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Auburn

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SEC · 27-8 · AdjEM +26.8, 7 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+26.87 of 362
AdjO
117.912 of 362
AdjD
91.19 of 362
AdjT
71.398 of 362

Auburn went from +15.0 (#43) on 2023-11-05 to +26.8 (#7) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +27.2 (#6) on 2024-03-18.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.2%35
TOV%
14.2%65
OREB%
31.5%55
FTA/FGA
38.3%47
Opp eFG%
43.7%1
Opp TOV%
16.6%119
DREB%
71.4%250
Opp FTA/FGA
41.5%334

Résumé27-8 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+9.759 of 362
Non-conference
+3.598 of 362
Luck
-5.5%295 of 362
Wins above bubble
+4.312 of 362
Quad 1
3-7
Quad 2
11-1
Quad 3
8-0
Quad 4
5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Johni BroomeF3524.716.58.52.258.3%59.4%30.5%35.4%61.5%
Jaylin WilliamsF3424.112.44.41.963.8%67.4%21.0%39.5%83.2%
Denver JonesG3521.99.11.91.355.6%60.7%18.7%41.8%86.3%
Chad Baker-MazaraG3521.610.03.72.253.5%61.3%20.9%41.8%87.6%
Aden HollowayG3520.27.31.52.741.9%45.4%21.7%30.2%77.4%
Tre DonaldsonG3519.26.72.43.254.5%56.9%18.4%41.2%78.4%
K.D. JohnsonG3517.77.11.81.344.0%50.0%22.1%27.1%77.4%
Chaney JohnsonF3515.44.73.40.853.5%56.6%16.2%27.3%74.4%
Dylan CardwellC3514.75.33.71.271.8%69.6%15.2%40.0%58.7%
Chris MooreF3414.12.51.80.852.3%56.3%9.4%26.1%77.3%
Lior BermanG286.51.71.10.352.8%55.7%12.9%35.3%66.7%
Blake MuschalekG151.40.50.10.10.0%43.6%23.7%—61.5%
Addarin ScottF151.40.40.40.166.7%75.9%13.8%—100.0%
Carter SoberaG151.30.00.30.00.0%0.0%4.9%——
Jalen HarperG131.20.30.00.120.0%20.0%30.5%0.0%—
Presley PattersonG31.00.00.70.0——16.3%——
Haston AlexanderC11.00.01.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games27-8

“Ours” is our projected margin for Auburn, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07nBaylorQ1#17L 82-88-2.2
11-10vsSE LouisianaQ4#309W 86-71+20.6
11-16nNotre DameQ3#122W 83-59+12.1
11-17nSt. BonaventureQ2#92W 77-60+7.0
11-21vsAlabama A&MQ4#330W 84-54+26.2
11-29vsVirginia TechQ2#57W 74-57+7.0
12-03@App StateQ1#75L 64-69+2.8
12-09nIndianaQ2#79W 104-76+5.6
12-13nUNC AshevilleQ3#166W 87-62+15.7
12-17vsUSCQ2#70W 91-75+8.9
12-22vsAlabama StateQ4#329W 82-62+28.1
12-30vsChattanoogaQ3#140W 101-66+20.0
01-02vsPennsylvaniaQ4#202W 88-68+20.4
01-06@ArkansasQ2#88W 83-51+0.6
01-09vsTexas A&MQ2#36W 66-55+8.8
01-13vsLSUQ3#86W 93-78+15.9
01-17@VanderbiltQ3#175W 80-65+14.8
01-20vsOle MissQ3#81W 82-59+13.0
01-24@AlabamaQ1#6L 75-79-6.0
01-27@Mississippi StateQ1#34L 58-64+2.3
01-31vsVanderbiltQ4#175W 81-54+22.0
02-03@Ole MissQ2#81W 91-77+5.3
02-07vsAlabamaQ1#6W 99-81+0.8
02-10@FloridaQ1#28L 65-81+2.8
02-14vsSouth CarolinaQ3#77W 101-61+12.6
02-17vsKentuckyQ1#20L 59-70+7.0
02-24@GeorgiaQ2#95W 97-76+9.4
02-28@TennesseeQ1#5L 84-92-5.6
03-02vsMississippi StateQ2#34W 78-63+9.2
03-05@MissouriQ2#115W 101-74+10.9
03-09vsGeorgiaQ3#95W 92-78+17.0
03-15nSouth CarolinaQ2#77W 86-55+9.7
03-16nMississippi StateQ1#34W 73-66+6.3
03-17nFloridaQ1#28W 86-67+5.9
03-22nYaleQ2#80L 76-78+11.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.