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UC San Diego

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 28-5 · AdjEM +17.6, 48 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+17.648 of 364
AdjO
112.860 of 364
AdjD
95.341 of 364
AdjT
67.5296 of 364

UC San Diego went from +1.9 (#144) on 2024-11-03 to +17.6 (#48) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +17.7 (#47) on 2025-03-17.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.1%31
TOV%
12.2%5
OREB%
23.1%314
FTA/FGA
33.4%168
Opp eFG%
47.8%45
Opp TOV%
21.8%3
DREB%
74.7%65
Opp FTA/FGA
29.9%98

Résumé28-5 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-2.4190 of 364
Non-conference
+0.1193 of 364
Luck
+0.1%189 of 364
Wins above bubble
-0.351 of 364
Quad 1
1-2
Quad 2
2-0
Quad 3
8-3
Quad 4
17-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Hayden GrayG3532.211.23.13.358.3%59.3%17.6%41.8%68.8%
Tyler McGhieG3530.516.64.11.753.8%56.5%26.6%37.7%86.3%
Aniwaniwa Tait-JonesG3529.719.15.43.659.6%64.9%29.8%31.3%75.1%
Chris HowellG3528.95.63.83.052.1%56.8%11.0%32.8%75.0%
Nordin KapicF3425.010.75.21.248.1%52.6%24.2%30.7%74.8%
Justin RochelinG3519.36.63.50.755.9%57.1%18.1%34.0%68.8%
Aidan BurkeG3513.04.11.30.560.3%60.3%14.9%39.2%57.1%
Maximo MilovichF3313.22.32.80.862.3%60.8%8.9%25.0%50.0%
Cade PendletonF205.52.70.90.261.9%62.9%22.2%45.2%100.0%
Ryder ElisaldezG205.31.00.70.859.4%59.0%9.8%33.3%50.0%
Jasen BrooksG184.22.10.80.452.9%53.6%25.3%32.1%100.0%
Milos VicenticF120.03.05.00.025.0%25.0%18.4%100.0%—
Yaqub MirG35.72.00.70.750.0%50.4%18.4%25.0%50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games28-5

“Ours” is our projected margin for UC San Diego, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@San Diego StateQ1#56L 58-63-13.3
11-09vsPepperdineQ4#225W 94-76+9.3
11-12vsSacramento StateQ4#341W 64-54+15.3
11-16vsSeattle UQ3#145L 71-84+5.0
11-21nLa SalleQ4#224W 72-67-1.6
11-22nJames MadisonQ3#135W 73-67-3.8
11-23nToledoQ4#233W 80-45-1.3
12-05@UC Santa BarbaraQ3#137W 84-76-3.4
12-07vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 81-60+13.6
12-15@IdahoQ4#276W 80-56+10.2
12-17@Utah StateQ1#50W 75-73-9.6
12-21@San DiegoQ4#301W 77-71+11.4
01-04@Cal State FullertonQ4#346W 90-51+10.3
01-09vsCal PolyQ4#229W 95-68+19.5
01-11vsUC IrvineQ3#76L 52-60+3.2
01-16@Long Beach StateQ4#305W 80-54+11.3
01-18@UC RiversideQ3#188L 81-85+7.3
01-23vsUC Santa BarbaraQ3#137W 77-63+9.7
01-25vsCal State NorthridgeQ3#142W 79-54+9.8
01-30@Hawai'iQ3#227W 74-63+7.2
02-06vsUC RiversideQ4#188W 91-71+13.3
02-08@UC IrvineQ2#76W 85-67-2.9
02-13@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 73-54+13.5
02-15vsUC DavisQ4#245W 85-60+16.2
02-20@Cal PolyQ3#229W 81-67+14.0
02-22vsHawai'iQ4#227W 83-44+15.6
02-27@Cal State NorthridgeQ3#142W 77-71+7.3
03-01vsCal State FullertonQ4#346W 100-55+26.3
03-06vsLong Beach StateQ4#305W 70-63+23.3
03-08@UC DavisQ4#245W 68-57+13.1
03-14nUC Santa BarbaraQ3#137W 69-51+9.3
03-15nUC IrvineQ2#76W 75-61+3.2
03-20nMichiganQ1#27L 65-68-3.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.