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Murray State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

OVC · 28-3 · AdjEM +14.7, 24 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+14.724 of 359
AdjO
108.828 of 359
AdjD
94.139 of 359
AdjT
68.6242 of 359

Murray State went from +1.1 (#137) on 2021-11-15 to +14.7 (#24) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +15.3 (#22) on 2022-02-28.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.6%61
TOV%
15.7%63
OREB%
33.5%14
FTA/FGA
32.4%111
Opp eFG%
48.1%85
Opp TOV%
19.5%50
DREB%
76.6%71
Opp FTA/FGA
26.0%67

Résumé28-3 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-1.0194 of 359
Non-conference
+5.633 of 359
Luck
+10.0%14 of 359
Wins above bubble
+4.619 of 359
Quad 1
3-1
Quad 2
4-1
Quad 3
5-1
Quad 4
16-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tevin BrownG3435.216.85.63.154.8%57.6%23.2%38.4%74.8%
Justice HillG3431.313.42.35.151.5%54.2%22.7%35.8%74.4%
KJ WilliamsF3429.118.08.40.757.9%59.7%28.4%32.7%69.9%
DJ BurnsF3425.55.86.30.957.5%60.7%11.2%0.0%72.1%
Trae HannibalG3422.09.25.12.552.9%58.1%22.4%30.8%71.8%
Carter CollinsG3320.94.31.71.246.1%48.1%12.1%31.5%85.7%
DaQuan SmithG3312.73.51.20.249.5%52.0%15.0%32.4%81.3%
Nick McMullenF349.93.22.90.358.4%55.7%17.5%—42.9%
Jordan Skipper-BrownF2513.24.22.80.664.1%60.5%16.6%50.0%47.9%
Dionte BostickG164.91.90.50.650.0%52.2%20.9%25.0%60.0%
Jackson SivillsG154.21.70.60.162.5%63.1%18.0%44.4%62.5%
Rod ThomasG153.10.90.70.128.9%32.6%27.0%20.0%100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games28-3

“Ours” is our projected margin for Murray State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-13vsBellarmineQ4#189W 78-59—
11-16@Illinois StateQ3#206W 77-65-11.8
11-22nEast Tennessee StateQ3#190L 58-66+1.2
11-23nLong Beach StateQ3#183W 80-43+5.2
11-24nJames MadisonQ4#232W 74-62+2.3
12-04vsMiddle TennesseeQ3#88W 93-87+10.7
12-10@MemphisQ1#28W 74-72-7.8
12-18vsChattanoogaQ2#50W 87-76+4.4
12-22@AuburnQ1#14L 58-71-12.1
12-30vsSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#238W 106-81+17.7
01-08@SIU EdwardsvilleQ4#276W 74-69+0.6
01-13vsTennessee StateQ4#263W 67-44+16.7
01-15@BelmontQ1#58W 82-60-8.6
01-17@Eastern IllinoisQ4#358W 72-46+12.8
01-20vsEastern IllinoisQ4#358W 91-51+27.1
01-22vsUT MartinQ4#299W 74-66+19.2
01-24vsTennessee TechQ4#251W 79-53+18.0
01-27@Tennessee TechQ4#251W 80-75+8.9
01-29vsMorehead StateQ3#100W 77-66+11.1
02-03@Austin PeayQ4#290W 65-53+9.4
02-05vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#276W 79-59+17.6
02-10@Tennessee StateQ4#263W 73-62+11.9
02-12@Morehead StateQ2#100W 57-53+2.1
02-17vsAustin PeayQ4#290W 91-56+18.0
02-19@UT MartinQ4#299W 62-60+13.3
02-24vsBelmontQ2#58W 76-43+5.1
02-26@Southeast Missouri StateQ3#238W 70-68+10.4
03-04nSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#238W 88-74+14.3
03-05nMorehead StateQ2#100W 71-67+6.9
03-17nSan FranciscoQ1#23W 92-87+0.0
03-19nSaint Peter'sQ2#96L 60-70+6.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.