Alabama State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SWAC · 19-16 · AdjEM -11.4, 290 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -11.4290 of 364
AdjO: 97.2309 of 364
AdjD: 108.7249 of 364
AdjT: 70.3134 of 364

Alabama State went from -14.0 (#318) on 2024-11-03 to -11.4 (#290) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -8.8 (#258) on 2024-12-02.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 47.0%328
TOV%: 12.2%4
OREB%: 25.6%238
FTA/FGA: 29.1%294
Opp eFG%: 50.7%164
Opp TOV%: 17.3%91
DREB%: 71.3%235
Opp FTA/FGA: 38.9%314

Résumé19-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -9.4349 of 364
Non-conference: +4.383 of 364
Luck: +6.7%49 of 364
Wins above bubble: -11.1204 of 364

Quad 1: 0-4
Quad 2: 0-3
Quad 3: 2-0
Quad 4: 17-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Amarr KnoxG	36	28.7	14.5	2.0	2.3	44.3%	48.8%	28.0%	30.7%	75.5%
CJ HinesG	35	29.5	14.1	3.0	2.4	50.0%	52.3%	25.0%	37.8%	71.9%
TJ MadlockG	34	29.9	12.5	7.1	2.5	45.6%	51.3%	22.8%	29.2%	69.8%
Micah OctaveG	29	25.2	5.1	5.3	0.7	43.9%	43.6%	12.8%	25.5%	37.9%
JaSteven WalkerF	36	18.9	5.3	3.5	0.4	47.2%	48.7%	15.2%	27.6%	61.1%
Micah SimpsonG	36	17.2	6.6	1.6	1.2	46.6%	49.5%	21.3%	32.9%	81.1%
Ubong OkonC	35	14.3	1.9	3.8	0.1	50.9%	49.5%	9.5%	—	42.4%
D'Ante BassF	36	13.4	4.6	3.3	0.4	50.0%	51.7%	18.7%	31.8%	63.6%
Tyler MackG	31	13.7	4.6	1.6	0.4	55.5%	55.7%	16.0%	37.7%	66.7%
Shawn FulcherG	32	10.4	4.2	1.0	1.3	49.1%	52.1%	22.6%	36.7%	68.6%
Jalen KeagoG	19	11.7	4.2	1.8	0.3	50.0%	56.3%	18.5%	30.3%	73.5%
Mario AndrewsC	9	15.3	1.4	4.3	0.6	25.0%	37.7%	7.6%	—	63.6%
Jordon MarshallG	4	2.0	2.5	0.0	0.0	87.5%	92.2%	46.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Alabama State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	@UNLV	Q2#93	L 79-93	-20.5	70	11-03
11-10	@LSU	Q2#82	L 61-74	-20.6	71	11-04
11-22	nOmaha	Q3#181	W 85-67	-4.4	72	11-18
11-23	nLamar	Q4#203	W 77-75	-0.9	72	11-18
11-24	@Akron	Q2#112	L 78-97	-13.5	71	11-18
11-27	@Cincinnati	Q1#39	L 59-77	-31.5	70	11-25
12-03	@SMU	Q1#42	L 72-101	-22.5	72	12-02
12-05	@Southern Miss	Q4#291	L 64-81	-2.3	72	12-02
12-11	vsUT Martin	Q4#309	W 103-93	+6.0	72	12-09
12-19	nNorfolk State	Q4#205	L 54-71	-5.7	71	12-16
12-20	nDelaware State	Q4#311	L 80-83	+3.6	73	12-16
12-30	@Missouri	Q1#28	L 65-82	-24.1	72	12-23
01-04	vsMississippi Valley State	Q4#364	W 84-55	+23.9	70	12-30
01-06	vsArkansas-Pine Bluff	Q4#363	W 93-91	+15.9	74	12-30
01-11	@Jackson State	Q4#273	L 70-77	-1.7	72	01-06
01-13	@Alcorn State	Q4#332	L 65-67	+1.6	70	01-06
01-18	@Alabama A&M	Q4#361	W 69-65	+5.8	73	01-13
01-25	vsPrairie View A&M	Q4#356	W 66-63	+6.1	72	01-20
01-27	vsTexas Southern	Q4#274	L 69-80	+2.7	72	01-20
02-01	@Bethune-Cookman	Q4#292	L 64-67	-5.3	71	01-27
02-03	@Florida A&M	Q4#329	W 67-66	+0.6	70	01-27
02-08	vsGrambling	Q4#322	L 67-77	+5.7	69	02-03
02-10	vsSouthern	Q4#238	W 82-81	-1.9	71	02-03
02-15	@Arkansas-Pine Bluff	Q4#363	W 75-63	+7.1	72	02-10
02-17	@Mississippi Valley State	Q4#364	W 79-56	+17.3	68	02-10
02-22	vsFlorida A&M	Q4#329	W 60-59	+4.7	70	02-17
02-24	vsBethune-Cookman	Q4#292	L 68-70	+1.0	70	02-17
03-01	vsAlabama A&M	Q4#361	W 94-52	+10.4	73	02-24
03-06	@Southern	Q3#238	W 66-65	-7.7	70	03-03
03-08	@Grambling	Q4#322	W 59-47	-0.8	68	03-03
03-13	nTexas Southern	Q4#274	W 84-79	-1.6	71	03-10
03-14	nGrambling	Q4#322	W 64-62	+2.5	68	03-10
03-15	nJackson State	Q4#273	W 60-56	-0.6	71	03-10
03-18	nSt. Francis (PA)	Q4#317	W 70-68	+1.6	70	03-17
03-20	nAuburn	Q1#3	L 63-83	-34.4	70	03-17

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.