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Illinois State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 22-13 · AdjEM +7.8, 82 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+7.882 of 364
AdjO
109.1125 of 364
AdjD
101.352 of 364
AdjT
68.2274 of 364

Illinois State went from +1.3 (#138) on 2025-11-10 to +7.8 (#82) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +11.0 (#54) on 2026-02-02.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.7%78
TOV%
15.8%202
OREB%
85.8%212
FTA/FGA
31.6%264
Opp eFG%
49.7%92
Opp TOV%
15.0%217
DREB%
13.0%155
Opp FTA/FGA
32.3%114

Games22-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Illinois State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-06@OhioL 68-72—
11-09vsCornellW 76-65—
11-14@USCL 67-87-16.4
11-16@Long Beach StateW 82-80-9.2
11-23vsCoastal CarolinaW 94-42+10.2
11-27vsCharlotteW 79-69+13.4
11-28vsFurmanW 72-65+13.8
12-03vsEastern KentuckyW 89-78+16.0
12-06vsChicago StateW 95-53+19.4
12-13@Utah StateL 78-83-11.1
12-18@Southern IllinoisW 75-68-4.2
12-21vsIndiana StateW 85-65+11.5
12-29@DrakeW 73-56+0.7
01-01vsEvansvilleW 73-47+19.6
01-07@ValparaisoL 71-77+4.3
01-10vsUICL 59-63+15.4
01-14@Indiana StateL 89-94+4.3
01-17vsBradleyW 88-62+8.3
01-21vsNorthern IowaW 59-54+7.1
01-24@BelmontL 69-80-5.7
01-28@Murray StateW 70-65-3.6
02-03vsSouthern IllinoisL 50-54+8.9
02-06vsDrakeW 86-76+12.3
02-09@EvansvilleL 80-88+10.5
02-12vsValparaisoW 86-64+9.5
02-15@UICL 56-83+1.3
02-18vsMurray StateW 78-61+4.9
02-21@BradleyL 60-74-0.2
02-25@Northern IowaW 71-69-4.1
03-01vsBelmontW 81-74+0.4
03-06vsNorthern IowaL 52-74+2.7
03-18vsKent StateW 79-58+8.3
03-22@Wake ForestW 78-75-5.1
03-25@DaytonW 61-55-5.5
04-02@AuburnL 66-88-6.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.