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UC Riverside

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 19-13 · AdjEM -2.3, 188 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-2.3188 of 364
AdjO
105.1163 of 364
AdjD
107.4224 of 364
AdjT
70.4126 of 364

UC Riverside went from -4.7 (#213) on 2024-11-03 to -2.3 (#188) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +0.1 (#161) on 2024-11-18.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.4%252
TOV%
15.0%110
OREB%
29.8%116
FTA/FGA
28.0%322
Opp eFG%
52.1%245
Opp TOV%
14.7%270
DREB%
73.7%108
Opp FTA/FGA
33.1%184

Résumé19-13 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+0.5140 of 364
Non-conference
+7.140 of 364
Luck
+14.8%1 of 364
Wins above bubble
-6.2112 of 364
Quad 1
1-5
Quad 2
1-2
Quad 3
7-2
Quad 4
10-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Barrington HargressG3432.020.22.34.050.7%53.7%32.5%32.9%73.3%
Kaleb SmithF3426.511.04.51.045.1%48.7%24.4%33.1%76.2%
Nate PickensG3327.39.83.52.149.0%54.3%19.4%39.2%75.9%
Isaiah MosesG3426.412.01.93.050.1%54.9%24.3%36.3%93.5%
Niyi OlabodeG3421.94.84.30.948.4%49.9%12.6%32.6%68.2%
Joel ArmotradingC3321.85.86.50.560.2%63.0%12.8%—73.6%
Rikus SchulteF3315.23.83.30.557.4%57.5%12.6%23.8%56.3%
Jack WhitbournC3413.13.34.40.549.4%52.4%14.2%33.3%62.5%
Parker StraussG2613.33.32.40.754.9%56.5%14.0%35.3%77.8%
Gavin DavisG325.51.10.30.245.9%46.8%13.8%26.1%66.7%
Luke TurnerF227.61.51.00.236.6%38.9%13.9%25.0%100.0%
Jayden MojicaG42.30.50.50.00.0%14.5%49.6%0.0%50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for UC Riverside, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@OregonQ1#31L 76-91-19.2
11-08@BYUQ1#21L 80-86-20.8
11-12@California BaptistQ3#175W 70-69+0.7
11-19@Santa ClaraQ1#59L 54-96-4.3
11-22@Colorado StateQ1#44W 77-75-9.3
11-24vsAlcorn StateQ4#332W 69-52+18.7
11-30@IdahoQ4#276L 68-80+5.2
12-05@Cal State NorthridgeQ3#142W 68-64-7.7
12-07vsCal State FullertonQ4#346W 75-68+6.8
12-18vsMontana StateQ4#178W 83-80-1.0
12-21@UNLVQ2#93L 53-66-10.1
12-29vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#121W 81-79-1.5
01-02@Long Beach StateQ4#305W 76-60+0.6
01-04@UC IrvineQ2#76L 57-81-14.7
01-09vsHawai'iQ4#227L 76-83+2.8
01-16@UC Santa BarbaraQ3#137L 63-66-7.9
01-18vsUC San DiegoQ2#48W 85-81-7.3
01-23vsUC IrvineQ3#76W 84-80-8.6
01-25@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 83-79+0.1
01-30vsUC DavisQ4#245W 60-58+6.2
02-01vsCal PolyQ4#229W 80-62+10.2
02-06@UC San DiegoQ1#48L 71-91-13.3
02-08vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 69-64+8.0
02-13@UC DavisQ4#245L 74-75-1.2
02-15vsUC Santa BarbaraQ3#137W 81-69-0.6
02-20vsLong Beach StateQ4#305W 87-66+10.8
02-22@Cal PolyQ3#229L 100-112+2.0
02-27@Hawai'iQ3#227W 82-76-0.7
03-06vsCal State NorthridgeQ3#142W 94-79+0.4
03-08@Cal State FullertonQ4#346W 64-59+8.9
03-13nCal PolyQ4#229L 83-96+4.5
03-18@Santa ClaraQ1#59L 62-101-14.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.