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Western Kentucky

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

CUSA · 15-15 · AdjEM -1.0, 170 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-1.0170 of 364
AdjO
101.2230 of 364
AdjD
102.2111 of 364
AdjT
74.013 of 364

Western Kentucky went from +3.1 (#135) on 2024-11-03 to -1.0 (#170) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +4.9 (#116) on 2024-12-23.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.9%306
TOV%
14.6%73
OREB%
21.1%338
FTA/FGA
32.1%200
Opp eFG%
47.4%31
Opp TOV%
15.8%189
DREB%
72.9%151
Opp FTA/FGA
40.6%338

Résumé15-15 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+1.9118 of 364
Non-conference
+4.089 of 364
Luck
+3.9%96 of 364
Wins above bubble
-9.7173 of 364
Quad 1
1-2
Quad 2
0-5
Quad 3
7-5
Quad 4
7-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Don McHenryG3229.017.03.31.746.6%51.7%30.0%31.1%82.3%
Tyrone Marshall Jr.F3228.810.46.61.449.7%51.3%20.0%31.5%66.1%
Khristian LanderG2826.012.03.81.849.3%52.7%23.7%34.0%80.0%
Braxton BaylessG3222.57.93.22.152.1%53.3%20.0%43.4%60.8%
Jalen JacksonG3220.63.32.02.136.4%41.7%11.5%16.7%66.7%
Enoch KalambayG2821.48.24.11.546.5%52.0%21.4%30.6%78.6%
Leeroy OdiahiF3114.71.92.70.260.9%59.7%7.0%—44.4%
Julius ThedfordG1821.912.43.80.951.8%54.5%28.0%36.6%63.0%
Jack EdelenG2711.92.90.80.752.2%52.9%13.4%36.4%58.3%
Blaise KeitaF2413.12.53.80.245.8%50.1%11.9%—63.0%
Babacar FayeF1027.715.27.80.756.3%62.5%23.4%38.5%80.4%
Jaylen DorseyG185.20.70.80.233.3%40.4%9.4%25.0%66.7%
Tyler OldenG91.30.90.20.040.0%38.2%42.7%25.0%0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Western Kentucky, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04vsWichita StateQ3#130L 84-91+2.5
11-09@Grand CanyonQ2#92L 72-74-13.2
11-17vsLipscombQ3#98W 66-61+3.9
11-20vsJackson StateQ4#273W 79-62+18.8
11-26@KentuckyQ1#13L 68-87-26.6
11-30vsMarshallQ4#171W 90-82+7.9
12-07@EvansvilleQ4#246W 79-65+6.8
12-10vsTennessee StateQ4#252W 84-60+17.4
12-14vsMurray StateQ3#140W 81-76+3.3
12-17vsSeattle UQ3#145W 86-73+5.3
12-29@MichiganQ1#27L 64-112-15.4
01-02@LibertyQ1#73W 71-70-11.3
01-04@Florida InternationalQ4#266L 66-85+4.0
01-09vsJacksonville StateQ3#134L 67-73+6.6
01-11vsKennesaw StateQ3#153W 85-69+8.9
01-18@Middle TennesseeQ2#123L 57-71-4.7
01-23@Louisiana TechQ2#115L 67-77-6.0
01-25@Sam HoustonQ3#179W 75-66-1.4
01-30vsUTEPQ4#163W 78-74+3.2
02-01vsNew Mexico StateQ4#162W 101-69+5.7
02-06@Kennesaw StateQ3#153L 69-76+0.4
02-08@Jacksonville StateQ2#134L 83-85-2.2
02-15vsMiddle TennesseeQ3#123L 77-87+3.0
02-20vsSam HoustonQ4#179L 62-78+5.7
02-22vsLouisiana TechQ3#115W 64-63+2.4
02-27@UTEPQ3#163W 80-73-3.9
03-01@New Mexico StateQ3#162L 47-65-2.4
03-06vsFlorida InternationalQ4#266W 76-67+10.5
03-08vsLibertyQ2#73L 61-90-4.3
03-11nFlorida InternationalQ4#266L 61-64+6.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.