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VCU

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

A-10 · 27-8 · AdjEM +13.2, 57 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+13.257 of 363
AdjO
104.0130 of 363
AdjD
90.815 of 363
AdjT
69.2197 of 363

VCU went from +9.4 (#68) on 2022-11-06 to +13.2 (#57) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +13.5 (#53) on 2023-03-13.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.0%97
TOV%
18.7%298
OREB%
26.7%180
FTA/FGA
41.6%10
Opp eFG%
46.9%29
Opp TOV%
21.7%14
DREB%
72.9%205
Opp FTA/FGA
31.1%184

Résumé27-8 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+3.1109 of 363
Non-conference
+3.1103 of 363
Luck
+3.7%91 of 363
Wins above bubble
+0.643 of 363
Quad 1
1-2
Quad 2
4-3
Quad 3
14-1
Quad 4
8-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Ace Baldwin Jr.G3034.912.72.95.848.5%54.0%21.5%34.2%79.5%
Jayden NunnG3528.59.32.51.551.4%55.0%17.5%40.4%70.0%
Brandon Johns Jr.F3427.811.65.20.754.3%58.4%22.8%31.1%70.7%
Jalen DeLoachF3424.59.76.91.056.2%57.2%22.2%—58.0%
Jamir WatkinsG3523.59.55.41.548.1%52.7%23.9%34.0%72.1%
David ShriverF3519.26.52.30.556.5%58.0%16.8%40.3%78.3%
Nick Kern Jr.G3517.65.32.70.862.8%62.9%15.2%25.0%60.5%
Zeb JacksonG3517.35.21.51.742.4%49.4%19.5%18.5%77.1%
Josh BanksG288.52.80.70.251.7%57.7%17.6%34.3%86.4%
Tobi LawalF255.61.31.10.151.9%47.0%17.7%—29.4%
Christian FerminF143.30.40.70.033.3%38.7%13.3%—40.0%
Alphonzo Billups IIIG84.10.30.50.020.0%20.0%15.8%0.0%—
Arnold Henderson VIG40.80.30.00.3—52.6%16.5%—50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games27-8

“Ours” is our projected margin for VCU, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsManhattanQ4#296W 73-56+14.1
11-12vsMorgan StateQ4#295W 69-54+17.8
11-16nArizona StateQ2#71L 59-63+2.2
11-17nPittsburghQ2#70W 71-67+8.9
11-20@MemphisQ1#20L 47-62-8.8
11-26vsKennesaw StateQ3#142W 64-61+9.3
11-30vsVanderbiltQ3#79W 70-65+4.6
12-03@TempleQ2#127L 73-83-0.3
12-07vsJacksonvilleQ4#223L 62-73+6.7
12-11vsHowardQ4#215W 70-60+18.6
12-14vsRadfordQ4#184W 70-62+9.9
12-17vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#248W 90-63+15.2
12-21vsNavyQ3#155W 74-52+5.9
12-31vsLa SalleQ4#217W 80-67+15.0
01-04@DuquesneQ3#145L 70-79-0.7
01-07vsDavidsonQ3#138W 89-72+6.5
01-10@Loyola ChicagoQ3#218W 78-64+0.3
01-13@DaytonQ1#59W 63-62-9.5
01-17vsMassachusettsQ4#202W 83-55+8.7
01-20@RichmondQ3#136W 74-62-2.8
01-25vsGeorge MasonQ3#124W 72-52+6.0
01-28vsSt. BonaventureQ4#172L 58-61+9.8
01-31@DavidsonQ3#138W 61-59+1.3
02-03@Saint LouisQ2#88W 73-65-3.2
02-07vsDaytonQ2#59L 58-62+2.4
02-15@Rhode IslandQ4#256W 55-54+6.6
02-18vsFordhamQ3#137W 80-61+9.0
02-21@Saint Joseph'sQ3#197W 88-63+5.3
02-24vsRichmondQ3#136W 73-58+9.1
02-28vsSaint LouisQ3#88W 79-67+6.6
03-04@George WashingtonQ3#204W 74-68+6.5
03-09nDavidsonQ3#138W 71-53+6.1
03-11nSaint LouisQ2#88W 90-78+2.8
03-12nDaytonQ2#59W 68-56-1.0
03-17nSaint Mary'sQ1#9L 51-63-6.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.