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Saint Mary's

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

WCC · 25-7 · AdjEM +23.0, 9 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+23.09 of 363
AdjO
111.528 of 363
AdjD
88.57 of 363
AdjT
63.3360 of 363

Saint Mary's went from +14.4 (#21) on 2022-11-06 to +23.0 (#9) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +26.5 (#4) on 2023-01-23.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.1%90
TOV%
14.2%18
OREB%
31.1%51
FTA/FGA
31.9%161
Opp eFG%
47.1%36
Opp TOV%
17.7%130
DREB%
80.7%2
Opp FTA/FGA
29.6%138

Résumé25-7 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+8.941 of 363
Non-conference
+10.74 of 363
Luck
-1.1%210 of 363
Wins above bubble
+4.118 of 363
Quad 1
2-4
Quad 2
7-1
Quad 3
12-2
Quad 4
4-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players10 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Logan JohnsonG3534.714.55.03.649.3%52.9%24.7%30.7%69.0%
Kyle BowenF3533.55.37.11.751.9%53.1%9.3%37.9%61.1%
Alex DucasG3531.212.54.31.056.2%59.3%20.4%41.4%86.8%
Mitchell SaxenC3531.211.67.61.755.7%57.3%21.0%0.0%62.5%
Aidan MahaneyG3530.613.92.12.051.5%53.3%26.1%40.0%71.8%
Augustas MarciulionisG3515.55.91.21.546.4%52.9%23.0%25.0%72.7%
Joshua JeffersonF348.12.21.40.551.9%55.8%16.8%31.0%67.9%
Luke BarrettF279.72.42.00.156.4%58.0%13.7%36.0%63.2%
Harry WesselsC347.02.61.80.359.6%60.8%21.0%—61.8%
Chris HowellG284.10.60.40.128.3%32.9%15.8%11.1%66.7%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games25-7

“Ours” is our projected margin for Saint Mary's, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsOral RobertsQ2#68W 78-70+10.7
11-10vsVermontQ3#99W 79-53+3.5
11-13vsNorth TexasQ2#31W 63-33+3.3
11-16vsSouthernQ4#269W 72-54+16.7
11-19vsHofstraQ3#82W 76-48+14.4
11-30vsNew MexicoQ3#80L 65-69+15.5
12-03nHoustonQ1#1L 48-53-5.0
12-07vsMissouri StateQ3#123W 66-46+14.6
12-10nSan Diego StateQ1#16W 68-61+5.1
12-14vsNew Mexico StateQ4#171W 81-68+14.0
12-18vsColorado StateQ3#101L 60-62+15.2
12-21nWyomingQ3#156W 66-54+14.4
12-29vsSan DiegoQ4#222W 85-58+20.9
12-31@Santa ClaraQ2#90W 67-64+7.1
01-07vsPortlandQ3#148W 85-43+17.8
01-12vsLoyola MarymountQ3#117W 76-62+17.5
01-14@San FranciscoQ2#92W 78-61+7.6
01-19@PepperdineQ3#190W 73-44+12.8
01-21vsSanta ClaraQ3#90W 77-58+15.2
01-28@BYUQ2#78W 57-56+9.2
02-02vsSan FranciscoQ3#92W 68-59+15.5
02-04vsGonzagaQ1#6W 78-70+6.6
02-09@Loyola MarymountQ2#117L 74-78+9.3
02-11@PortlandQ3#148W 81-64+12.4
02-16@San DiegoQ3#222W 62-59+15.8
02-18vsBYUQ3#78W 71-65+15.0
02-23vsPacificQ4#210W 83-52+22.8
02-25@GonzagaQ1#6L 68-77-2.9
03-06nBYUQ2#78W 76-69+10.2
03-07nGonzagaQ1#6L 51-77+0.1
03-17nVCUQ2#57W 63-51+6.5
03-19nUConnQ1#3L 55-70-1.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.