USC

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Pac-12 · 15-18 · AdjEM +12.3, 70 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →

AdjEM: +12.370 of 362
AdjO: 109.382 of 362
AdjD: 97.157 of 362
AdjT: 70.3149 of 362

USC went from +15.4 (#38) on 2023-11-05 to +12.3 (#70) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +18.3 (#23) on 2023-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 51.7%120
TOV%: 16.9%245
OREB%: 26.9%165
FTA/FGA: 33.6%151
Opp eFG%: 50.2%164
Opp TOV%: 17.1%96
DREB%: 71.5%247
Opp FTA/FGA: 31.6%149

Résumé15-18 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength: +11.231 of 362
Non-conference: +7.636 of 362
Luck: -7.4%321 of 362
Wins above bubble: -5.3105 of 362

Quad 1: 2-9
Quad 2: 5-5
Quad 3: 4-3
Quad 4: 4-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Chibuzo AgboG	33	31.2	13.7	5.1	0.8	56.3%	58.5%	—	40.9%	72.2%
Boogie EllisG	29	33.7	16.5	3.5	3.0	54.2%	56.5%	—	41.8%	72.0%
Kobe JohnsonG	31	31.0	10.9	4.6	3.3	46.8%	49.3%	—	31.3%	72.6%
DJ RodmanF	32	27.4	8.4	5.0	1.3	53.1%	56.3%	—	36.2%	73.8%
Isaiah CollierG	27	29.8	16.3	2.9	4.3	53.3%	56.7%	—	33.8%	67.3%
Joshua MorganF	31	20.7	5.7	3.7	1.3	55.7%	57.6%	—	—	61.5%
Bronny JamesG	25	19.4	4.8	2.8	2.1	43.8%	47.2%	—	26.7%	67.6%
Vince IwuchukwuC	31	15.7	5.5	3.8	0.6	50.4%	55.1%	—	0.0%	69.7%
Oziyah SellersG	33	14.3	5.2	0.9	0.6	55.5%	57.8%	—	42.9%	82.6%
Harrison HorneryF	26	13.9	3.3	2.8	0.7	41.9%	47.3%	—	28.3%	80.0%
Kijani WrightF	28	12.0	3.9	2.6	0.4	58.4%	60.9%	—	—	71.4%
Ryan CornishG	14	21.9	6.9	3.3	2.1	41.6%	45.3%	—	15.8%	60.5%
Arrinten PageF	27	10.7	3.1	2.1	0.4	53.2%	53.7%	—	31.3%	53.1%
Brandon GardnerF	1	4.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	100.0%	100.0%	—	—	—
Zach BrookerG	6	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.0%	—
JD PloughG	5	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	—	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for USC, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-06	nKansas State	Q2#64	W 82-69	-1.4	71	11-05
11-09	vsCal State Bakersfield	Q4#258	W 85-59	+22.9	68	11-06
11-14	vsUC Irvine	Q3#78	L 60-70	+13.0	72	11-13
11-19	vsBrown	Q4#177	W 81-70	+17.7	72	11-13
11-23	nSeton Hall	Q2#51	W 71-63	-0.9	69	11-20
11-24	nOklahoma	Q1#45	L 70-72	-5.0	70	11-20
11-29	vsEastern Washington	Q3#150	W 106-78	+16.8	72	11-27
12-02	nGonzaga	Q1#12	L 76-89	-6.6	71	11-27
12-10	vsLong Beach State	Q4#171	L 79-84	+13.6	73	12-04
12-17	@Auburn	Q1#7	L 75-91	-8.9	72	12-11
12-19	@Alabama State	Q4#329	W 79-59	+13.8	72	12-18
12-28	@Oregon	Q1#54	L 74-82	-4.0	71	12-25
12-30	@Oregon State	Q3#164	L 70-86	+7.5	71	12-25
01-03	vsCalifornia	Q3#132	W 82-74	+14.4	71	01-01
01-06	vsStanford	Q3#98	W 93-79	+6.5	71	01-01
01-10	vsWashington State	Q2#37	L 64-72	+3.4	70	01-08
01-13	@Colorado	Q1#25	L 58-68	-6.3	72	01-08
01-17	@Arizona	Q1#4	L 67-82	-19.0	74	01-15
01-20	@Arizona State	Q2#125	L 67-82	-0.4	72	01-15
01-27	vsUCLA	Q3#85	L 50-65	+6.5	69	01-22
02-01	vsOregon	Q2#54	L 69-78	+0.9	70	01-29
02-03	vsOregon State	Q4#164	W 82-54	+11.3	70	01-29
02-07	@California	Q2#132	L 77-83	+1.6	71	02-05
02-10	@Stanford	Q2#98	L 68-99	-2.5	71	02-05
02-15	vsUtah	Q2#44	W 68-64	-1.7	72	02-12
02-17	vsColorado	Q1#25	L 89-92	-2.0	71	02-12
02-24	@UCLA	Q2#85	W 62-56	-4.0	68	02-19
02-29	@Washington State	Q1#37	L 72-75	-8.2	69	02-26
03-02	@Washington	Q1#65	W 82-75	-4.9	73	02-26
03-07	vsArizona State	Q3#125	W 81-73	+7.3	71	03-04
03-09	vsArizona	Q1#4	W 78-65	-11.1	73	03-04
03-13	nWashington	Q2#65	W 80-74	-0.5	72	03-11
03-14	nArizona	Q1#4	L 49-70	-13.3	73	03-11

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.