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Tarleton State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

UAC · 9-20 · AdjEM -10.0, 273 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-10.0273 of 364
AdjO
93.8343 of 364
AdjD
103.8149 of 364
AdjT
66.4338 of 364

Tarleton State went from -1.4 (#181) on 2024-11-03 to -10.0 (#272) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -1.4 (#181) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
45.9%343
TOV%
22.9%364
OREB%
25.8%231
FTA/FGA
41.5%17
Opp eFG%
52.1%242
Opp TOV%
21.9%2
DREB%
68.4%329
Opp FTA/FGA
48.3%362

Résumé9-20 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+0.8137 of 364
Non-conference
+5.657 of 364
Luck
+2.9%120 of 364
Wins above bubble
-14.3269 of 364
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
2-9
Quad 4
7-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Bubu BenjaminG3236.013.94.61.751.3%56.0%21.7%38.0%78.9%
Izzy MilesG3228.07.33.11.047.3%52.8%16.0%22.2%74.1%
Jordan MizellG3123.35.33.32.042.8%51.7%15.5%16.7%79.5%
Chris MpakaF3219.98.55.30.450.2%52.7%27.0%50.0%58.6%
Dantwan GrimesG2130.110.42.32.143.5%51.3%20.2%27.7%84.4%
Keitenn BristowF2326.411.34.31.450.9%54.1%25.6%32.8%79.6%
Nick KrassG2918.22.71.80.836.7%40.1%14.1%22.2%72.2%
Joseph MartinezG1816.72.61.30.954.5%60.7%9.3%46.2%91.7%
Ronnie HarrisonF824.010.64.10.948.4%53.7%27.4%25.0%70.6%
Freddy HicksG725.713.04.42.143.0%50.0%29.8%33.3%63.2%
Marty SilveraG1114.83.21.71.842.4%46.4%19.4%20.0%70.0%
Karim ElgizawyG1111.61.91.20.530.4%36.6%19.4%36.4%58.3%
Matt KrassG1110.93.70.90.243.0%45.2%24.9%36.8%80.0%
Caleb EvansG612.74.02.30.761.1%60.3%17.1%50.0%50.0%
Roy MaromG134.60.40.40.420.0%36.2%9.5%—75.0%
Dario DomingosF129.018.012.00.061.5%60.4%33.9%—50.0%
Collin CourseG11.02.00.00.0—105.3%49.5%—100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games9-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Tarleton State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@SMUQ1#42L 62-96-15.1
11-09vsSam HoustonQ4#179L 62-91-0.5
11-12@Florida StateQ2#86L 52-72-12.9
11-17@BaylorQ1#25L 41-104-22.1
11-21@MichiganQ1#27L 49-72-25.7
11-29nIonaQ4#250L 51-62+0.8
11-30nHofstraQ3#184W 61-59-10.6
12-01nIndiana StateQ3#169L 71-87-10.6
12-08@UCFQ1#65L 51-66-19.8
12-16@UTEPQ3#163L 62-67-14.2
12-18@Oklahoma StateQ2#94L 61-66-18.1
12-29vsFlorida A&MQ4#329W 70-60+8.7
01-04vsUT ArlingtonQ4#213W 77-74-3.6
01-09@Southern UtahQ4#293W 74-66-6.0
01-11@Utah TechQ4#289L 54-58-3.8
01-16vsCalifornia BaptistQ4#175W 67-57-1.1
01-18@Grand CanyonQ2#92L 64-88-15.0
01-23@Abilene ChristianQ3#239L 56-67-2.5
01-30vsUtah TechQ4#289W 61-54+4.0
02-01vsSouthern UtahQ4#293W 75-58+2.9
02-06@Seattle UQ3#145L 54-91-9.5
02-08@Utah ValleyQ2#116L 56-81-9.9
02-13vsGrand CanyonQ3#92L 60-64-11.7
02-15vsSeattle UQ3#145W 67-64-5.8
02-22@UT ArlingtonQ3#213L 57-67-7.6
02-27vsAbilene ChristianQ4#239W 67-52+0.5
03-06@California BaptistQ3#175L 48-68-8.7
03-08vsUtah ValleyQ3#116L 66-71-6.3
03-13nCalifornia BaptistQ3#175L 51-55-6.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.