Indiana State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 31-7 · AdjEM +16.9, 41 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →

AdjEM: +16.941 of 362
AdjO: 116.915 of 362
AdjD: 100.0103 of 362
AdjT: 72.647 of 362

Indiana State went from +7.2 (#95) on 2023-11-05 to +16.9 (#42) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +18.0 (#28) on 2023-12-11.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 38 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 59.8%1
TOV%: 15.5%155
OREB%: 21.0%331
FTA/FGA: 33.1%161
Opp eFG%: 49.9%145
Opp TOV%: 14.5%289
DREB%: 78.9%6
Opp FTA/FGA: 25.9%27

Résumé31-7 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength: +2.7111 of 362
Non-conference: +2.8115 of 362
Luck: +3.9%92 of 362
Wins above bubble: +1.829 of 362

Quad 1: 2-3
Quad 2: 5-3
Quad 3: 12-0
Quad 4: 12-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Julian LarryG	39	34.4	11.0	2.8	4.8	60.1%	63.9%	15.9%	46.2%	78.0%
Ryan ConwellG	38	33.9	16.6	5.8	2.5	61.1%	64.8%	21.9%	40.7%	85.5%
Isaiah SwopeG	37	33.5	15.9	3.0	2.1	55.3%	57.1%	24.0%	36.2%	73.6%
Jayson KentF	38	30.3	13.5	8.1	0.6	69.0%	72.3%	17.6%	36.6%	83.7%
Robbie AvilaC	37	31.2	17.4	6.6	4.1	60.9%	64.7%	25.0%	39.4%	80.8%
Xavier BledsonG	39	18.2	6.7	2.8	2.8	59.4%	62.8%	20.2%	35.7%	85.7%
Jake WolfeG	35	10.7	2.1	1.6	0.9	65.0%	66.9%	9.3%	33.3%	69.0%
Masen MillerG	28	7.6	1.8	0.4	0.4	62.8%	62.8%	9.9%	40.5%	—
Derek VorstC	21	5.2	1.7	1.4	0.3	50.0%	54.4%	22.6%	30.0%	64.7%
Aaron GrayF	15	5.1	1.3	1.3	0.1	31.6%	40.8%	21.8%	22.2%	77.8%
Jaden DaughtryF	12	5.3	3.1	1.6	0.2	56.9%	57.2%	28.7%	14.3%	57.1%
Eli ShetlarG	11	5.5	2.5	1.1	0.1	54.2%	54.1%	21.8%	30.0%	50.0%
Xavier HallG	1	32.0	4.0	2.0	2.0	33.3%	33.3%	17.6%	0.0%	—
Augustinas KiudulasF	7	3.6	0.3	2.0	0.1	12.5%	11.2%	28.6%	0.0%	0.0%
Jaden SchertzG	6	2.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	12.7%	—	0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games31-7

“Ours” is our projected margin for Indiana State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-10	@Alabama	Q1#6	L 80-102	-18.2	73	11-06
11-14	vsIU Indianapolis	Q4#361	W 96-57	+22.3	70	11-13
11-21	nRice	Q4#218	W 103-88	+10.4	72	11-20
11-22	nPepperdine	Q3#185	W 90-82	+8.2	73	11-20
11-24	nToledo	Q3#136	W 76-74	+1.7	71	11-20
11-28	vsSouthern Illinois	Q3#124	W 77-48	+6.8	69	11-27
12-02	@Bradley	Q1#62	W 85-77	-6.3	72	11-27
12-05	@Northern Illinois	Q4#292	W 90-67	+5.1	72	12-04
12-09	vsSouthern Indiana	Q4#318	W 98-54	+22.3	72	12-04
12-16	nBall State	Q4#246	W 83-72	+16.5	71	12-11
12-19	vsTennessee State	Q4#291	W 90-69	+22.8	73	12-18
12-30	@Michigan State	Q1#21	L 75-87	-5.9	71	12-25
01-03	vsEvansville	Q4#242	W 87-73	+18.1	73	01-01
01-07	@Northern Iowa	Q2#123	W 77-66	+4.4	71	01-01
01-10	@Drake	Q1#56	L 78-89	+0.4	71	01-08
01-13	vsBelmont	Q3#120	W 94-64	+12.8	73	01-08
01-16	vsMissouri State	Q3#141	W 88-66	+13.0	71	01-15
01-21	@Murray State	Q3#172	W 72-63	+8.0	71	01-15
01-24	@UIC	Q3#181	W 89-83	+10.4	71	01-22
01-27	vsBradley	Q2#62	W 95-86	+6.9	71	01-22
01-31	@Belmont	Q2#120	W 78-72	+8.3	73	01-29
02-03	vsDrake	Q2#56	W 75-67	+5.5	71	01-29
02-07	vsValparaiso	Q4#302	W 101-61	+23.3	71	02-05
02-10	@Missouri State	Q3#141	W 73-71	+6.4	71	02-05
02-13	vsIllinois State	Q4#201	L 67-80	+19.8	70	02-12
02-17	@Southern Illinois	Q2#124	L 69-74	+5.0	70	02-12
02-21	@Valparaiso	Q4#302	W 83-64	+15.9	72	02-19
02-24	vsUIC	Q4#181	W 88-73	+16.6	72	02-19
02-28	@Evansville	Q4#242	W 85-67	+12.5	72	02-26
03-03	vsMurray State	Q4#172	W 89-77	+13.3	70	02-26
03-08	nMissouri State	Q3#141	W 75-59	+10.5	71	03-04
03-09	nNorthern Iowa	Q3#123	W 94-72	+7.8	71	03-04
03-10	nDrake	Q2#56	L 80-84	+1.4	72	03-04
03-20	vsSMU	Q3#76	W 101-92	+6.9	71	03-18
03-24	vsMinnesota	Q3#89	W 76-64	+8.7	71	03-18
03-26	vsCincinnati	Q2#33	W 85-81	+2.4	72	03-25
04-02	nUtah	Q1#44	W 100-90	-0.1	72	04-01
04-04	nSeton Hall	Q2#51	L 77-79	+1.6	71	04-01

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.