Virginia Tech vs. Old Dominion: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
VTTeam statsODU
- Q4 1:34ODUJeremy Cox 40 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)35–49
- Q4 5:11ODUJonathan Duhart 29 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)35–42
- Q4 7:15VTChris Cunningham 13 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Brian Johnson Kick)35–35
- Q4 9:57ODUJeremy Cox 15 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)28–35
- Q4 12:55ODUTravis Fulgham 25 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)28–28
- Q3 0:32VTDamon Hazelton 72 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Brian Johnson Kick)28–21
- Q3 3:40ODUBlake LaRussa 1 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)21–21
- Q3 9:38VTSteven Peoples 1 Yd Run (Brian Johnson Kick)21–14
- Q2 0:07ODUJonathan Duhart 4 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)14–14
- Q2 7:42VTSean Savoy 28 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Brian Johnson Kick)14–7
- Q1 7:38ODUJonathan Duhart 14 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)7–7
- Q1 10:14VTSteven Peoples 87 Yd Run (Brian Johnson Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassJosh Jackson 8/16, 151 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushSteven Peoples 20 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD
- RecDamon Hazelton 5 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
- PassBlake LaRussa 30/49, 495 YDS, 4 TD
- RushJeremy Cox 20 CAR, 130 YDS, 2 TD
- RecTravis Fulgham 9 REC, 188 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsVT up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,299 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q4 5:11ODU +51%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 29 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined Brad Davis kickoff Steven Peopl…
- Q4 9:57ODU +42%
Jeremy Cox run for 15 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
- Q4 7:15VT +39%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
- Q4 12:55ODU +24%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 25 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
- Q3 0:32VT +23%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 72 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
- Q4 2:33ODU +21%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the ODU 30
FAQ
What was the final score of Virginia Tech vs. Old Dominion?
Virginia Tech 35, Old Dominion 49.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked VT, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| VT | ODU | |
|---|---|---|
| 600 | Total yards | 632 |
| 282 | Passing yards | 495 |
| 318 | Rushing yards | 137 |
| 26 | First downs | 30 |
| 4-14 | 3rd down | 5-15 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 17/34 | Comp/Att | 30/50 |
| 8.3 | Yards per pass | 9.9 |
| 6.5 | Yards per rush | 4.0 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 7-95 | Penalties | 2-10 |
| 30:31 | Possession | 29:29 |
Costliest call
Q1 12:52 ODU punt on 4th & 6 at VT 43. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.51 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:34ODUJeremy Cox 40 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)35–49
- Q4 5:11ODUJonathan Duhart 29 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)35–42
- Q4 7:15VTChris Cunningham 13 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Brian Johnson Kick)35–35
- Q4 9:57ODUJeremy Cox 15 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)28–35
- Q4 12:55ODUTravis Fulgham 25 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)28–28
- Q3 0:32VTDamon Hazelton 72 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Brian Johnson Kick)28–21
- Q3 3:40ODUBlake LaRussa 1 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)21–21
- Q3 9:38VTSteven Peoples 1 Yd Run (Brian Johnson Kick)21–14
- Q2 0:07ODUJonathan Duhart 4 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)14–14
- Q2 7:42VTSean Savoy 28 Yd pass from Josh Jackson (Brian Johnson Kick)14–7
- Q1 7:38ODUJonathan Duhart 14 Yd pass from Blake LaRussa (Nick Rice Kick)7–7
- Q1 10:14VTSteven Peoples 87 Yd Run (Brian Johnson Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (ODU Elo 1153, VT Elo 1775 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects ODU +22.5 (9% to win) — 6.0 points clear of ODU's market line of +28.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2018
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#4 of 109 in 2018 by biggest miss · #1 of 122 in 2018 by longest odds · #11 of 64 in 2018 by biggest poll gap.
The 2018 upset archive →| VT | ODU | |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4 (#84) | CORE overall | -20.2 (#121) |
| +3 / +6 | offense / defense | -7 / +13 |
| 2.08 | points / drive | 2.03 |
| 2.44 | allowed / drive | 2.98 |
| 25% | three-and-outs | 29% |
| -1 | pass over expected | +6 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →