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Villanova

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big East · 18-16 · AdjEM +18.3, 30 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+18.330 of 362
AdjO
111.060 of 362
AdjD
92.617 of 362
AdjT
67.0325 of 362

Villanova went from +18.9 (#18) on 2023-11-05 to +18.3 (#30) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +24.3 (#11) on 2023-11-27.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.6%179
TOV%
13.6%36
OREB%
22.3%311
FTA/FGA
26.8%334
Opp eFG%
48.3%65
Opp TOV%
14.8%267
DREB%
78.3%14
Opp FTA/FGA
26.0%29

Résumé18-16 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+11.917 of 362
Non-conference
+7.832 of 362
Luck
-9.8%350 of 362
Wins above bubble
-2.270 of 362
Quad 1
4-12
Quad 2
6-1
Quad 3
2-3
Quad 4
6-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Eric DixonF3430.516.66.51.753.1%58.5%29.1%34.6%86.2%
TJ BambaG3328.110.13.61.851.5%55.6%20.8%36.9%82.4%
Justin MooreG2929.69.83.62.246.8%50.0%20.0%31.2%86.4%
Tyler BurtonF3424.97.56.11.048.5%53.6%16.8%32.7%75.0%
Mark ArmstrongG3424.58.42.32.446.3%49.7%23.0%28.2%77.6%
Hakim HartG3422.26.33.21.654.5%57.4%15.9%32.9%79.5%
Jordan LonginoG2921.76.62.51.548.8%52.5%18.5%32.5%83.3%
Brendan HausenG3417.66.21.60.556.5%57.9%18.8%38.1%86.7%
Lance WareF3310.51.22.30.548.3%50.6%8.8%—55.6%
Chris ArcidiaconoG193.40.10.30.20.0%20.4%6.8%0.0%50.0%
Nnanna NjokuF114.60.81.90.150.0%57.0%11.9%—75.0%
Collin O'TooleG31.00.00.30.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games18-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Villanova, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsAmerican UniversityQ4#271W 90-63+19.1
11-10vsLe MoyneQ4#300W 83-57+24.2
11-13@PennsylvaniaQ3#202L 72-76+9.3
11-17vsMarylandQ2#68W 57-40+9.0
11-22nTexas TechQ1#27W 85-69+1.1
11-23nNorth CarolinaQ1#10W 83-81+1.0
11-24nMemphisQ2#63W 79-63+0.0
11-29vsSaint Joseph'sQ3#94L 65-78+18.6
12-02nDrexelQ3#129L 55-57+14.9
12-05@Kansas StateQ1#64L 71-72-0.1
12-09vsUCLAQ3#85W 65-56+5.6
12-20@CreightonQ1#9W 68-66-8.7
12-23@DePaulQ4#287W 84-48+12.1
01-03vsXavierQ2#61W 66-65+9.0
01-06vsSt. John'sQ1#29L 71-81+8.3
01-12vsDePaulQ4#287W 94-69+22.3
01-15@MarquetteQ1#15L 74-87-4.9
01-20vsUConnQ1#1L 65-66-0.5
01-24@St. John'sQ1#29L 50-70-1.4
01-27@ButlerQ1#73L 81-88+2.9
01-30vsMarquetteQ1#15L 80-85+1.6
02-04vsProvidenceQ2#49W 68-50+5.6
02-07@XavierQ1#61L 53-56-1.2
02-11vsSeton HallQ2#51W 80-54+6.7
02-16@GeorgetownQ3#187W 70-54+12.0
02-20vsButlerQ2#73W 72-62+8.9
02-24@UConnQ1#1L 54-78-10.9
02-27vsGeorgetownQ4#187W 75-47+18.4
03-02@ProvidenceQ1#49W 71-60-1.1
03-06@Seton HallQ1#51L 56-66+1.6
03-09vsCreightonQ1#9L 67-69-1.0
03-13nDePaulQ4#287W 58-57+20.9
03-14nMarquetteQ1#15L 65-71-2.5
03-20vsVCUQ2#71L 61-70+7.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.