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Ohio

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 15-16 · AdjEM -1.4, 177 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-1.4177 of 364
AdjO
105.2159 of 364
AdjD
106.7209 of 364
AdjT
72.154 of 364

Ohio went from +4.3 (#121) on 2024-11-03 to -1.4 (#177) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +4.3 (#121) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.4%71
TOV%
14.3%47
OREB%
20.6%344
FTA/FGA
33.5%164
Opp eFG%
52.3%251
Opp TOV%
16.4%143
DREB%
73.2%135
Opp FTA/FGA
36.4%271

Résumé15-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-4.6258 of 364
Non-conference
-1.3232 of 364
Luck
-9.7%340 of 364
Wins above bubble
-12.8232 of 364
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
4-6
Quad 4
11-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jackson PaveletzkeG3232.313.84.14.854.6%58.9%22.6%32.3%76.7%
AJ ClaytonF2928.414.05.31.059.2%61.7%22.3%37.5%78.7%
AJ BrownG2926.613.23.21.157.5%61.9%22.5%38.8%82.0%
Elmore James IVG3025.68.22.60.948.1%52.3%17.5%37.3%84.3%
Shereef MitchellG2528.513.23.22.550.6%55.7%23.8%40.2%82.8%
Ajay SheldonG3219.44.71.51.347.2%49.4%13.5%28.4%72.0%
Vic SearlsF3218.37.13.90.862.5%63.8%19.1%25.0%67.9%
Elijah ElliottG3016.55.13.21.448.4%51.1%17.8%39.3%61.1%
Aidan HadawayF1826.910.25.81.655.9%58.5%18.1%33.3%72.1%
Ayden EvansF166.01.20.90.146.7%47.0%15.4%0.0%45.5%
Ben NicolF74.31.40.01.044.4%50.3%18.4%28.6%100.0%
Ben EstisG74.01.00.30.360.0%58.8%14.3%50.0%50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Ohio, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@James MadisonQ2#135L 78-88-7.7
11-09vsUNC AshevilleQ4#200W 82-76+10.9
11-12@Illinois StateQ2#118L 75-85-0.1
11-15@MemphisQ1#55L 70-94-14.4
11-21nMiddle TennesseeQ3#123L 81-83+2.8
11-22nPortlandQ4#286W 85-73+9.7
11-24nTexas StateQ3#197L 65-74+1.6
11-30vsRobert MorrisQ3#159W 84-68+8.9
12-07vsMorehead StateQ4#304W 88-76+9.9
12-14@MarshallQ3#171L 70-79-1.8
12-18vsAustin PeayQ4#280W 78-58+8.5
01-04@Central MichiganQ3#228W 57-55+2.2
01-07@BuffaloQ4#350W 88-79+9.6
01-11vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#353W 108-70+20.4
01-14vsBall StateQ4#281W 86-71+9.2
01-17@AkronQ2#112L 80-92-4.3
01-21@Eastern MichiganQ4#296L 87-94+9.8
01-24vsKent StateQ3#131W 61-59+4.3
01-28vsToledoQ4#233L 83-86+5.7
02-01@Miami (OH)Q3#168L 69-73-1.6
02-04vsWestern MichiganQ4#299W 94-69+13.2
02-08vsApp StateQ3#148L 59-72+0.0
02-11@Bowling GreenQ4#283W 86-81+5.1
02-14@Kent StateQ2#131L 75-76-4.6
02-18vsCentral MichiganQ4#228W 84-82+7.2
02-22vsAkronQ3#112W 84-67-1.3
02-25@Western MichiganQ4#299L 73-82+7.3
03-01vsMiami (OH)Q4#168W 75-66+4.8
03-04vsEastern MichiganQ4#296L 79-83+12.7
03-07@ToledoQ3#233L 82-96+1.9
03-13nToledoQ4#233L 85-90+4.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.