Texas State
Sun Belt · 14-16 · AdjEM -3.0, 197 of 364 nationally.
2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots
Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07
Every team →- AdjEM
- -3.0197 of 364
- AdjO
- 105.8149 of 364
- AdjD
- 108.7252 of 364
- AdjT
- 69.3199 of 364
Texas State went from -3.6 (#198) on 2024-11-03 to -3.0 (#197) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +3.0 (#134) on 2024-12-23.
AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).
Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games
Leaderboards →- eFG%
- 50.7%175
- TOV%
- 16.4%208
- OREB%
- 32.3%55
- FTA/FGA
- 36.0%84
- Opp eFG%
- 49.9%121
- Opp TOV%
- 15.2%236
- DREB%
- 70.4%269
- Opp FTA/FGA
- 41.6%345
Résumé14-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07
- Schedule strength
- -3.6220 of 364
- Non-conference
- -1.4236 of 364
- Luck
- -4.3%272 of 364
- Wins above bubble
- -12.4224 of 364
- Quad 1
- 0-0
- Quad 2
- 1-4
- Quad 3
- 4-7
- Quad 4
- 9-5
Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.
Players13 who played · most minutes first
National leaders →Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.
Games14-16
“Ours” is our projected margin for Texas State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.
How this is measured
Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.
Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.