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Cal Poly

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 3-28 · AdjEM -19.1, 342 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-19.1342 of 362
AdjO
91.1350 of 362
AdjD
110.2312 of 362
AdjT
68.9252 of 362

Cal Poly went from -14.3 (#334) on 2023-11-05 to -19.1 (#342) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -14.1 (#322) on 2023-12-04.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.0%337
TOV%
17.5%291
OREB%
21.4%326
FTA/FGA
31.3%225
Opp eFG%
51.5%245
Opp TOV%
16.2%159
DREB%
67.6%345
Opp FTA/FGA
41.9%337

Résumé3-28 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-2.1198 of 362
Non-conference
-3.9304 of 362
Luck
-4.5%281 of 362
Wins above bubble
-23.9360 of 362
Quad 1
0-0
Quad 2
0-1
Quad 3
1-15
Quad 4
2-12

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Quentin JonesG3231.99.74.41.542.7%45.2%21.0%40.2%64.3%
Kobe SandersG2933.619.63.73.250.8%58.9%31.0%33.9%87.4%
Jarred HyderG2534.010.32.62.541.4%44.7%21.3%31.8%83.7%
Justin PageG3120.85.11.70.944.9%45.4%17.2%36.7%53.3%
Joel ArmotradingC3019.55.04.80.454.3%56.7%14.9%0.0%59.0%
Aaron Price Jr.PF3217.43.42.70.442.4%44.5%14.4%12.0%54.1%
Tuukka JaakkolaF3018.46.13.50.456.0%55.2%19.4%—49.2%
Paul BizimanaF2915.93.92.90.444.1%46.9%16.1%30.6%75.0%
Isaac SpearsG1912.62.41.30.534.7%34.5%15.8%21.9%30.8%
Aidan PrukopG1713.24.31.40.545.3%47.2%20.3%39.5%85.7%
Hayden JoryG267.51.41.00.448.3%53.3%15.0%38.9%87.5%
Cam MalrayF517.83.23.40.843.3%43.7%12.1%20.0%42.9%
Cole HallerF164.80.90.30.131.3%31.3%18.7%30.0%—
Matur DhalC116.06.04.00.0100.0%101.7%9.8%—100.0%
Jackson MosleyPG61.21.00.00.0100.0%101.7%22.4%—100.0%
Nick CarlsonG13.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%17.7%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games3-28

“Ours” is our projected margin for Cal Poly, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09@DenverQ4#281L 76-97-5.1
11-11@WyomingQ3#160L 66-80-11.3
11-17nSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#161W 61-60-7.1
11-18nPortland StateQ4#252L 57-73-11.7
11-19@California BaptistQ3#191L 58-67-13.2
11-29vsSan José StateQ4#215W 81-77-12.6
12-02@IdahoQ4#323L 70-85-1.7
12-04@Oregon StateQ3#164L 63-70-11.5
12-09@Weber StateQ3#163L 50-78-16.1
12-18vsEastern WashingtonQ3#150L 53-62-5.1
12-21vsOmahaQ4#270W 66-53-0.1
12-28vsCal State NorthridgeQ4#250L 73-83-2.7
12-30@UC DavisQ3#170L 46-71-11.3
01-04vsLong Beach StateQ4#171L 82-89-8.4
01-06vsUC Santa BarbaraQ4#178L 52-61-7.9
01-11@UC RiversideQ3#232L 56-71-10.5
01-13vsUC San DiegoQ3#139L 61-86-7.8
01-20@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#258L 53-65-7.7
01-25vsCal State FullertonQ4#213L 51-54-5.9
01-27@Hawai'iQ3#158L 73-83-15.9
02-01vsUC IrvineQ3#78L 59-73-16.9
02-03vsUC DavisQ4#170L 52-59-8.7
02-08@Cal State NorthridgeQ4#250L 65-78-11.4
02-10@Long Beach StateQ3#171L 68-77-16.6
02-15vsHawai'iQ3#158L 51-80-8.6
02-22@Cal State FullertonQ3#213L 50-68-13.2
02-24vsUC RiversideQ4#232L 78-84-5.5
02-29@UC Santa BarbaraQ3#178L 75-83-17.1
03-02vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#258L 56-68-4.9
03-07@UC IrvineQ2#78L 68-82-25.7
03-09@UC San DiegoQ3#139L 87-92-20.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.