205
FTA/FGA: 37.4%50
Opp eFG%: 51.1%192
Opp TOV%: 16.3%145
DREB%: 73.2%133
Opp FTA/FGA: 31.4%140

Résumé22-11 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +6.390 of 364
Non-conference: +8.034 of 364
Luck: +2.2%140 of 364
Wins above bubble: -2.566 of 364

Quad 1: 3-3
Quad 2: 3-5
Quad 3: 9-3
Quad 4: 7-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Nate SantosF	34	33.3	14.3	5.6	1.6	53.9%	57.4%	22.4%	41.8%	73.8%
Enoch CheeksG	33	33.7	13.2	6.2	2.0	55.9%	59.8%	19.8%	35.5%	80.2%
Javon BennettG	34	31.0	11.6	2.7	2.1	54.9%	57.2%	19.2%	39.0%	79.3%
Malachi SmithG	33	27.8	10.4	2.9	5.3	48.2%	52.7%	22.9%	38.3%	71.7%
Zed KeyF	32	19.2	8.8	3.8	0.3	58.4%	65.5%	21.1%	0.0%	79.1%
Amael L'EtangF	34	16.9	7.1	4.3	1.2	57.3%	59.0%	22.2%	33.8%	64.3%
Posh AlexanderG	29	19.0	5.8	2.2	2.2	43.3%	49.4%	19.2%	29.3%	88.6%
Jacob ConnerF	28	12.1	2.7	1.1	0.3	49.2%	51.0%	13.5%	29.5%	59.1%
Jaiun SimonF	32	7.0	1.2	1.5	0.2	41.9%	43.8%	12.0%	21.4%	54.5%
Isaac JackF	21	8.4	3.2	2.0	0.3	81.6%	77.0%	16.6%	—	46.2%
Hamad MousaG	20	7.8	1.3	0.5	0.4	32.6%	42.5%	14.3%	7.7%	68.8%
Brady UhlG	7	3.6	0.3	0.1	0.6	16.7%	16.7%	12.8%	0.0%	—
Evan DickeyG	6	1.7	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.0%	0.0%	10.6%	—	—
Atticus SchulerG	5	1.4	0.6	0.4	0.0	100.0%	51.7%	22.1%	—	25.0%
Will MaxwellG	5	1.4	0.4	0.4	0.2	—	105.3%	7.2%	—	100.0%
Makai GrantG	3	2.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	50.0%	50.0%	17.7%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games22-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Dayton, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	vsSt. Francis (PA)	Q4#317	W 87-57	+30.3	68	11-03
11-09	vsNorthwestern	Q2#49	W 71-66	+1.5	68	11-04
11-13	vsBall State	Q4#281	W 77-69	+23.4	69	11-11
11-20	vsNew Mexico State	Q4#162	W 74-53	+19.6	68	11-18
11-25	nNorth Carolina	Q1#32	L 90-92	-4.4	72	11-18
11-26	nIowa State	Q1#10	L 84-89	-6.0	70	11-25
11-27	nUConn	Q1#11	W 85-67	-11.2	69	11-25
12-03	vsWestern Michigan	Q4#299	W 77-69	+26.9	69	12-02
12-07	vsLehigh	Q4#275	W 86-62	+26.8	70	12-02
12-14	vsMarquette	Q1#24	W 71-63	-0.5	69	12-09
12-17	vsUNLV	Q3#93	W 66-65	+14.2	67	12-16
12-20	nCincinnati	Q1#39	L 59-66	-1.6	68	12-16
12-31	vsLa Salle	Q4#224	W 84-70	+19.3	70	12-30
01-04	@George Washington	Q3#147	L 62-82	+10.3	70	12-30
01-08	@Massachusetts	Q3#195	L 72-76	+11.3	71	01-06
01-15	vsGeorge Mason	Q3#81	L 59-67	+7.1	68	01-13
01-18	vsLoyola Chicago	Q3#110	W 83-81	+13.3	69	01-13
01-21	@Duquesne	Q2#120	W 82-62	+3.4	67	01-20
01-24	vsSaint Joseph's	Q3#83	W 77-72	+6.3	70	01-20
01-28	@St. Bonaventure	Q2#113	L 53-75	+2.3	67	01-27
01-31	@Saint Louis	Q2#107	W 71-63	+3.6	68	01-27
02-04	vsDavidson	Q3#141	W 69-63	+10.2	68	02-03
02-07	vsVCU	Q2#33	L 68-73	-0.9	68	02-03
02-12	@Fordham	Q3#221	W 93-76	+8.3	70	02-10
02-15	vsDuquesne	Q3#120	W 77-76	+10.2	67	02-10
02-21	@Loyola Chicago	Q2#110	L 72-76	+3.3	69	02-17
02-26	@Rhode Island	Q3#146	W 85-77	+4.4	70	02-24
03-01	vsRichmond	Q4#211	W 74-64	+14.7	67	02-24
03-04	vsSaint Louis	Q3#107	W 75-67	+6.9	69	03-03
03-07	@VCU	Q1#33	W 79-76	-9.3	68	03-03
03-14	nSaint Joseph's	Q2#83	L 68-73	+1.5	69	03-10
03-19	nFlorida Atlantic	Q3#105	W 86-79	+4.9	70	03-17
03-22	@Chattanooga	Q2#108	L 72-87	+3.3	69	03-17

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.