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Northwestern

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 22-12 · AdjEM +17.0, 39 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+17.039 of 362
AdjO
113.831 of 362
AdjD
96.854 of 362
AdjT
66.8330 of 362

Northwestern went from +17.4 (#26) on 2023-11-05 to +17.0 (#39) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +17.4 (#26) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.6%75
TOV%
12.3%7
OREB%
24.2%265
FTA/FGA
29.2%279
Opp eFG%
51.5%243
Opp TOV%
18.0%51
DREB%
74.8%107
Opp FTA/FGA
39.3%315

Résumé22-12 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+10.445 of 362
Non-conference
+0.1191 of 362
Luck
+3.0%108 of 362
Wins above bubble
+1.334 of 362
Quad 1
7-8
Quad 2
5-3
Quad 3
3-0
Quad 4
7-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Boo BuieG3436.919.03.35.052.9%57.5%—43.4%85.8%
Brooks BarnhizerG3436.714.67.52.647.9%52.7%—34.8%76.6%
Ryan LangborgG3233.312.73.02.555.1%57.3%—42.1%77.4%
Jalen LeachG3232.816.24.13.055.0%60.4%—35.4%89.5%
Nick MartinelliF3425.98.84.31.151.8%54.4%—27.1%78.0%
Ty BerryG2329.711.63.91.458.8%61.8%—43.3%89.5%
Matthew NicholsonC2922.35.34.31.865.7%64.0%——52.5%
Luke HungerF3112.83.82.10.648.4%52.2%—20.0%68.4%
Blake PrestonF2810.32.12.00.946.9%46.3%——41.9%
Jordan ClaytonG287.10.30.50.419.6%19.6%—8.3%—
Blake SmithG1114.02.41.70.568.2%66.5%—33.3%61.1%
Justin MullinsG195.20.40.60.235.0%35.0%—50.0%33.3%
Gus HurlburtF60.80.30.00.0100.0%100.0%———

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games22-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northwestern, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsBinghamtonQ4#284W 72-61+22.5
11-10vsDaytonQ1#26W 71-66+4.6
11-14vsWestern MichiganQ4#303W 63-59+24.1
11-18nRhode IslandQ4#239W 72-61+14.9
11-19nMississippi StateQ1#34L 57-66-3.0
11-27vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#292W 89-67+12.8
12-01vsPurdueQ1#3W 92-88-8.6
12-10vsDetroit MercyQ4#348W 91-59+23.1
12-13vsChicago StateQ4#301L 73-75+25.7
12-16@DePaulQ4#287W 56-46+9.2
12-20nArizona StateQ3#125W 65-46+4.7
12-29vsJackson StateQ4#304W 74-63+20.1
01-02@IllinoisQ1#13L 66-96-10.1
01-07vsMichigan StateQ1#21W 88-74-0.7
01-10@Penn StateQ1#69W 76-72-0.8
01-13@WisconsinQ1#22L 63-71-9.3
01-17vsMarylandQ2#68W 72-69+5.3
01-20@NebraskaQ1#40L 69-75-3.4
01-24vsIllinoisQ1#13W 96-91-3.4
01-27vsOhio StateQ2#48W 83-58+2.1
01-31@PurdueQ1#3L 96-105-15.3
02-03@MinnesotaQ2#89L 66-75+2.3
02-07vsNebraskaQ2#40W 80-68+4.1
02-11vsPenn StateQ2#69W 68-63+6.8
02-15@RutgersQ2#99L 60-63+0.7
02-18@IndianaQ2#79W 76-72+0.4
02-22vsMichiganQ3#111W 76-62+8.7
02-28@MarylandQ1#68W 68-61-2.4
03-02vsIowaQ2#60L 80-87+5.0
03-06@Michigan StateQ1#21L 49-53-6.2
03-09vsMinnesotaQ3#89W 90-66+7.1
03-15nWisconsinQ1#22L 61-70-2.1
03-22nFlorida AtlanticQ1#46W 77-65-0.3
03-24nUConnQ1#1L 58-75-11.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.