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Dayton

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

A-10 · 25-8 · AdjEM +18.9, 26 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+18.926 of 362
AdjO
116.020 of 362
AdjD
97.158 of 362
AdjT
65.9348 of 362

Dayton went from +12.4 (#63) on 2023-11-05 to +18.9 (#26) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +19.9 (#24) on 2024-02-19.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
56.2%11
TOV%
15.1%108
OREB%
24.2%264
FTA/FGA
36.7%80
Opp eFG%
48.3%63
Opp TOV%
14.7%276
DREB%
73.5%156
Opp FTA/FGA
21.9%3

Résumé25-8 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+7.087 of 362
Non-conference
+10.113 of 362
Luck
+1.5%148 of 362
Wins above bubble
+1.731 of 362
Quad 1
3-4
Quad 2
6-4
Quad 3
9-0
Quad 4
7-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Nate SantosF3333.511.76.31.556.4%59.8%18.5%41.8%75.0%
DaRon Holmes IIC3332.420.48.52.658.4%62.7%31.7%38.6%71.3%
Enoch CheeksG3330.68.14.72.050.0%53.2%16.7%30.4%68.4%
Koby BreaG3329.111.13.81.271.5%72.2%16.1%49.8%87.5%
Kobe ElvisG3328.59.42.43.546.3%50.2%21.3%37.0%84.7%
Javon BennettG3128.68.42.13.349.1%53.5%17.2%31.6%82.0%
Isaac JackF338.53.11.60.271.7%72.2%18.7%—71.4%
Petras PadegimasF257.81.10.70.352.0%52.0%9.6%40.0%50.0%
Zimi NwokejiF146.42.41.00.167.5%67.4%22.0%50.0%63.6%
Brady UhlG122.71.50.10.357.1%60.2%27.7%50.0%100.0%
Atticus SchulerG82.00.40.30.3150.0%150.0%3.5%100.0%—
Makai GrantG52.00.00.40.20.0%0.0%5.6%0.0%—
CJ NapierF51.61.00.80.066.7%63.3%27.5%0.0%50.0%
Malachi SmithG17.00.00.02.0——7.9%——
Will MaxwellG32.00.00.30.0——0.0%——
Evan DickeyG31.30.00.30.30.0%0.0%27.8%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games25-8

“Ours” is our projected margin for Dayton, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#290W 63-47+14.0
11-10@NorthwesternQ1#39L 66-71-4.6
11-16nLSUQ2#86W 70-67+5.9
11-17nSt. John'sQ1#29W 88-81+3.0
11-19nHoustonQ1#2L 55-69-13.3
11-24vsYoungstown StateQ3#149W 77-69+13.1
11-29@SMUQ2#76W 65-63+1.1
12-02vsGramblingQ4#282W 76-46+23.2
12-09vsTroyQ3#148W 82-70+16.6
12-16nCincinnatiQ1#33W 82-68-2.7
12-20vsOaklandQ3#146W 91-67+14.0
12-30vsLongwoodQ4#179W 78-69+14.5
01-03@DavidsonQ2#127W 72-59+5.3
01-07vsMassachusettsQ3#107W 64-60+13.1
01-12@DuquesneQ2#97W 72-62+4.4
01-16vsSaint LouisQ4#180W 70-65+18.2
01-20vsRhode IslandQ4#239W 96-62+19.1
01-23@La SalleQ3#212W 66-54+13.7
01-27@RichmondQ2#84L 64-69+2.8
01-30vsGeorge WashingtonQ4#194W 83-61+17.7
02-02vsSt. BonaventureQ3#92W 76-71+8.8
02-06@Saint Joseph'sQ2#94W 94-79+3.9
02-09@VCUQ1#71L 47-49+2.2
02-13vsDuquesneQ3#97W 75-59+12.8
02-17vsFordhamQ4#173W 78-70+17.6
02-21@George MasonQ2#100L 67-71+4.2
02-27vsDavidsonQ3#127W 80-66+12.2
03-01@Loyola ChicagoQ2#102L 72-77+4.9
03-05@Saint LouisQ3#180W 100-83+11.8
03-08vsVCUQ2#71W 91-86+8.0
03-14nDuquesneQ2#97L 57-65+8.4
03-21nNevadaQ1#38W 63-60+0.9
03-23nArizonaQ1#4L 68-78-7.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.