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Illinois State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 11-20 · AdjEM -1.9, 206 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-1.9206 of 359
AdjO
102.3146 of 359
AdjD
104.2263 of 359
AdjT
72.837 of 359

Illinois State went from -0.2 (#190) on 2021-11-15 to -1.9 (#206) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -0.2 (#190) on 2021-11-15.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.8%96
TOV%
18.5%256
OREB%
25.7%184
FTA/FGA
31.3%138
Opp eFG%
50.9%219
Opp TOV%
15.8%273
DREB%
72.6%233
Opp FTA/FGA
31.9%229

Résumé11-20 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+1.4128 of 359
Non-conference
-2.7300 of 359
Luck
-8.1%331 of 359
Wins above bubble
-11.1263 of 359
Quad 1
0-6
Quad 2
1-6
Quad 3
1-5
Quad 4
9-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Antonio ReevesG3334.920.13.51.854.5%58.1%28.5%39.0%81.8%
Josiah StrongG3332.511.53.32.253.4%54.6%18.4%40.9%70.5%
Kendall LewisF3327.69.35.71.056.9%61.7%17.4%37.5%79.6%
Mark FreemanG3125.08.82.63.543.9%50.0%24.3%38.6%87.5%
Howie Fleming Jr.G3022.15.94.22.154.9%56.8%16.0%40.0%64.6%
Liam McChesneyF3217.14.53.10.448.7%53.7%14.7%30.6%81.6%
Sy ChatmanF2024.813.56.00.655.2%59.3%26.8%6.3%71.9%
Ryan SchmittF3211.03.12.50.555.3%54.0%16.0%0.0%45.5%
Emon WashingtonG2312.22.11.60.533.6%38.6%13.1%17.6%66.7%
Abdou NdiayeF269.71.61.90.345.8%47.6%10.7%10.0%52.9%
Harouna SissokoF195.81.30.90.250.0%48.4%14.1%33.3%37.5%
Malcolm MillerG124.70.30.80.420.0%20.0%11.8%0.0%—
Jayden JohnsonG112.90.80.60.237.5%37.5%20.6%30.0%—
Nik StadelmanG62.00.00.00.20.0%0.0%8.5%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games11-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Illinois State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsUNC WilmingtonQ4#163W 68-63—
11-12@Eastern MichiganQ4#316L 98-103—
11-16vsMurray StateQ1#24L 65-77+11.8
11-20vsBucknellQ4#337W 105-100+17.9
11-23nSaint LouisQ2#72L 76-82-8.8
11-24nBuffaloQ3#110L 90-106-6.7
12-01vsMissouri StateQ2#37W 79-74-2.9
12-04vsJackson StateQ4#271L 55-61+7.5
12-11@Chicago StateQ4#341W 80-71-7.0
12-18vsBall StateQ4#267W 85-64+6.8
12-21vsUTSAQ4#339W 81-64+13.6
12-29@WisconsinQ1#46L 85-89-14.5
01-02@ValparaisoQ3#216L 76-81-7.9
01-12@DrakeQ1#67L 75-86-12.3
01-16vsBradleyQ3#85W 74-65+1.4
01-19@Missouri StateQ1#37L 63-88-13.5
01-21vsEvansvilleQ4#325W 94-56+9.3
01-23@EvansvilleQ4#325L 53-56-0.8
01-26vsDrakeQ2#67L 88-89-0.3
01-29@Northern IowaQ2#99L 64-79-7.1
02-02@Loyola ChicagoQ1#18L 64-78-15.1
02-05vsSouthern IllinoisQ3#131L 69-75+1.5
02-09vsValparaisoQ4#216W 78-75+5.0
02-12@Indiana StateQ3#234L 57-60-4.5
02-15vsNorthern IowaQ3#99L 70-72-0.8
02-19@BradleyQ2#85L 64-72-11.7
02-21vsLoyola ChicagoQ1#18L 50-59-8.6
02-23@Southern IllinoisQ2#131L 69-90-6.2
02-26vsIndiana StateQ4#234W 86-66+4.8
03-03nIndiana StateQ4#234W 58-53+1.7
03-04nNorthern IowaQ2#99L 65-78-5.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.