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Troy

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 21-11 · AdjEM +7.4, 97 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+7.497 of 364
AdjO
106.0143 of 364
AdjD
98.672 of 364
AdjT
68.1267 of 364

Troy went from +3.1 (#134) on 2024-11-03 to +7.4 (#97) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +7.5 (#98) on 2025-03-24.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.8%232
TOV%
18.2%318
OREB%
37.1%7
FTA/FGA
37.0%61
Opp eFG%
47.5%35
Opp TOV%
18.2%58
DREB%
70.7%262
Opp FTA/FGA
29.2%82

Résumé21-11 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-1.6169 of 364
Non-conference
+4.873 of 364
Luck
-2.8%241 of 364
Wins above bubble
-5.395 of 364
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
2-1
Quad 3
5-3
Quad 4
14-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tayton ConerwayG3430.314.24.64.851.8%54.0%26.1%27.0%66.4%
Myles RigsbyG3328.112.24.11.450.0%58.3%22.4%28.6%79.8%
Thomas DowdF3425.39.56.91.050.8%54.5%18.8%29.5%73.0%
Jackson FieldsF3421.97.94.80.754.2%58.1%17.8%33.3%72.1%
Marcus Rigsby Jr.G3421.46.92.71.745.9%48.1%20.6%28.9%66.0%
Victor ValdesF3416.84.42.21.941.9%47.2%17.4%30.3%74.0%
Cooper CampbellG3416.65.21.61.351.7%54.3%16.1%35.6%75.0%
Theo SengF3014.35.33.10.552.4%55.8%18.5%30.9%77.1%
Jerrell BellamyC3210.04.62.20.155.9%59.0%21.0%37.5%68.8%
Randarius JonesC298.62.81.90.261.2%60.1%16.2%—54.1%
Kerrington KielF308.21.31.40.436.2%38.6%14.1%30.0%60.0%
Braydon WhitakerG153.31.10.40.154.5%61.4%21.2%25.0%83.3%
Kameryn MitchellG152.70.20.60.112.5%15.2%18.5%0.0%25.0%
Jackson PorchG152.11.00.30.246.4%48.6%27.1%11.1%66.7%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games21-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Troy, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04vsToledoQ4#233W 84-74+4.0
11-09@New OrleansQ4#355W 78-61+15.2
11-13@ArkansasQ1#40L 49-65-8.7
11-17@OregonQ1#31L 61-82-13.4
11-19@West GeorgiaQ4#338W 84-65+7.6
11-25vsUTSAQ4#198W 86-72+13.2
11-29vsMerrimackQ4#185L 68-72+12.6
12-01vsEastern KentuckyQ4#193W 84-74+7.7
12-10@HoustonQ1#2L 42-62-25.3
12-21vsGeorgia StateQ4#244W 77-57+11.7
01-02@App StateQ3#148W 69-61-1.0
01-04@MarshallQ3#171W 58-57+2.7
01-09vsTexas StateQ4#197L 73-74+7.5
01-11vsArkansas StateQ3#91L 78-84+1.8
01-15@UL MonroeQ4#347W 77-58+12.4
01-18@South AlabamaQ3#136L 63-64-1.8
01-25vsSouth AlabamaQ3#136W 65-55+5.2
01-27vsSouthern MissQ4#291W 70-61+14.2
01-30vsGeorgia SouthernQ4#254W 81-74+14.7
02-01vsUL MonroeQ4#347W 87-50+19.2
02-05@James MadisonQ2#135L 61-64-1.0
02-08@Miami (OH)Q3#168L 62-69+2.5
02-12@LouisianaQ4#310W 74-56+10.3
02-15@Arkansas StateQ2#91W 71-70-4.7
02-20vsLouisianaQ4#310L 69-72+16.7
02-22vsCoastal CarolinaQ4#315W 83-66+17.0
02-25@Texas StateQ3#197W 74-69+2.7
02-28@Southern MissQ4#291W 70-58+8.9
03-08nOld DominionQ4#308W 75-59+14.2
03-09nJames MadisonQ3#135W 79-60+2.3
03-10nArkansas StateQ2#91W 94-81-1.7
03-21nKentuckyQ1#13L 57-76-13.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.