Illinois State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 21-14 · AdjEM +4.4, 118 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: +4.4118 of 364
AdjO: 111.078 of 364
AdjD: 106.7210 of 364
AdjT: 66.9320 of 364

Illinois State went from -3.2 (#194) on 2024-11-03 to +4.4 (#118) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +4.5 (#118) on 2025-01-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 56.3%12
TOV%: 15.0%109
OREB%: 23.7%298
FTA/FGA: 31.9%201
Opp eFG%: 53.1%284
Opp TOV%: 15.2%235
DREB%: 77.0%17
Opp FTA/FGA: 31.8%150

Résumé21-14 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +0.2146 of 364
Non-conference: -2.5263 of 364
Luck: +0.1%188 of 364
Wins above bubble: -8.8158 of 364

Quad 1: 0-1
Quad 2: 1-5
Quad 3: 9-5
Quad 4: 11-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Johnny KinzigerG	35	32.8	14.6	3.9	2.9	54.5%	60.1%	23.0%	38.6%	89.6%
Dalton BanksG	36	30.4	10.1	3.5	4.0	53.5%	56.0%	20.2%	27.8%	67.7%
Chase WalkerF	35	24.3	15.2	6.2	2.0	59.5%	62.5%	31.9%	35.7%	69.3%
Ty PenceG	36	23.3	7.4	4.0	1.4	59.8%	63.9%	16.3%	36.7%	83.1%
Malachi PoindexterG	35	21.5	6.8	1.8	1.3	56.6%	58.7%	16.9%	39.3%	73.8%
Landon WolfG	36	20.9	6.3	2.9	0.7	55.4%	56.8%	15.7%	35.5%	69.7%
Jordan DavisG	31	23.1	4.9	3.9	0.8	49.7%	50.9%	12.9%	31.7%	81.8%
Caden BoserF	35	12.4	4.8	1.6	1.0	61.1%	61.8%	21.6%	39.5%	66.7%
Jack DaughertyF	33	12.0	6.3	1.7	0.3	67.0%	66.6%	22.8%	47.6%	53.8%
Cade NorrisG	17	7.7	1.1	1.2	0.6	57.1%	59.7%	9.2%	40.0%	75.0%
Cameron BarnesF	17	6.1	2.1	1.3	0.3	60.0%	60.8%	16.4%	28.6%	62.5%
Ty BlakeG	4	3.3	1.5	0.3	0.3	33.3%	61.2%	24.9%	—	100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games21-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Illinois State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	vsUT Martin	Q4#309	L 65-67	+7.5	71	11-03
11-07	@North Dakota State	Q3#139	W 77-68	-2.2	68	11-04
11-12	vsOhio	Q4#177	W 85-75	+0.1	69	11-11
11-22	nMcNeese	Q2#72	L 68-76	-6.0	68	11-18
11-23	nUAB	Q3#101	W 84-83	-2.6	70	11-18
11-25	nGeorge Washington	Q3#147	L 64-72	+0.8	71	11-18
12-04	@Belmont	Q2#125	L 97-99	-6.3	70	12-02
12-07	vsPacific	Q4#307	W 72-61	+13.9	69	12-02
12-15	vsSaint Louis	Q3#107	W 81-77	+3.9	69	12-09
12-18	vsNorthern Illinois	Q4#353	W 81-60	+19.9	70	12-16
12-22	@Cornell	Q2#104	W 80-77	-7.8	70	12-16
12-29	vsUIC	Q4#164	L 67-73	+7.3	70	12-23
01-02	@Murray State	Q3#140	W 74-68	-4.4	68	12-30
01-05	vsSouthern Illinois	Q4#166	W 85-54	+5.9	69	12-30
01-08	@Evansville	Q4#246	L 51-69	+7.0	68	01-06
01-11	vsNorthern Iowa	Q3#109	L 84-85	+1.5	68	01-06
01-15	@Drake	Q1#58	L 62-66	-10.3	65	01-13
01-18	vsMissouri State	Q4#216	W 74-68	+8.5	68	01-13
01-21	vsIndiana State	Q4#169	W 85-81	+6.3	70	01-20
01-25	@Bradley	Q2#85	L 57-61	-10.2	67	01-20
01-29	vsBelmont	Q3#125	W 81-78	+2.8	70	01-27
02-01	vsValparaiso	Q4#220	W 86-78	+10.0	69	01-27
02-05	@UIC	Q3#164	W 81-79	-3.3	69	02-03
02-08	@Northern Iowa	Q2#109	L 65-68	-4.3	67	02-03
02-12	vsDrake	Q2#58	L 77-84	-4.0	64	02-10
02-15	@Indiana State	Q3#169	L 76-85	+0.4	70	02-10
02-19	vsBradley	Q3#85	W 82-71	-2.3	68	02-17
02-22	@Missouri State	Q3#216	W 70-68	+2.0	67	02-17
02-25	@Southern Illinois	Q3#166	L 79-88	+0.5	68	02-24
03-02	vsEvansville	Q4#246	W 62-53	+10.9	68	02-24
03-06	nMissouri State	Q4#216	W 70-54	+5.4	67	03-03
03-07	nBelmont	Q3#125	L 63-76	+0.9	70	03-03
03-23	nPresbyterian	Q4#249	W 78-70	+7.7	67	03-17
03-25	nIncarnate Word	Q4#258	W 78-73	+8.7	67	03-24
03-26	nCleveland State	Q3#186	W 79-68	+4.0	67	03-24

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.