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Sacramento State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Sky · 8-24 · AdjEM -13.7, 313 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-13.7313 of 362
AdjO
95.9312 of 362
AdjD
109.6296 of 362
AdjT
66.4342 of 362

Sacramento State went from -6.6 (#246) on 2023-11-05 to -13.7 (#313) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -6.6 (#246) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.7%258
TOV%
21.2%359
OREB%
32.2%32
FTA/FGA
32.9%172
Opp eFG%
54.1%336
Opp TOV%
14.9%259
DREB%
76.2%48
Opp FTA/FGA
32.7%184

Résumé8-24 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-3.1229 of 362
Non-conference
+0.8171 of 362
Luck
-1.3%208 of 362
Wins above bubble
-19.7345 of 362
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
3-10
Quad 4
5-11

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Zee HamodaG3429.111.94.01.749.0%52.4%25.0%34.0%78.3%
Austin PattersonG3428.19.53.51.756.2%57.5%17.9%39.9%68.0%
Duncan PowellF2926.412.17.02.051.9%55.3%25.0%28.6%68.5%
Alex KovatchevG3322.95.03.71.243.6%44.5%15.6%28.6%53.8%
Emil SkyttaG3420.65.01.61.945.9%48.0%17.0%26.2%62.5%
Akol MaweinF3418.56.33.30.953.4%58.9%18.6%32.1%77.3%
Bowyn BeattyF3417.44.34.51.042.2%48.0%17.4%35.0%74.5%
Jacob HoltF3416.36.74.60.659.2%64.6%20.6%25.0%76.0%
Bailey NunnG2913.44.20.71.851.0%52.5%19.2%37.9%59.4%
Brandon BetsonG1421.69.61.41.445.9%50.1%27.2%31.0%85.2%
Michael WilsonG179.51.51.30.739.3%39.9%13.6%21.1%42.9%
Kiir Kiir Chol DengF15.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%10.4%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games8-24

“Ours” is our projected margin for Sacramento State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@NevadaQ1#38L 63-77-15.7
11-10@StanfordQ2#98L 73-91-12.7
11-17@TulaneQ2#131L 57-92-12.9
11-20nCal State BakersfieldQ4#258L 71-75+3.1
11-22nAustin PeayQ4#241L 71-74+0.6
11-26@UC DavisQ3#170W 69-63-12.7
12-02@Long Beach StateQ3#171L 73-83-14.9
12-09vsCal State FullertonQ4#213L 60-62-0.5
12-18vsUC San DiegoQ3#139L 52-83+0.2
12-28@IdahoQ4#323L 58-61-3.5
12-30@Eastern WashingtonQ3#150L 61-87-13.2
01-03vsKansas CityQ4#228W 67-64+0.6
01-06@St. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#161L 50-63-14.3
01-11vsWeber StateQ4#163W 71-69-10.3
01-13vsIdaho StateQ4#259W 66-64+1.9
01-18@Northern ColoradoQ3#204L 75-77-10.0
01-20@Northern ArizonaQ4#314L 61-70-1.5
01-25vsMontana StateQ4#188L 62-70-2.3
01-27vsMontanaQ3#157L 67-70-8.3
02-03@Portland StateQ4#252L 51-58-9.0
02-05vsIdahoQ4#323L 45-61+6.4
02-08@Idaho StateQ4#259L 40-68-6.9
02-10@Weber StateQ3#163L 53-58-15.1
02-15vsNorthern ArizonaQ4#314L 58-73+2.5
02-17vsNorthern ColoradoQ4#204L 75-80-5.1
02-22@MontanaQ3#157L 61-68-15.0
02-24@Montana StateQ3#188W 66-63-11.3
03-02vsPortland StateQ4#252W 73-61-2.9
03-04vsEastern WashingtonQ3#150L 88-91-9.7
03-09nIdahoQ4#323W 72-64+0.0
03-10nEastern WashingtonQ3#150W 74-69-12.0
03-12nMontana StateQ3#188L 71-74-7.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.