Skip to content

Penn State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 12-19 · AdjEM -1.5, 197 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-1.5197 of 364
AdjO
111.090 of 364
AdjD
112.4307 of 364
AdjT
69.8192 of 364

Penn State went from +9.7 (#7) on 2025-11-10 to -1.5 (#197) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +11.2 (#15) on 2025-11-17.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.3%91
TOV%
14.8%124
OREB%
68.5%304
FTA/FGA
33.6%222
Opp eFG%
58.7%363
Opp TOV%
16.5%115
DREB%
27.9%76
Opp FTA/FGA
27.5%29

Games12-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Penn State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsFairfieldW 76-68—
11-08@New HavenW 87-43—
11-11vsNavyW 80-71+21.4
11-15@La SalleW 83-69-8.5
11-19vsHarvardW 84-80+15.8
11-22vsProvidenceL 65-77+16.2
11-25vsBoston UniversityW 96-87+14.5
11-29vsSacred HeartW 90-59+15.6
12-02vsCampbellW 87-76+16.2
12-09@IndianaL 72-113-12.8
12-13vsMichigan StateL 72-76-0.8
12-21vsPittsburghL 46-80+8.7
12-29vsNorth Carolina CentralW 90-67+16.3
01-03vsIllinoisL 65-73-8.2
01-06vsMichiganL 72-74-16.1
01-10@PurdueL 85-93-20.1
01-14vsUCLAL 60-71-0.8
01-18@MarylandL 73-96-0.4
01-22vsWisconsinL 71-98-1.5
01-26@Ohio StateL 78-84-12.7
01-29@NorthwesternL 73-94-10.6
02-01vsMinnesotaW 77-75+0.5
02-05@MichiganL 69-110-24.9
02-08vsUSCL 75-77-3.0
02-11@WashingtonW 63-60-12.3
02-14@OregonL 72-83-5.1
02-18vsRutgersL 72-85+5.1
02-21@NebraskaL 64-87-19.5
02-28vsIowaW 71-69-8.9
03-04vsOhio StateL 62-94-5.9
03-10@NorthwesternL 66-76-10.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.