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Kentucky

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SEC · 22-12 · AdjEM +18.7, 18 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+18.718 of 363
AdjO
114.213 of 363
AdjD
95.558 of 363
AdjT
68.2250 of 363

Kentucky went from +18.6 (#8) on 2022-11-06 to +18.7 (#18) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +21.2 (#8) on 2022-11-14.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.6%176
TOV%
16.1%94
OREB%
37.7%2
FTA/FGA
31.9%160
Opp eFG%
48.6%90
Opp TOV%
15.1%303
DREB%
78.2%19
Opp FTA/FGA
29.9%143

Résumé22-12 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+9.630 of 363
Non-conference
+5.447 of 363
Luck
-2.4%243 of 363
Wins above bubble
+1.930 of 363
Quad 1
8-8
Quad 2
5-1
Quad 3
2-2
Quad 4
7-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Oscar TshiebweC3233.516.513.71.656.0%60.3%23.5%0.0%72.9%
Jacob ToppinF3331.512.46.82.249.0%51.8%21.4%30.5%66.4%
Cason WallaceG3232.111.73.74.351.6%54.3%20.2%34.6%75.7%
Antonio ReevesG3427.914.42.11.151.5%54.5%26.3%39.8%78.3%
Chris LivingstonF3422.46.34.20.747.8%51.3%15.9%30.5%72.2%
CJ Fredrick Jr.G2722.26.10.81.546.1%49.6%15.0%31.8%91.7%
Sahvir WheelerG2128.57.72.35.646.5%47.3%17.5%36.6%53.3%
Lance WareF289.92.02.00.665.8%59.4%11.8%—33.3%
Daimion CollinsF257.91.91.90.242.5%47.0%17.2%0.0%61.9%
Adou ThieroF209.72.31.90.439.7%51.5%15.0%33.3%69.7%
Ugonna OnyensoC166.92.52.60.152.9%53.6%18.9%—57.1%
Brennan CanadaF51.80.60.20.050.0%50.0%16.7%33.3%—
Kareem WatkinsG42.00.00.00.30.0%0.0%12.6%0.0%—
Walker HornG42.00.00.30.30.0%0.0%31.4%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games22-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Kentucky, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsHowardQ4#215W 95-63+18.5
11-11vsDuquesneQ3#145W 77-52+24.4
11-15nMichigan StateQ1#36L 77-86+6.2
11-17vsSouth Carolina StateQ4#349W 106-63+28.0
11-20@GonzagaQ1#6L 72-88-8.6
11-23vsNorth FloridaQ4#242W 96-56+21.2
11-29vsBellarmineQ4#263W 60-41+22.8
12-04nMichiganQ1#48W 73-69+9.3
12-10vsYaleQ2#69W 69-59+10.5
12-17nUCLAQ1#5L 53-63-1.3
12-21vsFlorida A&MQ4#356W 88-68+33.7
12-28@MissouriQ1#60L 75-89+1.4
12-31vsLouisvilleQ4#287W 86-63+26.1
01-03vsLSUQ3#141W 74-71+9.9
01-07@AlabamaQ1#2L 52-78-7.3
01-10vsSouth CarolinaQ4#236L 68-71+19.7
01-14@TennesseeQ1#4W 63-56-15.6
01-17vsGeorgiaQ4#162W 85-71+11.1
01-21vsTexas A&MQ1#28W 76-67+5.0
01-24@VanderbiltQ2#79W 69-53+1.2
01-28vsKansasQ1#10L 68-77+0.3
01-31@Ole MissQ2#114W 75-66+4.0
02-04vsFloridaQ2#51W 72-67+4.7
02-07vsArkansasQ1#14L 73-88+3.2
02-11@GeorgiaQ3#162L 68-75+6.1
02-15@Mississippi StateQ1#54W 71-68-2.7
02-18vsTennesseeQ1#4W 66-54-5.0
02-22@FloridaQ1#51W 82-74-2.0
02-25vsAuburnQ2#34W 86-54+3.5
03-01vsVanderbiltQ3#79L 66-68+10.6
03-04@ArkansasQ1#14W 88-79-4.7
03-10nVanderbiltQ2#79L 73-80+6.3
03-17nProvidenceQ1#49W 61-53+3.6
03-19nKansas StateQ1#26L 69-75+1.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.