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Missouri State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 23-11 · AdjEM +12.1, 37 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+12.137 of 359
AdjO
110.417 of 359
AdjD
98.3108 of 359
AdjT
69.3200 of 359

Missouri State went from -1.1 (#222) on 2021-11-15 to +12.1 (#37) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +13.4 (#22) on 2022-01-24.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.6%21
TOV%
14.8%34
OREB%
24.4%236
FTA/FGA
27.8%255
Opp eFG%
48.4%107
Opp TOV%
15.0%310
DREB%
78.2%31
Opp FTA/FGA
27.7%105

Résumé23-11 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+1.6124 of 359
Non-conference
+0.4198 of 359
Luck
-4.9%275 of 359
Wins above bubble
-1.374 of 359
Quad 1
2-3
Quad 2
4-3
Quad 3
7-4
Quad 4
10-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players11 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Donovan ClayG3432.38.46.11.757.2%59.3%13.4%31.3%74.5%
Isiaih MosleyG3431.620.46.22.357.4%61.7%32.2%42.7%90.2%
Gaige PrimF3429.516.38.01.757.5%62.3%27.8%36.8%78.7%
Ja'Monta BlackG3428.38.73.10.956.9%58.1%15.1%38.7%88.9%
Lu'Cye PattersonG3426.37.42.72.249.3%52.8%16.3%15.4%69.3%
Jaylen MinnettG3220.28.61.41.255.4%57.0%21.5%40.0%90.0%
Isaac HaneyG3215.83.62.40.844.2%51.5%14.5%33.3%86.5%
Keaton HerveyF1716.43.41.60.550.0%53.5%11.8%33.3%81.8%
DeMarcus SharpG821.85.03.44.045.8%46.9%16.0%27.3%50.0%
Dawson CarperF276.21.61.50.259.1%58.3%15.5%33.3%50.0%
Nic TataF85.82.01.30.166.7%64.1%15.5%50.0%0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games23-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Missouri State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#238L 94-99—
11-13vsAlabama StateQ4#318W 78-60—
11-16@Sam HoustonQ3#156W 77-55-12.3
11-17@Sam HoustonQ3#156W 77-55-12.3
11-22nLong Beach StateQ3#183W 92-66-2.7
11-23nEast Tennessee StateQ3#190L 76-77+7.2
11-24nGeorge WashingtonQ4#242W 72-54+9.5
12-01@Illinois StateQ3#206L 74-79+2.9
12-04vsBYUQ2#54L 68-74+9.6
12-08@Little RockQ4#327W 81-55+4.5
12-11vsOral RobertsQ3#145W 69-60+12.8
12-15vsSouth Dakota StateQ2#61W 75-63+10.7
12-18vsCentral ArkansasQ4#330W 106-70+22.9
12-22@Saint Mary'sQ1#17L 58-75-3.3
01-02vsDrakeQ2#67W 61-56+8.3
01-05@BradleyQ2#85W 71-69-0.7
01-08vsNorthern IowaQ3#99L 84-85+12.4
01-12vsSouthern IllinoisQ3#131W 81-76+9.9
01-15@ValparaisoQ3#216W 74-57+3.4
01-19vsIllinois StateQ4#206W 88-63+13.5
01-22@Loyola ChicagoQ1#18W 79-69-7.7
01-25@Indiana StateQ3#234L 72-76+5.4
01-29vsEvansvilleQ4#325W 72-58+20.2
02-02@Southern IllinoisQ2#131W 69-54+2.5
02-06vsLoyola ChicagoQ1#18L 62-71+3.3
02-09@DrakeQ1#67W 66-62-0.4
02-12vsValparaisoQ4#216W 84-66+15.0
02-15vsIndiana StateQ4#234W 79-70+15.2
02-20@Northern IowaQ2#99L 75-95+2.4
02-23vsBradleyQ3#85W 83-67+6.6
02-26@EvansvilleQ4#325W 88-79+11.9
03-04nValparaisoQ4#216W 67-58+11.1
03-05nDrakeQ2#67L 78-79+2.6
03-15@OklahomaQ1#43L 72-89-2.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.