Skip to content

Valparaiso

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 6-25 · AdjEM -12.0, 302 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-12.0302 of 362
AdjO
96.4302 of 362
AdjD
108.4267 of 362
AdjT
70.2162 of 362

Valparaiso went from -12.0 (#311) on 2023-11-05 to -12.0 (#302) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -10.3 (#287) on 2024-02-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.2%330
TOV%
15.1%111
OREB%
24.0%270
FTA/FGA
23.3%357
Opp eFG%
54.5%348
Opp TOV%
16.2%149
DREB%
71.7%239
Opp FTA/FGA
30.7%129

Résumé6-25 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+1.4135 of 362
Non-conference
-4.7319 of 362
Luck
-5.2%291 of 362
Wins above bubble
-18.4334 of 362
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
0-6
Quad 3
1-9
Quad 4
5-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Darius DeAveiroG3233.27.93.25.340.3%44.2%17.7%35.9%79.6%
Isaiah StaffordG2932.116.93.72.144.1%47.4%30.5%29.4%73.4%
Cooper SchwiegerF3129.913.25.41.055.4%58.2%21.9%36.3%78.9%
Jaxon EdwardsG3124.77.34.90.745.2%47.6%18.0%32.4%76.5%
Jahari WilliamsonG3019.67.91.90.945.1%50.3%22.3%35.7%81.3%
Kaspar SeppF2819.64.04.11.052.1%52.1%13.3%22.7%50.0%
Sherman Weatherspoon IVG3116.65.01.00.546.2%47.0%18.7%34.4%66.7%
Ola AjiboyeF3114.23.73.40.452.7%56.3%14.1%—62.3%
Jerome PalmF2714.94.73.80.449.1%49.9%18.7%25.0%53.1%
Connor BarrettG1510.71.91.50.232.5%33.0%14.0%22.2%40.0%
Anthony SciarroniG114.60.80.20.240.9%37.7%14.9%33.3%0.0%
Joe VickG51.80.00.40.2——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games6-25

“Ours” is our projected margin for Valparaiso, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-10vsIU IndianapolisQ4#361L 56-66+12.1
11-14vsGreen BayQ4#280W 64-59+11.1
11-17@IllinoisQ1#13L 64-87-26.2
11-21vsWestern IllinoisQ4#266W 73-66+1.3
11-25vsSouthernQ4#267W 71-59-2.9
11-29vsDrakeQ2#56L 65-83-13.1
12-02@BelmontQ2#120L 68-77-14.1
12-06@Central MichiganQ4#293L 67-71-2.6
12-09@Virginia TechQ1#57L 50-71-21.3
12-16vsChicago StateQ4#301L 62-63+6.8
12-19vsSamfordQ3#103L 61-79-6.9
12-29@ElonQ4#320L 78-82-4.1
01-03vsBradleyQ2#62L 61-86-10.1
01-06@UICQ3#181L 64-70-14.6
01-10vsSouthern IllinoisQ3#124L 68-77-11.7
01-14@Illinois StateQ3#201W 59-50-9.4
01-17@EvansvilleQ4#242L 75-78-8.1
01-20vsUICQ4#181W 84-77-4.2
01-24@Southern IllinoisQ2#124L 69-75-16.1
01-27vsMissouri StateQ3#141L 70-81-5.4
01-31@DrakeQ1#56L 70-81-21.9
02-03vsEvansvilleQ4#242L 62-63+0.9
02-07@Indiana StateQ1#42L 61-101-23.3
02-10vsBelmontQ3#120L 78-96-4.5
02-14vsNorthern IowaQ3#123L 67-86-6.6
02-17@Missouri StateQ3#141L 74-82-13.7
02-21vsIndiana StateQ2#42L 64-83-15.9
02-24@Murray StateQ3#172L 68-80-12.4
02-27@Northern IowaQ2#123L 54-68-14.6
03-03vsIllinois StateQ4#201W 75-72-3.0
03-07nBelmontQ3#120L 61-86-11.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.