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Purdue

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 34-5 · AdjEM +32.4, 3 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+32.43 of 362
AdjO
123.83 of 362
AdjD
91.410 of 362
AdjT
69.0238 of 362

Purdue went from +25.2 (#6) on 2023-11-05 to +32.4 (#3) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +33.0 (#2) on 2024-02-12.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 39 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.8%13
TOV%
15.5%156
OREB%
36.9%6
FTA/FGA
41.3%13
Opp eFG%
47.5%39
Opp TOV%
13.1%334
DREB%
77.2%29
Opp FTA/FGA
22.0%4

Résumé34-5 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+14.82 of 362
Non-conference
+14.71 of 362
Luck
+4.0%88 of 362
Wins above bubble
+13.12 of 362
Quad 1
16-5
Quad 2
8-0
Quad 3
6-0
Quad 4
4-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Braden SmithG3934.012.05.87.551.3%54.2%20.3%43.1%79.5%
Zach EdeyC3932.025.212.22.062.4%65.9%33.6%50.0%71.1%
Lance JonesG3928.611.72.71.952.0%54.8%21.3%35.7%74.2%
Fletcher LoyerG3927.810.32.11.952.0%57.3%18.3%44.4%86.1%
Mason GillisF3921.26.53.91.765.5%68.2%13.2%46.8%86.0%
Trey Kaufman-RennF3916.96.44.00.953.2%54.2%19.8%33.3%55.7%
Camden HeideF3912.53.31.90.468.2%68.9%10.5%45.0%73.3%
Ethan MortonG3710.00.60.91.129.4%32.2%6.4%21.1%57.1%
Caleb FurstF368.92.22.40.646.6%51.9%14.4%27.3%67.6%
Myles ColvinG318.53.30.90.458.3%58.0%19.3%41.4%50.0%
Brian WaddellF144.21.10.60.246.4%46.2%15.6%16.7%42.9%
Will BergC143.92.61.90.175.0%68.2%30.2%—46.7%
Chase MartinG131.80.20.30.212.5%12.5%24.0%0.0%—
Carson BarrettG131.70.50.50.275.0%75.0%13.7%50.0%—
Sam KingF61.71.00.70.225.0%43.8%39.4%0.0%66.7%
Josh FurstF11.00.01.00.0——0.0%——
Jace RaylG11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games34-5

“Ours” is our projected margin for Purdue, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsSamfordQ3#103W 98-45+18.8
11-10vsMorehead StateQ3#117W 87-57+28.1
11-13vsXavierQ2#61W 83-71+16.3
11-20nGonzagaQ1#12W 73-63+4.7
11-21nTennesseeQ1#5W 71-67+3.3
11-22nMarquetteQ1#15W 78-75+7.7
11-28vsTexas SouthernQ4#279W 99-67+34.4
12-01@NorthwesternQ1#39L 88-92+8.6
12-04vsIowaQ2#60W 87-68+15.2
12-09nAlabamaQ1#6W 92-86+3.5
12-16nArizonaQ1#4W 92-84-1.6
12-21vsJacksonvilleQ4#272W 100-55+31.3
12-29vsEastern KentuckyQ4#192W 80-53+33.8
01-02@MarylandQ1#68W 67-53+10.8
01-05vsIllinoisQ1#13W 83-78+11.3
01-09@NebraskaQ1#40L 72-88+10.3
01-13vsPenn StateQ2#69W 95-78+20.8
01-16@IndianaQ2#79W 87-66+11.3
01-20@IowaQ1#60W 84-70+8.6
01-23vsMichiganQ3#111W 99-67+19.1
01-28@RutgersQ2#99W 68-60+13.2
01-31vsNorthwesternQ2#39W 105-96+15.3
02-04@WisconsinQ1#22W 75-69+3.2
02-10vsIndianaQ3#79W 79-59+19.6
02-15vsMinnesotaQ3#89W 84-76+20.6
02-18@Ohio StateQ1#48L 69-73+10.5
02-22vsRutgersQ3#99W 96-68+18.8
02-25@MichiganQ2#111W 84-76+13.3
03-02vsMichigan StateQ1#21W 80-74+11.3
03-05@IllinoisQ1#13W 77-71+2.6
03-10vsWisconsinQ1#22W 78-70+11.7
03-15nMichigan StateQ1#21W 67-62+8.4
03-16nWisconsinQ1#22L 75-76+8.6
03-22nGramblingQ4#282W 78-50+28.2
03-24nUtah StateQ1#50W 106-67+11.3
03-29nGonzagaQ1#12W 80-68+5.6
03-31nTennesseeQ1#5W 72-66+3.1
04-06nNC StateQ2#52W 63-50+12.1
04-08nUConnQ1#1L 60-75-2.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.