Memphis

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

American · 29-6 · AdjEM +16.3, 55 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: +16.355 of 364
AdjO: 112.664 of 364
AdjD: 96.348 of 364
AdjT: 72.931 of 364

Memphis went from +18.8 (#31) on 2024-11-03 to +16.3 (#55) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +22.2 (#27) on 2024-11-25.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 53.5%68
TOV%: 18.4%322
OREB%: 34.1%22
FTA/FGA: 39.3%31
Opp eFG%: 48.6%67
Opp TOV%: 17.4%87
DREB%: 70.2%278
Opp FTA/FGA: 33.9%206

Résumé29-6 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +7.979 of 364
Non-conference: +17.11 of 364
Luck: +13.6%4 of 364
Wins above bubble: +3.726 of 364

Quad 1: 6-2
Quad 2: 5-2
Quad 3: 14-2
Quad 4: 4-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players19 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
PJ HaggertyG	35	36.7	21.7	5.8	3.7	51.3%	58.3%	—	36.4%	81.8%
Tyrese HunterG	32	34.0	13.7	3.8	3.6	51.8%	55.2%	—	40.1%	77.4%
Jasper FloydG	36	29.7	9.0	3.0	3.9	46.3%	50.2%	—	34.3%	76.6%
Colby RogersG	35	30.3	10.7	1.9	1.4	48.8%	50.8%	—	37.3%	79.1%
Dain DainjaF	35	27.1	14.6	7.4	1.7	61.5%	61.5%	—	0.0%	58.6%
Nick JourdainF	35	26.1	6.3	5.6	1.9	53.7%	57.0%	—	24.5%	70.8%
Brenen LorientF	36	24.9	11.7	4.9	1.4	58.9%	62.2%	—	47.8%	72.1%
Grant NewellF	36	21.8	6.2	3.6	0.4	46.5%	52.4%	—	33.3%	72.2%
Moussa CisseC	35	18.2	5.7	6.5	0.5	54.8%	53.7%	—	—	48.8%
PJ CarterG	35	14.4	5.4	1.5	0.3	55.9%	59.7%	—	39.3%	93.3%
Baraka OkojieG	31	11.5	1.5	1.2	1.2	48.7%	47.8%	—	42.9%	41.2%
Ashton HardawayF	33	9.6	2.1	1.2	0.4	45.4%	49.5%	—	31.0%	91.7%
Dante HarrisG	16	11.7	2.4	1.6	1.1	50.0%	51.6%	—	50.0%	62.5%
Damarien YatesG	14	3.6	1.2	0.8	0.3	81.3%	85.9%	—	50.0%	100.0%
Jared HarrisG	16	3.0	0.4	0.3	0.1	70.0%	70.0%	—	50.0%	—
Tyran MasonG	4	7.5	4.0	1.0	0.5	50.0%	52.4%	—	50.0%	55.6%
Alex CottonG	3	6.7	1.7	1.0	0.3	125.0%	125.0%	—	100.0%	—
Brock ViceF	5	3.4	1.2	0.6	0.2	33.3%	43.2%	—	0.0%	100.0%
Ma'Syn HowellG	4	3.0	1.5	0.0	0.0	75.0%	75.0%	—	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games29-6

“Ours” is our projected margin for Memphis, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	vsMissouri	Q1#28	W 83-75	+10.2	71	11-03
11-09	@UNLV	Q2#93	W 80-74	+2.2	71	11-04
11-15	vsOhio	Q4#177	W 94-70	+14.4	72	11-11
11-21	@San Francisco	Q1#62	W 68-64	-2.8	72	11-18
11-25	nUConn	Q1#11	W 99-97	-11.5	71	11-18
11-26	nMichigan State	Q1#12	W 71-63	+1.9	72	11-25
11-27	nAuburn	Q1#3	L 76-90	-9.6	73	11-25
12-04	vsLouisiana Tech	Q3#115	W 81-71	+12.4	71	12-02
12-08	vsArkansas State	Q3#91	L 72-85	+15.5	72	12-02
12-14	@Clemson	Q1#23	W 87-82	-5.8	70	12-09
12-18	@Virginia	Q2#96	W 64-62	+6.9	68	12-16
12-21	vsMississippi State	Q2#36	L 66-79	+3.0	72	12-16
12-28	vsOle Miss	Q1#30	W 87-70	+4.0	72	12-23
01-02	@Florida Atlantic	Q2#105	W 90-62	+2.4	74	12-30
01-05	vsNorth Texas	Q2#64	W 68-64	+8.9	69	12-30
01-11	vsEast Carolina	Q4#173	W 74-70	+20.2	71	01-06
01-16	@Temple	Q3#158	L 81-88	+8.6	73	01-13
01-19	@Charlotte	Q3#237	W 77-68	+14.4	70	01-13
01-23	vsWichita State	Q3#130	W 61-53	+15.6	73	01-20
01-26	vsUAB	Q3#101	W 100-77	+13.4	73	01-20
01-30	@Tulane	Q3#144	W 68-56	+9.3	72	01-27
02-02	@Rice	Q3#187	W 86-83	+11.6	71	01-27
02-05	vsTulsa	Q4#232	W 83-71	+21.9	72	02-03
02-09	vsTemple	Q3#158	W 90-82	+15.0	73	02-03
02-13	@South Florida	Q3#155	W 80-65	+9.8	71	02-10
02-16	@Wichita State	Q2#130	L 79-84	+8.2	72	02-10
02-23	vsFlorida Atlantic	Q3#105	W 84-65	+10.0	73	02-17
02-26	vsRice	Q4#187	W 84-72	+16.2	70	02-24
03-02	@UAB	Q2#101	W 88-81	+6.0	72	02-24
03-04	@UTSA	Q3#198	W 75-70	+12.6	72	03-03
03-07	vsSouth Florida	Q3#155	W 84-68	+15.9	71	03-03
03-14	nWichita State	Q3#130	W 83-80	+10.6	72	03-10
03-15	nTulane	Q3#144	W 78-77	+11.5	71	03-10
03-16	nUAB	Q3#101	W 84-72	+8.9	72	03-10
03-21	nColorado State	Q1#44	L 70-78	-0.7	71	03-17

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.