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VCU

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

A-10 · 27-7 · AdjEM +21.4, 33 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+21.433 of 364
AdjO
114.051 of 364
AdjD
92.619 of 364
AdjT
68.2265 of 364

VCU went from +13.2 (#69) on 2024-11-03 to +21.4 (#33) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +22.3 (#27) on 2025-03-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.4%100
TOV%
16.0%188
OREB%
36.1%9
FTA/FGA
31.5%219
Opp eFG%
44.8%2
Opp TOV%
18.9%38
DREB%
72.7%162
Opp FTA/FGA
36.6%276

Résumé27-7 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+2.8103 of 364
Non-conference
+0.8162 of 364
Luck
-5.0%280 of 364
Wins above bubble
-0.250 of 364
Quad 1
2-2
Quad 2
4-4
Quad 3
11-1
Quad 4
10-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Max ShulgaG3532.815.05.94.053.7%59.5%22.0%38.7%78.3%
Jack ClarkF3528.89.76.92.057.7%60.6%15.8%34.8%79.1%
Joe BamisileG3526.715.05.01.953.1%54.4%30.7%31.4%64.4%
Phillip RussellG3423.110.31.62.252.2%56.3%23.3%35.8%81.3%
Zeb JacksonG3022.610.83.52.148.2%55.3%24.9%32.4%88.7%
Christian FerminF3419.44.63.10.654.4%54.7%12.6%0.0%54.3%
Luke BamgboyeF3516.83.83.30.559.8%58.5%12.0%0.0%48.6%
Brandon JenningsG3513.02.72.30.842.4%46.7%13.2%39.3%67.7%
Michael BelleF3512.82.83.10.845.4%44.9%14.1%6.5%39.1%
Alphonzo Billups IIIG237.02.90.90.450.0%50.8%22.3%30.6%100.0%
Terrence Hill Jr.G236.23.40.60.354.5%60.9%28.1%34.4%100.0%
Obinnaya OkaforF141.20.30.30.150.0%67.8%11.7%—100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games27-7

“Ours” is our projected margin for VCU, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04vsBellarmineQ4#345W 84-65+21.2
11-08nBoston CollegeQ3#165W 80-55+4.6
11-13vsMerrimackQ4#185W 63-42+14.9
11-16vsLoyola MarylandQ4#313W 83-57+25.1
11-21nSeton HallQ3#160L 66-69+2.6
11-22nNevadaQ2#67L 61-64-4.4
11-24nMiamiQ3#157W 77-70+1.9
12-04vsGeorgia SouthernQ4#254W 89-54+19.4
12-09vsPennsylvaniaQ4#287W 66-47+25.6
12-14nColorado StateQ1#44W 76-68+5.9
12-18@New MexicoQ1#47L 71-78+0.4
12-22vsWilliam & MaryQ4#235W 90-70+21.9
12-31@St. BonaventureQ2#113L 75-77-0.3
01-04@Loyola ChicagoQ2#110W 84-65+4.2
01-08vsFordhamQ4#221W 73-61+19.6
01-14vsSaint LouisQ3#107W 78-62+11.0
01-17@Saint Joseph'sQ2#83W 78-69+0.8
01-21@Rhode IslandQ3#146W 81-57+5.8
01-24vsSt. BonaventureQ3#113W 75-61+8.9
01-28@Saint LouisQ2#107L 69-78+5.9
02-01vsRichmondQ4#211W 90-49+18.0
02-04vsLa SalleQ4#224W 96-66+18.9
02-07@DaytonQ1#69W 73-68+0.9
02-12@George WashingtonQ3#147W 80-72+9.2
02-19vsMassachusettsQ4#195W 80-51+17.4
02-22vsGeorge MasonQ3#81W 70-54+8.3
02-25@RichmondQ3#211W 78-60+14.6
02-28vsDavidsonQ3#141W 80-56+15.6
03-04@DuquesneQ2#120W 71-62+9.4
03-07vsDaytonQ2#69L 76-79+9.3
03-14nSt. BonaventureQ3#113W 76-59+10.1
03-15nLoyola ChicagoQ3#110W 62-55+10.9
03-16nGeorge MasonQ2#81W 68-63+7.7
03-20nBYUQ1#21L 71-80-1.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.