Indiana State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 12-18 · AdjEM -0.9, 169 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -0.9169 of 364
AdjO: 108.1113 of 364
AdjD: 109.0261 of 364
AdjT: 74.76 of 364

Indiana State went from +10.6 (#83) on 2024-11-03 to -0.9 (#169) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +10.6 (#83) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 54.6%46
TOV%: 18.5%329
OREB%: 23.8%297
FTA/FGA: 35.9%89
Opp eFG%: 54.3%325
Opp TOV%: 15.0%255
DREB%: 75.0%53
Opp FTA/FGA: 38.8%311

Résumé12-18 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +0.2144 of 364
Non-conference: -4.6323 of 364
Luck: -7.2%320 of 364
Wins above bubble: -13.0235 of 364

Quad 1: 0-2
Quad 2: 0-6
Quad 3: 4-7
Quad 4: 8-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Samage TeelG	32	33.9	16.9	4.1	5.2	55.1%	59.2%	25.4%	34.7%	78.7%
Camp WagnerG	31	26.5	10.0	2.9	0.8	54.4%	57.1%	17.7%	38.2%	84.4%
K'mani DoughtyG	32	22.9	8.3	3.3	1.2	57.7%	63.7%	16.9%	36.7%	89.0%
Bruno AlocenG	32	22.9	5.7	2.8	1.7	50.3%	55.2%	13.6%	35.4%	82.6%
Jaden DaughtryF	32	19.3	12.9	4.3	0.9	61.1%	62.3%	30.9%	40.0%	64.3%
Aaron GrayF	25	24.0	10.5	6.0	0.6	59.5%	62.9%	19.6%	29.2%	73.8%
Markus HardingC	29	18.1	6.4	4.1	1.7	54.7%	55.7%	20.5%	33.3%	60.0%
Josiah LeGreeG	28	13.5	3.5	1.5	2.3	42.3%	45.7%	19.6%	22.2%	70.8%
Jahni SummersG	20	15.9	5.7	1.9	0.6	57.5%	58.7%	16.8%	38.5%	85.7%
Jayan WalkerG	27	10.9	2.6	1.7	0.4	48.0%	54.9%	12.6%	29.2%	80.0%
Derek VorstC	16	11.9	4.1	3.2	1.1	47.3%	51.2%	20.8%	23.5%	70.0%
Tyran CookG	9	8.9	1.7	1.6	1.6	58.3%	50.5%	13.5%	0.0%	16.7%
Merritt AlderinkF	13	4.7	2.5	1.5	0.3	63.6%	65.2%	21.3%	40.0%	71.4%
Cooper BeanG	9	3.7	0.6	0.4	0.2	18.8%	27.9%	17.9%	14.3%	100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for Indiana State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	nFlorida Atlantic	Q3#105	L 64-97	-2.0	72	11-03
11-12	vsSIU Edwardsville	Q4#234	L 72-77	+15.3	72	11-11
11-16	@Ball State	Q4#281	W 94-84	+6.0	71	11-11
11-22	vsChicago State	Q4#359	W 97-61	+19.6	72	11-18
11-25	@Southern Indiana	Q4#336	L 77-87	+7.3	72	11-18
11-29	nArkansas State	Q2#91	L 81-86	-4.5	72	11-25
11-30	nIona	Q4#250	W 83-80	+11.7	73	11-25
12-01	nTarleton State	Q4#272	W 87-71	+10.6	71	11-25
12-07	@Missouri State	Q3#216	W 80-77	-1.4	73	12-02
12-18	vsMurray State	Q3#140	W 84-74	+1.9	70	12-16
12-29	@Ohio State	Q1#37	L 83-103	-18.0	71	12-23
01-01	vsBradley	Q3#85	L 89-90	-2.9	71	12-30
01-04	@Evansville	Q4#246	W 66-62	+8.3	71	12-30
01-08	@Valparaiso	Q3#220	L 95-98	+3.1	73	01-06
01-11	vsBelmont	Q3#125	L 79-84	+3.4	74	01-06
01-15	@Bradley	Q2#85	L 65-118	-9.5	72	01-13
01-18	vsDrake	Q2#58	L 53-71	-4.8	69	01-13
01-21	@Illinois State	Q2#118	L 81-85	-6.3	70	01-20
01-25	vsNorthern Iowa	Q3#109	L 56-74	-0.7	71	01-20
01-29	vsMissouri State	Q4#216	W 72-67	+5.8	72	01-27
02-01	@UIC	Q3#164	W 88-83	-6.6	74	01-27
02-05	vsValparaiso	Q4#220	W 80-62	+6.8	73	02-03
02-08	@Drake	Q1#58	L 81-85	-14.2	69	02-03
02-11	@Northern Iowa	Q2#109	L 73-88	-7.1	71	02-10
02-15	vsIllinois State	Q3#118	W 85-76	-0.4	70	02-10
02-19	vsEvansville	Q4#246	L 74-79	+8.3	72	02-17
02-22	@Belmont	Q2#125	L 75-77	-5.6	74	02-17
02-25	@Murray State	Q3#140	L 75-85	-4.8	71	02-24
03-02	vsSouthern Illinois	Q4#166	W 95-77	+2.7	72	02-24
03-06	nSouthern Illinois	Q3#166	L 85-86	-0.3	72	03-03

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.