UNC Wilmington

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

CAA · 25-9 · AdjEM +0.6, 163 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →

AdjEM: +0.6163 of 359
AdjO: 102.2149 of 359
AdjD: 101.7208 of 359
AdjT: 69.0219 of 359

UNC Wilmington went from +1.6 (#122) on 2021-11-15 to +0.6 (#163) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +1.8 (#132) on 2021-11-22.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 48.1%262
TOV%: 13.5%9
OREB%: 26.1%167
FTA/FGA: 34.4%63
Opp eFG%: 50.5%199
Opp TOV%: 18.8%83
DREB%: 69.7%325
Opp FTA/FGA: 34.8%290

Résumé25-9 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength: -1.7212 of 359
Non-conference: -2.3282 of 359
Luck: +19.3%1 of 359
Wins above bubble: -1.576 of 359

Quad 1: 1-0
Quad 2: 3-2
Quad 3: 10-5
Quad 4: 11-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Jaylen SimsG	36	34.5	16.4	5.8	2.4	45.0%	52.6%	26.7%	35.7%	82.0%
Mike OkauruG	36	31.5	13.2	3.9	2.1	53.0%	56.3%	22.6%	34.8%	80.4%
Shykeim PhillipsG	36	28.3	11.3	3.8	2.2	49.2%	54.5%	21.4%	34.4%	80.3%
James BakerG	36	27.0	7.4	4.3	0.6	59.7%	59.7%	13.8%	27.1%	56.1%
Jaylen FornesG	35	26.3	8.3	3.2	1.7	44.8%	45.8%	20.6%	35.1%	58.1%
Donovan NewbyG	32	26.0	8.3	1.8	2.3	55.2%	61.5%	15.8%	39.3%	90.1%
Trazarien WhiteF	32	22.7	6.9	4.7	0.8	48.5%	53.2%	17.6%	21.4%	67.0%
Amari KellyF	35	12.1	2.7	2.8	0.2	50.6%	52.2%	14.0%	0.0%	63.2%
Jamarii ThomasG	26	7.0	1.9	1.1	0.6	34.8%	43.6%	22.7%	18.2%	75.0%
Alec OglesbyG	6	11.8	3.7	0.5	0.0	33.3%	35.0%	26.5%	22.2%	66.7%
Khadim SambF	14	4.5	0.8	0.9	0.0	30.0%	49.2%	11.1%	100.0%	61.5%
Jay Estime'G	1	25.0	10.0	1.0	2.0	50.0%	50.0%	27.6%	28.6%	—
Khamari McGriffF	2	5.0	2.5	0.5	0.0	66.7%	56.5%	23.5%	—	33.3%
Makoa SurigaoG	6	1.7	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	10.6%	0.0%	—
Logan MorrisseyG	6	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	6.6%	—	—
Houston CarterF	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	0.0%	12.6%	—	0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games25-9

“Ours” is our projected margin for UNC Wilmington, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-09	@Illinois State	Q3#206	L 63-68	—
11-16	@Pittsburgh	Q3#227	L 51-59	-6.3	63	11-15
11-18	vsCoastal Carolina	Q3#144	W 65-53	—
11-20	@Delaware State	Q4#356	W 67-63	-10.7	69	11-15
11-24	nSouthern Miss	Q4#345	L 66-80	+8.1	70	11-22
12-01	vsNorfolk State	Q3#151	L 69-74	+6.7	70	11-29
12-11	@Jacksonville	Q3#166	L 48-77	-11.6	68	12-06
12-18	@High Point	Q4#247	W 71-69	-8.3	71	12-13
12-22	vsCampbell	Q4#198	W 65-58	-0.7	67	12-20
12-29	vsDelaware	Q3#132	W 70-68	+0.2	70	12-27
01-12	vsElon	Q4#277	W 73-66	+6.7	70	01-10
01-17	@Charleston	Q3#138	W 86-78	-10.8	74	01-10
01-20	@James Madison	Q3#232	W 71-70	-7.9	71	01-17
01-22	@Towson	Q1#52	W 81-77	-15.2	68	01-17
01-24	@Northeastern	Q4#260	W 74-68	-5.5	69	01-17
01-27	vsNortheastern	Q4#260	W 67-62	+6.3	69	01-24
01-29	vsHofstra	Q3#117	W 78-72	-2.4	70	01-24
01-31	vsDrexel	Q3#139	W 70-63	+1.0	70	01-24
02-03	@Elon	Q4#277	L 65-78	-0.6	69	01-31
02-05	@William & Mary	Q4#344	W 92-70	+2.9	72	01-31
02-07	@Hofstra	Q2#117	L 71-73	-10.3	70	01-31
02-12	vsCharleston	Q3#138	W 85-79	+2.4	73	02-07
02-14	vsWilliam & Mary	Q4#344	W 80-73	+13.3	71	02-07
02-17	vsTowson	Q2#52	L 55-79	-4.7	68	02-14
02-19	vsJames Madison	Q4#232	W 78-77	+4.8	71	02-14
02-24	@Drexel	Q3#139	W 69-63	-7.7	69	02-21
02-26	@Delaware	Q2#132	W 69-62	-8.0	69	02-21
03-06	nElon	Q4#277	W 75-58	+3.5	69	02-28
03-07	nCharleston	Q3#138	W 60-57	-2.5	73	02-28
03-08	nDelaware	Q3#132	L 55-59	-3.0	69	03-07
03-20	nVMI	Q3#162	W 93-78	-1.8	70	03-14
03-21	nDrake	Q2#67	W 76-75	-7.3	69	03-14
03-22	nNorthern Colorado	Q4#207	W 80-64	+0.5	70	03-21
03-23	nMiddle Tennessee	Q2#88	W 96-90	-5.4	69	03-21

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.