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Arizona

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Pac-12 · 27-9 · AdjEM +29.8, 4 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+29.84 of 362
AdjO
119.88 of 362
AdjD
90.06 of 362
AdjT
74.98 of 362

Arizona went from +23.7 (#8) on 2023-11-05 to +29.8 (#4) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +33.1 (#2) on 2023-12-11.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 36 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.5%30
TOV%
15.4%141
OREB%
34.6%16
FTA/FGA
36.4%83
Opp eFG%
48.4%69
Opp TOV%
16.8%107
DREB%
79.3%4
Opp FTA/FGA
25.9%26

Résumé27-9 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+11.722 of 362
Non-conference
+11.96 of 362
Luck
-10.1%352 of 362
Wins above bubble
+5.010 of 362
Quad 1
9-5
Quad 2
8-3
Quad 3
8-1
Quad 4
2-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Caleb LoveG3632.318.04.83.450.0%54.4%26.9%33.2%83.9%
Pelle LarssonG3630.012.84.13.759.2%62.2%18.9%42.6%75.0%
Keshad JohnsonF3627.611.55.91.859.3%61.6%18.4%38.7%71.0%
Kylan BoswellG3627.09.62.33.650.0%51.9%19.0%37.9%79.5%
Oumar BalloC3625.912.910.10.865.8%62.5%21.1%—49.5%
Jaden BradleyG3620.27.02.42.049.7%56.0%16.6%46.4%82.5%
KJ LewisG3618.36.13.11.950.9%56.6%16.0%34.1%79.2%
Motiejus KrivasC3612.15.44.20.355.4%60.3%19.7%—77.8%
Paulius MurauskasF235.12.71.20.158.3%59.7%24.2%51.9%70.0%
Filip BorovicaninF205.52.31.60.841.0%48.8%23.6%0.0%86.7%
Conrad MartinezG193.60.90.20.646.9%48.8%14.0%14.3%66.7%
Grant WeitmanG182.20.40.60.131.3%39.1%10.4%25.0%100.0%
Will MenaughF101.40.40.40.050.0%40.4%16.5%—0.0%
Luke ChampionF81.30.40.10.030.0%30.0%23.3%20.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games27-9

“Ours” is our projected margin for Arizona, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsMorgan StateQ4#337W 122-59+29.5
11-10@DukeQ1#11W 78-73+1.1
11-13vsSouthernQ4#267W 97-59+32.1
11-17vsBelmontQ3#120W 100-68+24.8
11-19vsUT ArlingtonQ3#133W 101-56+29.3
11-23nMichigan StateQ1#21W 74-68+10.7
12-02vsColgateQ3#121W 82-55+24.1
12-09vsWisconsinQ1#22W 98-73+13.4
12-16nPurdueQ1#3L 84-92+1.6
12-20nAlabamaQ1#6W 87-74+4.1
12-23nFlorida AtlanticQ1#46L 95-96+6.1
12-29@CaliforniaQ2#132W 100-81+21.6
12-31@StanfordQ2#98L 82-100+15.1
01-04vsColoradoQ1#25W 97-50+13.3
01-06vsUtahQ2#44W 92-73+12.6
01-13@Washington StateQ1#37L 70-73+10.2
01-17vsUSCQ2#70W 82-67+19.0
01-20vsUCLAQ3#85W 77-71+22.4
01-25@Oregon StateQ3#164L 80-83+20.2
01-27@OregonQ1#54W 87-78+7.6
02-01vsCaliforniaQ3#132W 91-65+23.2
02-04vsStanfordQ3#98W 82-71+18.9
02-08@UtahQ1#44W 105-99+5.5
02-10@ColoradoQ1#25W 99-79+5.2
02-17vsArizona StateQ3#125W 105-60+21.9
02-22vsWashington StateQ2#37L 74-77+13.2
02-24vsWashingtonQ2#65W 91-75+18.0
02-28@Arizona StateQ2#125W 85-67+14.8
03-02vsOregonQ2#54W 103-83+15.8
03-07@UCLAQ2#85W 88-65+11.7
03-09@USCQ1#70L 65-78+11.1
03-14nUSCQ2#70W 70-49+13.3
03-15nOregonQ2#54L 59-67+12.4
03-21nLong Beach StateQ3#171W 85-65+22.6
03-23nDaytonQ1#26W 78-68+7.8
03-28nClemsonQ1#23L 72-77+7.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.