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Valparaiso

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MVC · 13-19 · AdjEM -4.9, 220 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-4.9220 of 364
AdjO
103.4201 of 364
AdjD
108.3242 of 364
AdjT
70.4128 of 364

Valparaiso went from -12.1 (#303) on 2024-11-03 to -4.9 (#220) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -4.9 (#219) on 2025-03-24.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.7%309
TOV%
13.1%16
OREB%
25.2%252
FTA/FGA
33.6%163
Opp eFG%
53.7%309
Opp TOV%
15.9%181
DREB%
73.5%115
Opp FTA/FGA
35.4%243

Résumé13-19 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+0.7138 of 364
Non-conference
-4.1314 of 364
Luck
+2.4%134 of 364
Wins above bubble
-13.6251 of 364
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-7
Quad 3
6-5
Quad 4
7-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Cooper SchwiegerF3432.715.87.81.152.5%57.8%24.0%29.9%85.0%
All WrightG3429.615.52.22.448.3%52.4%28.0%38.3%80.5%
Jefferson De La Cruz MonegroG3429.010.12.81.643.8%51.2%20.2%32.0%78.9%
Darius DeAveiroG3425.84.42.82.942.9%47.3%11.3%30.2%78.4%
Tyler SchmidtG3424.710.13.31.654.1%58.5%20.5%38.2%85.5%
Kaspar SeppF3418.93.55.51.452.7%56.0%10.8%32.1%73.3%
Isaiah ShawG3313.24.81.50.350.8%53.3%19.1%31.6%70.6%
Justus McNairG3411.24.51.30.346.6%50.1%22.4%30.9%73.0%
Devon EllisF2712.24.82.60.244.4%49.3%23.3%27.3%68.0%
Carson SchwiegerF198.92.62.10.353.5%53.4%15.3%35.3%50.0%
Lucas ScrogginsF65.53.01.70.3100.0%90.5%21.7%—0.0%
Louth-M CoulibalyF83.90.81.60.050.0%60.6%8.2%—100.0%
Ramzi SalemG44.31.51.00.525.0%50.8%20.8%0.0%100.0%
Joe VickG42.50.00.30.00.0%0.0%15.4%0.0%—
Nick LombardiG32.70.70.70.033.3%33.3%25.7%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games13-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Valparaiso, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04nLibertyQ2#73L 63-83-11.4
11-12vsCleveland StateQ4#186L 67-75-1.4
11-21vsLindenwoodQ4#333W 77-64+9.1
11-24vsEastern IllinoisQ4#328W 81-53+2.2
11-27vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#353W 87-82+9.7
11-29@DePaulQ2#119L 70-89-15.3
12-05vsDrakeQ2#58L 60-66-15.2
12-14vsCentral MichiganQ4#228W 93-77-3.4
12-17@Ohio StateQ1#37L 73-95-25.8
12-20@Western MichiganQ4#299W 76-73-2.2
12-29@BradleyQ2#85L 75-81-19.7
01-01@Missouri StateQ3#216W 73-72-7.1
01-04vsNorthern IowaQ3#109W 80-73-7.4
01-08vsIndiana StateQ4#169W 98-95-3.1
01-11@Murray StateQ3#140L 47-58-10.4
01-14@BelmontQ2#125L 64-71-10.5
01-18vsUICQ4#164L 74-81-2.4
01-22@DrakeQ1#58L 71-81-16.8
01-25vsEvansvilleQ4#246L 68-78+5.9
01-28vsSouthern IllinoisQ4#166L 75-79-0.8
02-01@Illinois StateQ2#118L 78-86-10.0
02-05@Indiana StateQ3#169L 62-80-6.8
02-08vsMurray StateQ3#140L 56-74-1.6
02-12vsBelmontQ3#125W 101-86-5.0
02-16@EvansvilleQ4#246L 69-79-3.3
02-19vsMissouri StateQ4#216W 66-64+0.6
02-22@Southern IllinoisQ3#166W 83-79-8.0
02-26vsBradleyQ3#85L 65-76-8.9
03-02@UICQ3#164L 73-77-9.1
03-06nUICQ3#164W 67-50-5.2
03-07nNorthern IowaQ3#109W 64-63-8.9
03-08nBradleyQ2#85L 65-70-12.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.