Predators at Canadiens — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Predators at Canadiens

Nashville Predators(38-34-10)

Montréal Canadiens(48-24-10)

Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM EDTTV SCRIPPS, TSN2·Centre Bell

Our win probability

and the three reasons

44%

Predators

to win

56%

Canadiens

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL
.486vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NSH
-.068vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL
.017vs.129GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors MTL
.199vs.4315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors MTL
MTL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Predators

Juuse Saros+0.01 GSAx/60
76% to start490 career GP
Justus Annunen+0.03 GSAx/60
24% to start80 career GP

Canadiens

Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/60
62% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/60
38% to start81 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: NSH Andrew Brunette · MTL Martin St. Louis

Leaders

vs

F. Forsberg
75
Points
N. Suzuki
101
S. Stamkos
42
Goals
C. Caufield
51
R. O'Reilly
49
Assists
N. Suzuki
72

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.9520th
Goals for / game: 7th3.40; 3.2626th
Goals against / game: 16th3.06; 23.1%11th
Power play: 10th23.1%; 81.7%5th
Penalty kill: 18th78.2%; 50.5%15th
Faceoffs: 11th51.0%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 8@this game
Jan 14@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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