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UC Santa Barbara

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 19-13 · AdjEM +2.0, 137 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+2.0137 of 364
AdjO
107.1126 of 364
AdjD
105.1178 of 364
AdjT
66.9321 of 364

UC Santa Barbara went from +0.2 (#160) on 2024-11-03 to +2.0 (#137) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +8.2 (#97) on 2024-11-11.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.6%44
TOV%
16.9%249
OREB%
25.5%246
FTA/FGA
29.7%282
Opp eFG%
48.9%86
Opp TOV%
15.9%179
DREB%
74.2%88
Opp FTA/FGA
32.0%157

Résumé19-13 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-4.6254 of 364
Non-conference
-10.4363 of 364
Luck
-3.9%268 of 364
Wins above bubble
-9.1162 of 364
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
4-6
Quad 4
15-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players19 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jason Fontenet IIG3429.69.96.02.748.1%53.5%19.6%31.8%77.1%
Stephan SwensonG3329.713.43.74.457.1%59.4%24.1%43.2%79.4%
Cole AndersonG3428.58.91.91.065.2%66.9%13.7%47.4%92.0%
Kenny PohtoF3425.711.86.21.662.2%63.9%23.2%0.0%67.2%
Deuce TurnerG3419.49.61.81.449.3%53.4%28.2%31.6%83.8%
Max MurrellF3119.05.52.11.051.3%53.1%16.7%31.9%86.7%
Ben ShtolzbergG3313.53.81.81.551.8%61.1%14.8%20.0%95.2%
Colin SmithF2020.38.72.81.158.1%60.4%22.6%43.5%71.4%
Koat Keat TongF239.32.33.00.466.1%64.7%13.4%60.0%57.1%
Ariel BlandF277.61.91.70.457.6%61.6%13.9%—75.0%
Zion SensleyG207.14.01.60.154.9%57.4%29.4%35.7%70.0%
Evans KiprutoC207.01.01.40.144.4%49.1%9.6%0.0%80.0%
Chris MitchellG108.52.41.70.138.0%41.7%23.7%11.1%62.5%
Zachiah ClarkG57.42.80.60.654.2%54.1%24.4%25.0%50.0%
Max SheldonG72.00.40.10.137.5%37.5%22.8%25.0%—
David PicklesF71.90.00.30.10.0%0.0%8.2%0.0%—
Henry HartwellG51.80.60.20.075.0%75.0%23.7%50.0%—
Bryce HowardG42.00.50.50.0100.0%100.0%6.7%——
Elia BongiornoG31.30.00.70.00.0%0.0%26.6%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for UC Santa Barbara, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09@PortlandQ4#286W 94-53+4.2
11-13vsFresno StateQ4#257W 91-86+13.9
11-17@San José StateQ3#167W 64-59+10.5
11-20vsUTEPQ4#163L 76-79+11.7
11-26vsEastern WashingtonQ4#267W 67-51+8.9
11-29vsMississippi Valley StateQ4#364W 81-48+30.3
12-05vsUC San DiegoQ2#48L 76-84+3.4
12-07@UC DavisQ4#245L 60-71+4.4
12-14vsGreen BayQ4#326W 83-66+14.6
12-18@Loyola MarymountQ3#149L 58-60+1.5
12-22@Missouri StateQ3#216L 56-68+1.5
01-02@Hawai'iQ3#227W 64-61-0.2
01-09vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 78-66+10.5
01-11@Cal PolyQ3#229W 75-72+5.4
01-16vsUC RiversideQ4#188W 66-63+7.9
01-18vsUC DavisQ4#245L 60-64+11.2
01-23@UC San DiegoQ1#48L 63-77-9.7
01-25@Cal State FullertonQ4#346W 83-75+7.0
01-30vsCal State NorthridgeQ3#142L 71-78+4.0
02-01vsLong Beach StateQ4#305W 85-54+12.3
02-06@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 81-75+5.1
02-08vsHawai'iQ4#227W 76-72+6.1
02-13@UC IrvineQ2#76L 60-62-8.9
02-15@UC RiversideQ3#188L 69-81+0.6
02-20vsCal State FullertonQ4#346W 86-56+16.4
02-22@Long Beach StateQ4#305W 58-56+7.8
02-27vsCal PolyQ4#229W 96-77+11.9
03-01@Cal State NorthridgeQ3#142L 77-103-2.0
03-08vsUC IrvineQ3#76L 88-97-2.3
03-12nCal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 71-66+7.6
03-13nCal State NorthridgeQ3#142W 78-72+0.4
03-14nUC San DiegoQ1#48L 51-69-9.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.