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Chicago State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Indep. · 9-19 · AdjEM -11.9, 301 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-11.9301 of 362
AdjO
96.4305 of 362
AdjD
108.3265 of 362
AdjT
67.4316 of 362

Chicago State went from -10.1 (#298) on 2023-11-05 to -11.9 (#301) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -10.1 (#298) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
45.9%338
TOV%
18.6%332
OREB%
30.2%79
FTA/FGA
38.9%36
Opp eFG%
53.8%327
Opp TOV%
19.7%20
DREB%
66.5%354
Opp FTA/FGA
35.9%268

Résumé9-19 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-2.8220 of 362
Non-conference
-2.8281 of 362
Luck
+2.1%132 of 362
Wins above bubble
-14.1285 of 362
Quad 1
1-2
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
2-4
Quad 4
6-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jahsean CorbettG3235.415.47.71.649.1%52.8%23.7%28.7%69.5%
Wesley Cardet, Jr.G3134.518.74.52.649.4%54.1%29.7%34.4%71.9%
Brent DavisG3130.29.22.91.252.4%56.7%16.3%34.5%75.9%
Deshawn Jean-CharlesG3124.25.23.41.137.0%42.9%15.4%24.2%69.2%
Noble CrawfordF3025.07.84.61.253.5%57.4%17.4%31.9%74.6%
A.J. Neal Jr.G3216.14.91.30.941.2%45.2%18.9%29.8%74.4%
Cameron JerniganF3115.84.14.10.551.5%53.3%15.5%33.3%61.1%
Kedrick GreenG1617.45.00.82.145.4%47.6%20.6%30.0%64.7%
Tristan ArneaudG2510.21.20.91.231.1%32.6%13.1%25.0%100.0%
Greg SpateG196.41.70.80.350.0%50.2%14.5%34.6%50.0%
Tehshaundre ColeF88.52.52.10.055.6%51.5%15.2%—0.0%
Joseph OwensF320.77.35.71.337.5%42.5%22.8%0.0%100.0%
Alex RaifordG78.13.61.60.666.7%74.6%15.8%44.4%90.0%
Corey SandsG128.03.01.00.075.0%75.0%9.1%50.0%—
Amadou TraoreF19.05.00.00.0100.0%51.5%27.3%—16.7%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games9-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Chicago State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@Bowling GreenQ4#256L 41-70-4.1
11-09vsMercerQ4#230L 61-66-3.5
11-12@Southern IndianaQ4#318W 78-67-8.9
11-14vsCal State NorthridgeQ4#250L 64-74+3.2
11-16@Southern IllinoisQ2#124L 55-71-15.1
11-21nNorthern ColoradoQ4#204L 77-78-4.2
11-22nMorgan StateQ4#337W 84-83+3.0
11-25vsUT MartinQ4#221L 71-94-3.3
11-28@Loyola ChicagoQ2#102L 53-62-15.0
11-30vsDelaware StateQ4#316L 69-76+5.4
12-03vsStetsonQ4#220W 77-54-7.4
12-10vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ4#161L 50-66-1.8
12-13@NorthwesternQ1#39W 75-73-25.7
12-16@ValparaisoQ4#302W 63-62-6.8
12-18vsUT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#326W 78-68+2.3
12-20vsBethune-CookmanQ4#315W 55-54+7.3
12-22@WisconsinQ1#22L 53-80-26.3
12-27@California BaptistQ3#191L 62-74-10.9
12-30@DePaulQ4#287L 58-70-8.5
01-02@Kansas StateQ1#64L 55-62-21.4
01-03@Oklahoma StateQ2#112L 53-72-18.1
01-07@UTEPQ3#176L 69-74-10.3
01-15@StetsonQ3#220W 77-70-11.1
01-31@DuquesneQ2#97L 60-65-16.3
02-10@South Carolina StateQ4#310L 55-78-0.8
02-14@Eastern KentuckyQ3#192L 73-86-10.9
03-23nUC San DiegoQ3#139W 77-75-10.7
03-25nFairfieldQ3#189L 74-77-7.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.