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Buffalo

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 17-11 · AdjEM +4.4, 110 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+4.4110 of 359
AdjO
105.180 of 359
AdjD
100.6176 of 359
AdjT
72.740 of 359

Buffalo went from +3.3 (#76) on 2021-11-15 to +4.4 (#110) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +6.3 (#93) on 2022-02-21.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.6%99
TOV%
17.7%208
OREB%
35.4%6
FTA/FGA
25.6%303
Opp eFG%
48.2%90
Opp TOV%
15.0%308
DREB%
73.9%169
Opp FTA/FGA
29.4%161

Résumé17-11 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-2.3234 of 359
Non-conference
+3.583 of 359
Luck
-3.2%238 of 359
Wins above bubble
-4.5129 of 359
Quad 1
1-2
Quad 2
1-4
Quad 3
1-3
Quad 4
14-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Ronaldo SeguG3032.314.93.05.149.3%52.9%23.6%37.3%80.9%
Nate WilliamsF2932.619.15.02.955.8%57.2%27.9%45.1%69.0%
Maceo JackG3026.99.54.51.251.5%54.7%17.0%30.9%82.0%
Josh MballaF2827.613.08.61.150.5%53.8%24.2%25.7%64.7%
David SkogmanF3024.18.06.31.066.5%68.7%13.6%37.5%81.4%
Keishawn BrewtonG2915.15.41.71.142.2%43.4%22.5%28.0%64.7%
Tra'Von FaganF2815.14.44.40.755.1%58.0%12.5%33.3%69.4%
Curtis JonesG2812.12.51.81.345.7%46.9%12.8%36.4%58.3%
LaQuill HardnettF2412.02.73.30.556.3%56.5%12.5%0.0%55.0%
Brock BertramC155.80.71.80.271.4%73.6%5.1%—100.0%
Ty PerryG125.92.21.00.637.5%37.3%24.8%16.7%33.3%
Kidtrell BlockerG123.82.30.60.350.0%53.2%35.7%12.5%80.0%
Jamon BivensG94.10.61.20.420.0%21.9%15.6%0.0%33.3%
Kuluel MadingC74.10.71.30.10.0%42.7%12.6%0.0%83.3%
Lucas SalehF102.61.81.00.469.2%66.8%29.4%40.0%0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games17-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Buffalo, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-10@MichiganQ1#33L 76-88—
11-15@North TexasQ1#29W 69-66—
11-20vsRiderQ4#243W 87-65+15.2
11-23nStephen F. AustinQ3#120L 78-79+4.5
11-24nIllinois StateQ4#206W 106-90+6.7
12-04@St. BonaventureQ2#77L 65-68-8.6
12-08@Western KentuckyQ2#116W 77-67-5.8
12-18nCanisiusQ4#261L 64-65+11.1
12-29vsMiami (OH)Q4#257L 81-91+9.5
01-01@AkronQ2#121L 76-88-2.9
01-05vsBowling GreenQ4#293W 99-88+9.7
01-11@Western MichiganQ4#335W 78-64+7.2
01-14@Ball StateQ4#267W 74-68+0.8
01-21vsKent StateQ3#134W 64-51+8.1
01-25@ToledoQ1#75L 75-86-7.9
01-28vsOhioQ3#111L 53-74+3.3
02-05@Central MichiganQ4#332W 74-54+7.2
02-08vsEastern MichiganQ4#316W 102-64+11.4
02-12vsBall StateQ4#267W 80-74+9.9
02-15@Bowling GreenQ4#293W 112-85+3.4
02-17@Eastern MichiganQ4#316W 83-69+5.8
02-19vsWestern MichiganQ4#335W 87-73+17.7
02-22@Miami (OH)Q4#257W 86-84+4.9
02-24@Northern IllinoisQ4#313W 79-68+8.4
02-26vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#313W 70-60+15.6
03-01vsToledoQ2#75L 76-92+1.2
03-04@Kent StateQ2#134L 65-70-1.7
03-10nAkronQ3#121L 68-70+1.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.