Colorado State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 14-18 · AdjEM +6.4, 101 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →

AdjEM: +6.4101 of 363
AdjO: 109.349 of 363
AdjD: 102.8192 of 363
AdjT: 68.5229 of 363

Colorado State went from +10.6 (#53) on 2022-11-06 to +6.4 (#101) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +11.9 (#50) on 2022-11-28.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 54.8%19
TOV%: 15.9%89
OREB%: 18.0%354
FTA/FGA: 29.8%229
Opp eFG%: 52.2%272
Opp TOV%: 16.2%234
DREB%: 74.6%125
Opp FTA/FGA: 29.6%140

Résumé14-18 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength: +6.574 of 363
Non-conference: +2.6119 of 363
Luck: -5.9%304 of 363
Wins above bubble: -7.1152 of 363

Quad 1: 1-9
Quad 2: 2-4
Quad 3: 6-4
Quad 4: 5-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
John TonjeG	33	31.0	14.6	4.7	1.3	56.5%	61.1%	24.8%	38.9%	81.5%
Isaiah StevensG	26	36.8	17.9	3.4	6.7	53.0%	56.8%	27.2%	37.8%	86.2%
Isaiah RiveraG	33	28.2	8.6	3.7	1.9	54.7%	58.0%	16.5%	37.9%	74.6%
Jalen LakeG	26	29.5	7.5	2.6	2.5	54.1%	55.5%	14.8%	37.7%	91.7%
Patrick CartierF	33	22.1	12.3	3.1	1.1	67.7%	68.6%	26.3%	44.1%	70.1%
James MoorsF	33	18.2	6.0	4.2	0.7	58.9%	59.1%	18.7%	28.0%	56.7%
Tavi JacksonG	28	20.6	4.5	3.5	2.4	53.5%	55.6%	15.1%	31.3%	69.2%
Baylor HebbG	33	12.7	2.3	1.4	1.1	51.6%	52.4%	13.4%	31.6%	55.0%
Joe PalmerG	33	12.5	3.2	2.4	0.5	52.2%	54.3%	14.8%	35.1%	90.0%
Josiah StrongG	7	20.6	4.4	2.4	1.6	36.8%	38.8%	17.4%	27.6%	75.0%
Kyle EvansF	11	7.7	2.0	2.2	0.7	50.0%	50.7%	16.9%	0.0%	50.0%
Trace YoungG	12	2.7	0.2	0.0	0.2	11.1%	11.1%	17.4%	0.0%	—
Nick BassettF	1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.0%	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for Colorado State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-07	vsGardner-Webb	Q4#181	W 65-63	+10.5	68	11-06
11-11	vsSE Louisiana	Q4#276	W 80-69	+14.7	70	11-07
11-14	vsWeber State	Q4#207	W 77-52	+9.7	70	11-07
11-17	nSouth Carolina	Q4#236	W 85-53	+8.6	71	11-14
11-18	@Charleston	Q1#67	L 64-74	+1.9	72	11-14
11-20	nPenn State	Q1#43	L 56-68	-0.5	67	11-14
11-26	vsMississippi Valley State	Q4#359	W 88-45	+27.6	70	11-21
11-30	vsLoyola Marymount	Q3#117	W 87-71	+11.6	70	11-28
12-03	vsNorthern Colorado	Q4#252	L 83-88	+19.9	70	11-28
12-08	@Colorado	Q1#75	L 65-93	-5.0	71	12-05
12-18	@Saint Mary's	Q1#9	W 62-60	-15.2	67	12-12
12-21	nUSC	Q2#52	L 64-73	+1.1	70	12-19
12-28	@New Mexico	Q2#80	L 69-88	-7.1	72	12-26
12-31	vsSan José State	Q3#118	L 70-78	+10.3	67	12-26
01-04	@Nevada	Q1#74	L 69-80	-6.7	70	01-02
01-07	vsFresno State	Q3#132	W 79-57	+6.1	67	01-02
01-10	vsAir Force	Q3#150	L 74-85	+7.6	67	01-09
01-14	@UNLV	Q2#95	W 82-81	-6.5	70	01-09
01-18	vsSan Diego State	Q1#16	L 76-82	-2.5	70	01-16
01-21	@Wyoming	Q3#156	L 57-58	-0.3	69	01-16
01-28	@Boise State	Q1#33	L 59-80	-11.7	69	01-23
01-31	vsUNLV	Q3#95	L 71-83	+1.8	71	01-30
02-04	vsUtah State	Q1#24	L 79-88	-3.5	70	01-30
02-07	@Air Force	Q3#150	W 69-53	-1.4	67	02-06
02-15	vsBoise State	Q2#33	L 78-80	-4.3	69	02-13
02-18	@Fresno State	Q2#132	W 60-57	-1.2	67	02-13
02-21	@San Diego State	Q1#16	L 58-77	-11.7	69	02-20
02-24	vsWyoming	Q3#156	W 84-71	+6.9	69	02-20
02-28	@San José State	Q2#118	L 46-63	-1.6	67	02-27
03-03	vsNew Mexico	Q3#80	W 92-84	+0.3	72	02-27
03-08	nFresno State	Q3#132	W 67-65	+1.6	67	03-06
03-09	nSan Diego State	Q1#16	L 61-64	-8.4	69	03-06

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.