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Dayton

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

A-10 · 21-12 · AdjEM +13.0, 59 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+13.059 of 363
AdjO
107.773 of 363
AdjD
94.748 of 363
AdjT
64.6355 of 363

Dayton went from +13.2 (#28) on 2022-11-06 to +13.0 (#59) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +14.5 (#33) on 2022-11-14.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.4%46
TOV%
17.8%242
OREB%
29.3%98
FTA/FGA
35.6%63
Opp eFG%
45.1%10
Opp TOV%
14.6%325
DREB%
75.1%110
Opp FTA/FGA
24.2%20

Résumé21-12 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+1.6128 of 363
Non-conference
+0.2184 of 363
Luck
-10.7%347 of 363
Wins above bubble
-4.4106 of 363
Quad 1
1-1
Quad 2
0-7
Quad 3
11-3
Quad 4
9-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
DaRon Holmes IIC3434.218.48.11.759.7%62.1%27.6%31.6%66.9%
Toumani CamaraF3430.013.98.61.759.0%60.9%25.0%36.3%66.9%
Mustapha AmzilF3429.69.34.81.753.9%58.2%17.5%36.6%79.5%
Koby BreaG2826.56.83.31.750.0%51.0%15.7%37.0%100.0%
Mike SharavjamtsG3223.15.61.92.647.6%49.5%17.1%31.5%67.7%
R.J. BlakneyF3023.76.12.51.249.6%54.0%15.8%24.2%72.4%
Malachi SmithG1929.77.72.75.646.8%50.3%17.7%38.3%70.0%
Kobe ElvisG1929.58.52.62.946.5%48.3%19.5%32.5%75.0%
Zimi NwokejiF307.61.51.50.432.7%38.8%17.6%13.3%68.4%
Brady UhlG183.20.70.10.285.7%85.7%7.6%57.1%—
Richard AmaefuleF73.30.10.90.00.0%7.2%21.5%0.0%50.0%
Kaleb WashingtonF28.51.50.50.050.0%43.8%17.6%—33.3%
Atticus SchulerG91.10.20.20.0—105.3%5.3%—100.0%
Ty LocklearG41.00.00.00.0——0.0%——
Cole HatkevichG21.00.00.50.0——27.7%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games21-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Dayton, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsLindenwoodQ4#334W 73-46+18.5
11-11vsSMUQ4#189W 74-62+7.0
11-15@UNLVQ2#95L 52-60+1.8
11-19vsRobert MorrisQ4#247W 60-51+22.0
11-23nWisconsinQ2#72L 42-43+0.2
11-24nNC StateQ2#56L 64-76+2.1
11-25nBYUQ2#78L 75-79+2.6
11-30vsWestern MichiganQ4#329W 67-47+22.0
12-03vsSE LouisianaQ4#276W 80-74+14.1
12-07@Virginia TechQ1#64L 49-77-8.1
12-10vsUNC AshevilleQ3#149W 79-56+11.0
12-17nWyomingQ3#156W 66-49+3.5
12-20vsAlcorn StateQ4#272W 88-46+15.4
12-28vsDuquesneQ3#145W 69-57+12.4
12-31@DavidsonQ3#138W 69-55+1.6
01-04vsSaint Joseph'sQ4#197W 76-56+16.8
01-10@FordhamQ3#137W 82-58+4.3
01-13vsVCUQ2#57L 62-63+9.5
01-17vsDavidsonQ3#138W 68-61+11.7
01-21@George WashingtonQ3#204L 69-76+6.2
01-25@Rhode IslandQ4#256L 70-75+9.3
01-28vsRichmondQ3#136W 86-60+9.3
01-31vsLoyola ChicagoQ4#218W 85-81+15.3
02-04@St. BonaventureQ3#172L 59-68+4.9
02-07@VCUQ1#57W 62-58-2.4
02-10vsSaint LouisQ3#88W 70-56+6.4
02-17@Loyola ChicagoQ3#218W 65-49+7.2
02-22@MassachusettsQ3#202W 72-54+6.2
02-25vsGeorge MasonQ3#124L 69-74+9.5
02-28vsLa SalleQ4#217W 77-53+15.7
03-03@Saint LouisQ2#88L 61-65+0.3
03-11nFordhamQ3#137W 78-68+7.0
03-12nVCUQ2#57L 56-68+1.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.