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Saint Louis

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

A-10 · 12-20 · AdjEM -1.9, 180 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-1.9180 of 362
AdjO
108.598 of 362
AdjD
110.4314 of 362
AdjT
71.584 of 362

Saint Louis went from +6.7 (#99) on 2023-11-05 to -1.9 (#180) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +6.7 (#99) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.5%136
TOV%
15.8%174
OREB%
23.7%280
FTA/FGA
36.3%85
Opp eFG%
54.3%339
Opp TOV%
13.3%329
DREB%
73.8%144
Opp FTA/FGA
35.3%256

Résumé12-20 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+5.395 of 362
Non-conference
+3.5103 of 362
Luck
+3.2%105 of 362
Wins above bubble
-11.7227 of 362
Quad 1
0-5
Quad 2
1-8
Quad 3
6-6
Quad 4
5-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Gibson JimersonG3335.815.82.92.149.6%55.5%23.0%35.9%86.4%
Terrence Hargrove Jr.F3330.213.15.50.760.3%64.2%19.6%40.9%79.3%
Cian MedleyG3322.74.32.63.940.1%46.5%15.3%35.7%79.2%
Larry Hughes IIG3123.37.42.71.547.3%50.5%19.1%35.5%77.3%
Kellen ThamesG3319.46.03.70.862.8%62.3%14.8%36.1%54.5%
Bradley EzewiroF2222.212.06.21.153.4%58.1%27.2%0.0%70.8%
Tim DalgerF1823.89.74.10.944.5%49.7%23.3%27.3%64.6%
Michael Meadows Jr.G1724.95.72.13.246.5%50.0%14.2%27.6%73.9%
Sincere ParkerG1620.715.94.30.956.1%59.5%35.5%42.6%81.1%
Bruce ZhangC309.62.32.00.341.5%45.7%17.9%—68.2%
Djordje CurcicG189.82.90.40.569.4%70.8%13.8%42.9%100.0%
Stef van BusselC217.71.62.60.357.9%55.1%11.4%—47.8%
Phil JonesG14.00.01.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Saint Louis, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsSouthern IndianaQ4#318W 75-63+14.1
11-11vsIllinois StateQ4#201W 80-71+10.8
11-16nWyomingQ3#160W 79-69+5.8
11-17nVermontQ3#108L 68-78-2.2
11-19nWichita StateQ3#152L 69-88-2.0
11-25vsDartmouthQ4#327W 66-65+15.8
11-28vsUtah StateQ2#50L 76-81-8.2
12-02@Southern IllinoisQ2#124L 62-101-9.0
12-06@DrakeQ1#56L 69-75-15.7
12-09vsHofstraQ3#109W 71-68-4.1
12-16vsLouisiana TechQ3#82W 75-74-2.7
12-20@NC StateQ1#52L 70-82-13.9
01-03vsLoyola ChicagoQ3#102L 73-80+2.6
01-06@George MasonQ2#100L 67-79-10.5
01-10vsSaint Joseph'sQ3#94W 88-85-5.6
01-16@DaytonQ1#26L 65-70-18.2
01-19@VCUQ1#71L 61-85-12.5
01-24vsDavidsonQ3#127L 61-84+0.1
01-27vsMassachusettsQ3#107L 73-84-2.8
01-30@Loyola ChicagoQ2#102L 62-77-9.3
02-03vsFordhamQ4#173L 65-67+0.5
02-07@La SalleQ3#212W 102-84-3.4
02-10@Saint Joseph'sQ2#94L 86-87-13.2
02-16vsVCUQ2#71L 85-95-7.3
02-20@DuquesneQ2#97L 66-81-9.9
02-24vsGeorge WashingtonQ4#194W 96-91+4.3
02-28vsRichmondQ3#84L 64-80-6.0
03-02@Rhode IslandQ3#239W 94-91-1.3
03-05vsDaytonQ1#26L 83-100-11.8
03-09@St. BonaventureQ2#92W 73-65-13.2
03-12nRhode IslandQ4#239W 74-71+3.1
03-13nDuquesneQ2#97L 73-83-6.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.